Messages

Monday, February 15 2021
08:25 AM

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

15th / 19th FEB  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

15210

15070/14930/790/650

15350

 

long

15350

15490/630

15210

BSE SENSEX

short

51600

51100/50600/50100/49600

52100

 

long

52100

52600/53100

51600

bank nifty

short

36000

35700/400/100/34800/500/200

36300

 

long

36600

36900/37200/500/800

36300

cnx IT

short

26225

25850/475/100/24725

26600

 

long

26600

26975/27350/725/28100

26225


Monday, February 1 2021
08:31 AM

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

1st / 5th FEB  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

13622

13517/412/307/202/097/12992

13727

 

long

13727

13832/937/14042/147/252/357

13622

BSE SENSEX

short

46150

48600/200/47800/400/47000

46750

 

long

46750

47350/950/48550/49150/750/50350

46150

bank nifty

short

30500

30050/29600/150/28700/250

30950

 

long

30950

31400/850/32300/750

30500

cnx IT

short

24800

24450/100/23750/400/050

25150

 

long

25150

25500/850/26200/550/900

24800


08:34 AM

 

POSN TRADING

daily close trigger

FEBRUARY  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

13750

13550/350/150/12950/750/550/350

13950

long

14150

14350/550/750/950

13950

SENSEX

short

46700

46000/45300/44600/43900/200/42500

47400

long

48100

48800/49500/50200/50900

47400

BANK NIFTY

short

30600

29850/100/28350/27600/26850/100

31350

long

31350

32100/850/33600

30600

CNX IT

short

24250

23500/22750/22000

25000

long

25000

25750/26500/27250/28000

24250


Sunday, January 31 2021
10:22 AM

 

BUDGET – BIGGEST NEGATIVE TRIGGER IN LAST 10 MONTHS … IS IT ? ? ?

 

Trading  levels  1st / 5th  February 2021

 

 

I am writing first time in 2021. I took off in December 2020 due to personal reasons and the COVID hit me in first week January 2021 putting me in hospital for 14 days. NOW I AM BACK HOME AND RECUPERATING.

 

 We will have budget presented on Monday 1st February.  I am afraid that this budget is going to be a maha big   accounting exercise  by  considering all rosy projections for FY22.

 

If one takes govt forecast for GDP as 11 % for FY22, considering a cut  of 7.5 % for FY 21 …. It will be only 3 or 4 % more  over  2020 GDP.  THAT’S A HARD FACT !!!

 

THEN  HOW CAN BE TAX REVENUE BUOYANCY BE 15/20 % OVER  FY20 LEVELS  ???  it could be at best 8/10 %.

 

Government has milked the petrolium sector to the hilt thus showing 48 % higher excise collection. NOW MAY BE THE TIME FOR  CIGARETTES AND SOME SPECIAL COVID TAX ON PERSONAL AND CORPORATE INCOME TAX. This tax/ cess can be as high as 3 to 5 % depending on your tax bracket.

 

IN THAT CASE, WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO CORPORATE PROFITABILITY AND THE NIFTY EPS PROJECTIONS BASED ON  WHICH  MARKET IS  RUNNING FAR AHEAD OF FUNDAMENTALS.

 

I  EXPECT SOME SERIOUS CORRECTION TO SET IN AFTER THE BUDGET  AND WE MAY TEST LAST MARCH 2020 HIGHS AND GO EVEN A BIT LOWER TOWARDS 12000.  That is the potential damage the budget proposals can cause.

 

 

During the correction please try and look at following stocks from long term investment angle.

 

DIVIS LAB ( 3000/3200 )   BRITANNIA (3300/3500)

HUL (2000/2100)   ASIAN PAINTS (2200/2300)

DON’T MISS GOLD AROUND 1750 DOLLAR LEVEL.

 

 

MORE AND MORE INDIANS ARE NOW LOOKING TO DIVERSIFY BY INVESTING OUTSIDE INDIA AND ALSO IN PHYSICAL ASSETS LIKE GOLD AND SILVER. KEEPING THAT IN MIND, I HV STARTED GIVING WEEKLY LEVELS FOR US INDICES / GOLD AND SILVER. I HOPE THESE WILL BE USEFULL.

 

 

Indices  weekly  levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

1st / 5th FEB  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

13622

13517/412/307/202/097/12992

13727

 

long

13727

13832/937/14042/147/252/357

13622

BSE SENSEX

short

46150

48600/200/47800/400/47000

46750

 

long

46750

47350/950/48550/49150/750/50350

46150

bank nifty

short

30500

30050/29600/150/28700/250

30950

 

long

30950

31400/850/32300/750

30500

cnx IT

short

24800

24450/100/23750/400/050

25150

 

long

25150

25500/850/26200/550/900

24800

         
     

US INDICES

 

dow 30

short

29980

29600/220/28840/460

30360

 

long

30360

30740/31120

29980

S&P100

short

1707

1689/71/53/35/17/1599

1725

long

1725

1743/61/79/97

1707

nasdaq composite

short

13160

13020/12880/740/600

13300

long

13300

13440/580/720/860/14000

13160

dollar index

short

90.58

90.38/90.18/89.98/89.78/89.58/89.38

90.78

long

90.78

90.98/91.18/91.38/91.58/91.78/91.98

90.58

         
     

DOLLAR PRICES FOR GOLD / SILVER

 

CRUDE

short

55.32

54.8/54.28/53.76/53.22

55.84

long

55.84

56.36/56.88/57.4

55.32

GOLD

short

1845

1827/09/1791/73/55/27/19/01

1863

long

1863

1881/99/1917/35

1845

SILVER

short

26.61

26.35/26.09/25.83/25.57/25.31

26.87

long

26.87

27.13/27.39/27.65/27.91

26.61

 


05:34 PM

 

POSN TRADING

daily close trigger

FEBRUARY  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

13750

13550/350/150/12950/750/550/350

13950

long

14150

14350/550/750/950

13950

SENSEX

short

46700

46000/45300/44600/43900/200/42500

47400

long

48100

48800/49500/50200/50900

47400

BANK NIFTY

short

30600

29850/100/28350/27600/26850/100

31350

long

31350

32100/850/33600

30600

CNX IT

short

24250

23500/22750/22000

25000

long

25000

25750/26500/27250/28000

24250

CNX 500

short

11400

11050/10700/350/10000/9650/9300

11750

long

11750

12100/450/800

11400

RELIANCE

short

1855

1805/1755/05/1655

1905

long

1905

1955/2005/55/2105

1855

HDFC BANK

short

1385

1335/1285/35/1185/35

1435

long

1435

1485/1535

1385

TCS

short

3040

2980/920/860/800

3100

long

3160

3220/280/340/400

3100

INFY

short

1225

1200/1175/50/25/1100

1250

long

1275

1300/1325/50/75/1400

1250

HDFC

short

2360

2300/2240/2180/120/2060/2000

2420

long

2420

2480/2540/2600

2360

LT

short

1335

1310/1285/60/35/10

1360

long

1385

1410/35/60

1360

HUL

short

2240

2165/2090/2015/1940

2315

long

2315

2390/2465/2540

2240

MARUTI

short

7225

6975/725/475/225

7475

long

7475

7725/975

7225


Monday, January 25 2021
07:31 AM

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

25 jan / 29 jan  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

14390

14280/170/060/13950

14500

 

long

14500

14610/720/830

14390

BSE SENSEX

short

49000

48600/200/47800/400/47000

49400

 

long

49400

49800/50200/600/51000

49000

bank nifty

short

31100

30750/400/050/39700/350/29000

31450

 

long

31450

31800/32150/500

31100

cnx IT

short

26725

26450/175/25900/625/350/075/24800

27000

 

long

27000

27275/550/825/28100

26725


Monday, January 4 2021
08:52 AM

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

28th Dec  2020 / 1st jan  2021

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

13940

13820/700/580/460

14060

 

long

14060

14180/300/420

13940

BSE SENSEX

short

47600

47200/46800/400/46000

48000

 

long

48000

48400/800/49200

47600

bank nifty

short

31300

31000/30700/400/100

31600

 

long

31600

31900/32200/500/800

31300

cnx IT

short

24200

23900/600/300/23000

24500

 

long

24500

24800/25100/400

24200