Welcome to SUMAMURA

commodities	daily close trigger		MONTHLY LEVELS - APRIL 2014
commodities	go	entry	targets
gold	short	1272	1245/18/1191/64	1299	usd/t ounce
gold	long	1299	1326/53/80/1407	1272
silver	short	19.47	19.2/18.93/18.66/18.39/18.12	19.74	usd/t ounce
silver	long	20.01	10.28/10.55/20.82/21.09/21.36	19.74
crude	short	100	98.5/97/95.5/94/92.5/91	101.5	usd/barrel
crude	long	101.5	103/04.5/06/07.5/09	100
copper	short	3.03	2.97/2.91/2.85/2.79/2.73	3.09	usd/pound
copper	long	3.09	3.15/3.21/3.27/3.33/3.39	3.03
sugar	short	465	453/41/29/17/05	477	usd/tonne
sugar	long	477	489/501/13/25	265
N GAS	short	4.34	4.16/3.98/3.8	4.43	USD /10K mmbtu
N GAS	long	4.52	4.7/4.88/5.06	4.43

INTRA		DATE	2nd april 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .
bank nifty	short	12630	12560/490/420	12700
bank nifty	long	12700	12770/840/910	12630
RELIANCE	short	942.5	939/35.5/32	946
RELIANCE	long	946	949.5/53/56.5/60	942.5
SBI	short	1895	1883/71/59	1907
SBI	long	1907	1919/31	1895
icici bank	short	1225	1219/13/07/01	1231
icici bank	long	1231	1237/43/49	1225
LT	short	1280	1267/54/41	1293
LT	long	1293	1306/19	1280
TATA MOTORS	short	403.00	400.5/398/95.5	405.5
TATA MOTORS	long	405.5	408/10.5/13	403
TCS	short	2171	2157/43	2185
TCS	long	2185	2199/2213/27	2171
escorts	short	120.2	119.5/18.8	120.9
escorts	long	120.9	121.6/122.3/23/23.7/24.4/25.1	120.2
FDC	short	140.5	139/37.5	141.25
FDC	long	142	143.5/45/46.5/48	141.25
aurobindo	short	542	537/32/27/22	544.5
aurobindo	long	547	552/57/62	544.5
axis bank	short	1469	1458/47/36/25	1480
axis bank	long	1480	1491/1502	1469

most subscriptions have expired today - on last day of financial year 2013/14 .

pl convey per return yr willingness to renew so that you will continue to get emails as usual. you can make remittance with in next 8/10 days.

regards --- madhav ranade

POSN TRADING	daily close trigger		APRIL 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
NIFTY SPOT	short	6535	6460/380/305/225	6612
NIFTY SPOT	long	6690	6770/845/925/995	6612
sensex spot	short	21900	21660/420/180/20940	22140
sensex spot	long	22380	22620/860/23100/340	22140
BANK NIFTY	short	12440	12270/100/11930/760	12610
BANK NIFTY	long	12780	12950/13120/290/460	12610
CNX IT	short	9350	9210/070/8930/790/650	9490
CNX IT	long	9630	9770/910/10050/190	9490
axis bank	short	1443	1415/1388/60/33/05	1470
axis bank	long	1470	1498/1525/53/80	1443
aurobindo	short	495	488/81/74/67/60/53	502
aurobindo	long	509	516/23/30/37/44/51	502
bajaj auto	short	2045	2014/1983/52/21/1890/59/28	2076
bajaj auto	long	2107	2138/69/2200/31/62	2076
BHARTI	short	311	305/299/93/87/81	317
BHARTI	long	317	323/29/35/41	311
CIPLA	short	382	372/62/52/42	387
CIPLA	long	392	402/12/22/32	387
DR REDDYS	short	2582	2546/10/2474/38/02	2618
DR REDDYS	long	2654	2690/2726/62/98	2618
HDFC	short	868	848/28/08/788/68/48	888
HDFC	long	888	908/28/48/68	868
hdfc bank	short	737	724/11/698/85/72/59	750
hdfc bank	long	750	763/76/89/802	737
HUL	short	591	583/75/67/59/51	599
HUL	long	607	615/23/31/39/47	599
ICICI	short	1220	1196/72/48/24/1100	1244
ICICI	long	1244	1268/92/1316/40	1220
IDEA	short	139	136.5/34/31.5/29/26.5/24	141.5
IDEA	long	141.5	144/46.5/49/51.5/54/56.5/59	139
IDFC	short	118	113.5/09/04.5/100	120.25
IDFC	long	122.5	127/31.5/36/40.5/45	120.25
INFY	short	3278	3243/08/173/38/03/3068/33/2998	3313
INFY	long	3348	3383/418/453/488	3313
ITC	short	350	344/38/32/26/20	356
ITC	long	356	362/68/74/80	350
LIC HSG FIN	short	233.5	228.5/23.5/18.5/13.5/08.5	238.5
LIC HSG FIN	long	238.5	243.5/48.5/53.5/58.5	233.5
LT	short	1258	1230/02/1174/46/18	1286
LT	long	1286	1314/42/70	1258
M&M	short	969	955/41/27/13/899/85/71	983
M&M	long	983	997/1011/25/39	969
MARUTI	short	1945	1905/1865/25/1785/45/05	1985
MARUTI	long	1985	2025/65/105/45/85	1945
RCOM	short	129	126.75/24.5/22.25/20/17.75/15.5	131.25
RCOM	long	131.25	133.5/35.75/38/40.25/42.5	129
REC	short	223	219/15/11/07/03	227
REC	long	227	231/35/39/43/47/51	223
RELIANCE	short	918	901/883/66/48	936
RELIANCE	long	936	953/71/88	918
SUN PHARMA	short	573	558/43/28/13/498/83/68	580.5
SUN PHARMA	long	588	603/18/33/48	580.5
SBI	short	1883	1848/13/1778/43/08	1918
SBI	long	1918	1953/88/2023/58	1883
TATA MOTORS	short	394	386/78/70/62/54/46/38/30	402
TATA MOTORS	long	402	410/18/26/34/42/50	394
TATASTEEL	short	387	378.5/70/61.5/53/44.5/36/27.5/19	395.5
TATASTEEL	long	395.5	404/12.5/21/29.5/38	387
TCS	short	2119	2084/49/14/1979/44	2154
TCS	long	2154	2189/2224/59	2119
VOLTAS	short	158	154/50/46/42/38/34/30	162
VOLTAS	long	162	166/70/74/78/82	158

NIFTY SPOT INTRA

POSN TRADING	weekly	DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY
cnx nifty	short	6630	6597/64/31/498	6663
cnx nifty	long	6696	6729/62/95	6663
bse sensex	short	22130	22025/21920/815/710	22235
bse sensex	long	22340	22445/550/655/760	22235
BANK NIFTY	Short	12600	12460 / 320/180/040	12740
BANK NIFTY	Long	12740	12880/1020/160/300	12600
CNX IT	short	9315	9215/115/9015/8915/815	9415
CNX IT	long	9415	9515/615	9315
aurobindo	Short	520	514.5/09/03.5/498/92.5/87	525.5
aurobindo	Long	525.5	531/36.5/42/47.5/53	520
axis bank	Short	1443	1429/15/01/1387/73	1457
axis bank	Long	1457	1471/85/99	1443
BHARTI	Short	316	313/10/07/04/01/298/95	319
BHARTI	Long	319	322/25/28/31/34	316
CIPLA	Short	384.5	381/377.5/74/70.5/67	388
CIPLA	Long	388	391.5/95/98.5/402	384.5
divis lab	Short	1364	1353/42/31/20/09/1298/87	1375
divis lab	long	1375	1386/97/1408/19/30	1364
dr reddys	Short	2635	2608/2580/53/25	2663
dr reddys	Long	2663	2690/2718/45	2635
glenmark pharma	Short	546	541/36/30/25/20/15/09	551
glenmark pharma	Long	551	556/61/67/72/77	546
HCL TECH	Short	1403	1390/76/63/49/36	1417
HCL TECH	long	1417	1430/44/57	1403
HDFC	Short	869	860/51/42/33/24	878
HDFC	Long	878	887/96/905/14	869
hdfc bank	Short	737	727/17/07/697	742
hdfc bank	Long	747	757/67/77/87	742
HUL	Short	593	585/77/69/61	597
HUL	Long	601	609/17/25	597
ICICI BANK	Short	1246	1232/20/08/1196/84	1258
ICICI BANK	Long	1258	1270/82/94	1246
IDEA	Short	137.5	136/34.5/33	139
IDEA	long	139	140.5/42/43.5/45	137.5
IDFC	Short	124	121.5/19/16.5/14/11.5/09	125.25
IDFC	Long	126.5	129/31.5/34	125.25
INFOSYS	Short	3258	3232/05/3179/52	3285
INFOSYS	long	3285	3311/38/64	3258
ITC	Short	354	350/46/42/38/34	358
ITC	Long	358	362/66/70/74	354
LT	Short	1277	1263/49/35/21	1291
LT	Long	1291	1305/19/33	1277
M&M	Short	971	962/52/43/33/24/14	981
M&M	Long	981	990/1000/09/19/28	971
MARUTI	Short	1908	1885/62/39/16	1931
MARUTI	Long	1931	1954/77/2000	1908
ONGC	Short	326	322/18/14/10/06/02	330
ONGC	long	330	334/38/42/46/50	326
PNB	Short	742	735/28/21/14/07/700	749
PNB	Long	749	756/63/70/77/84	742
RCOM	Short	127.5	125.5/23.5/21.5/19.5	128.5
RCOM	Long	129.5	131.5/33.5/35.5/37.5	128.5
RELIANCE	Short	907	898/88/79/69	917
RELIANCE	long	917	926/36/45	907
sun pharma	Short	563	554/45/36/27	567.5
sun pharma	Long	572	581/90/99	567.5
SBI	Short	1890	1876/61/46/32	1905
SBI	Long	1905	1919/34/48/63/77	1890
TATAMOTORS	Short	396	391.5/87/82.5/78	400.5
TATAMOTORS	Long	400.5	405/09.5/14	396
TATASTEEL	Short	377	372/67/62/57/52	379.5
TATASTEEL	Long	382	387/92/97/402	379.5
TCS	Short	2103	2083/63/43/23/03	2123
TCS	Long	2123	2143/63/83/2203	2103
tech mahindra	Short	1820	1801/1782/63/44	1839
tech mahindra	Long	1839	1858/77/96	1820
VOLTAS	Short	160.5	158.5/56.5/54.5/52.5/50.5	162.5
VOLTAS	Long	162.5	164.5/66.5/68.5/70.5	160.5


CNX AUTO	short	5690	x	5750
CNX AUTO	long	5750	x	5690
CNX ENERGY	short	8315	x	8375
CNX ENERGY	long	8375	x	8315
CNX FMCG	short	18040	x	18210
CNX FMCG	long	18210	x	18040
CNX INFRA	short	2620	x	2642.5
CNX INFRA	long	2642.5	x	2620
CNX METAL	short	2410	x	2430
CNX METAL	long	2430	x	2410
CNX MIDCAP	short	8445	x	8535
CNX MIDCAP	long	8535	x	8445
CNX PHARMA	short	7650	x	7695
CNX PHARMA	long	7695	x	7650
CNX PSU BANKS	short	2722.5	x	2745
CNX PSU BANKS	long	2745	x	2722.5
CNX REALTY	short	182	x	184
CNX REALTY	long	184	x	182

INTRA		DATE	31st march 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .
bank nifty	short	12750	12675/600/525/450	12825
bank nifty	long	12825	12900/975	12750
RELIANCE	short	916	912/08/04/900	920
RELIANCE	long	920	924/28/32/36	916
SBI	short	1903	1889/75/61	1917
SBI	long	1917	1931/45	1903
icici bank	short	1262	1255/48/41/34	1269
icici bank	long	1269	1276/83/90	1262
LT	short	1288	1277/66/55	1299
LT	long	1299	1310/21	1288
TATA MOTORS	short	396.50	394/91.5/89	399
TATA MOTORS	long	399	401.5/04/06.5/09	396.5
tech m	short	1838	1828/18/08/1798/88	1848
tech m	long	1848	1858/68/78	1838
reliance infra	short	436	433/430/27/24/21/18	439
reliance infra	long	439	442/45/48/51/54/57/60	436
ONGC	short	328.5	326/23.5/21/18.5/16	331
ONGC	long	331	333.5/36/38.5/41	328.5
BGR ENERGY	short	119.75	118.5/17.25/16	121
BGR ENERGY	long	121	122.25/23.5/24.75/26	119.75
HDIL	short	54.5	54/53.5/53/52.5/52	55
HDIL	long	55	55.5/56/56.5/57/57.5/58	54.5

NIFTY SPOT INTRA

weekly		DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
world indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
S & P	short	1846	1830/14/1798/82	1862
S & P	long	1862	1878/94/1910	1846
nasdaq comp	short	4260	4205/150/095/040	4315
nasdaq comp	long	4315	4370/425/480	4260
dow jones	short	16225	16100/15975/850/725/600	16350
dow jones	long	16350	16475/600/725/850	16225
FTSE	short	6570	6515/460/405	6625
FTSE	long	6625	6680/735/790	6570
nikkei	short	14600	14465/330/195/060	14735
nikkei	long	14735	14870/15005/140	14600
australian ord	short	5340	5300/260/220	5380
australian ord	long	5380	5420/460/500	5340
hangseng	short	21845	21710/575/440/305	22115
hangseng	long	22115	22250/385/520/655	21845
shanghai	short	2019	1996/74/51	2041
shanghai	long	2041	2064/85/108/130	2019

weekly		DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
commodity	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
gold	short	1294	1282/70/58/46	1306	US$ / T ounce
gold	long	1306	1318/30/42	1294
silver	short	19.73	19.44/19.15/18.86/18.57	20.01	US$ / T ounce
silver	long	20.01	20.29/20.57/20.86/21.15/21.44	19.73
crude	short	101.25	100.25/99.25	102.25	US$ / barrel
crude	long	102.25	103.25/04.25/05.25	101.25
nat gas	short	4.51	4.435/4.36/4.285/4.21	4.585	US$ / 10K MMBTU
nat gas	long	4.585	4.66/4.735/4.81	4.51
copper	short	3.015	2.975/2.935/2.895/2.855	3.055	US$ / pound
copper	long	3.055	3.095/3.135/3.175	3.015
sugar	short	469	461.5/54/46.5/39	476.5	US$ / tonne
sugar	long	476.5	484/91.5/99	469

MY WEEKLY TAKE .....

Trading levels --- 31^st March / 4^th April 2014

In last 2 weeks, we have seen what brute money power can do to markets ! ! ! The positive sentiment about possible NAMO victory was always there but jet fuel was provided by nearly 15,000 crores pumped in by FIIs in 9 straight trading sessions. There are a lot of theories being floated like all this is our politician’s money only which is being channeled by way of PN route. BUT ALL SAID AND DONE, IT IS BEING LABELLED AS FII INVESTMENTNOW AND IT IS PROPELLING THE MARKET.

IT and PHARMA - old favourites - have taken a back seat and the main driving force is BANKING / ENERGY and PSUs. Even mid-caps have started performing to some extent giving the feel of a broad based rally.

Election results are still 7 weeks away and generally it is not possible to sustain such a high momentum for such long durations – unless we keep on getting 5,000 crores FII flows per week for next 7 weeks. In that case, we may scale up to even 7000 NIFTY level. At that point margin for error will be zero and any untoward election verdict will send us down to 5,600- 5,800 NIFTY level in a couple of days.

EVEN A POSITIVE VERDICT MAY GIVE 150 - 200 POINT UPMOVE ON THE RESULT DAY BUT RESULTANT PROFIT BOOKING WILL FIND LOWER EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL FOR NIFTY AROUND 6,600 / 6800 IN 4 / 5 TRADING SESSIONS.

I AM MOVING TO CASH – SLOWLY - ALLOCATION NOW 30 % TO EQUITIES FROM 35 TO 38 % 4 WEEKS AGO - since I am convinced that we will get opportunity to deploy that at much lower stock prices ( about 10/12 % lower) sometime during next 6/7 weeks.

I will recommend a NIFTY / BANK NIFTY strategy after 2 weeks. Currently risk reward is in favour of going short but upward momentum may not allow you to make money.

It is not necessary that you must trade everyday or every week and sometimes it is prudent to stand aside and watch the fun and games.

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado does not help. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

APRIL 2014 TRADING LEVELS will be out by 2^nd April . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014 trading levels on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are shown.

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all 8 modules for just 30,000 rupees for the full year.

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

Indices weekly levels

TER POSN TRADING	weekly	DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
bse sensex	short	22130	22025/21920/815/710	22235
bse sensex	long	22340	22445/550/655/760	22235
CNX IT	short	9315	9215/115/9015/8915/815	9415
CNX IT	long	9415	9515/615	9315
CNX AUTO	short	5690	x	5750
CNX AUTO	long	5750	x	5690
CNX ENERGY	short	8315	x	8375
CNX ENERGY	long	8375	x	8315
CNX FMCG	short	18040	x	18210
CNX FMCG	long	18210	x	18040
CNX INFRA	short	2620	x	2642.5
CNX INFRA	long	2642.5	x	2620
CNX METAL	short	2410	x	2430
CNX METAL	long	2430	x	2410
CNX MIDCAP	short	8445	x	8535
CNX MIDCAP	long	8535	x	8445
CNX PHARMA	short	7650	x	7695
CNX PHARMA	long	7695	x	7650
CNX PSU BANKS	short	2722.5	x	2745
CNX PSU BANKS	long	2745	x	2722.5
CNX REALTY	short	182	x	184
CNX REALTY	long	184	x	182

WORLD INDICES

weekly		DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
world indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
S & P	short	1846	1830/14/1798/82	1862
S & P	long	1862	1878/94/1910	1846
nasdaq comp	short	4260	4205/150/095/040	4315
nasdaq comp	long	4315	4370/425/480	4260
dow jones	short	16225	16100/15975/850/725/600	16350
dow jones	long	16350	16475/600/725/850	16225
FTSE	short	6570	6515/460/405	6625
FTSE	long	6625	6680/735/790	6570
nikkei	short	14600	14465/330/195/060	14735
nikkei	long	14735	14870/15005/140	14600
australian ord	short	5340	5300/260/220	5380
australian ord	long	5380	5420/460/500	5340
hangseng	short	21845	21710/575/440/305	22115
hangseng	long	22115	22250/385/520/655	21845
shanghai	short	2019	1996/74/51	2041
shanghai	long	2041	2064/85/108/130	2019

COMMODITIES

weekly		DATE	31st march / 4th april 2014
commodity	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
gold	short	1294	1282/70/58/46	1306	US$ / T ounce
gold	long	1306	1318/30/42	1294
silver	short	19.73	19.44/19.15/18.86/18.57	20.01	US$ / T ounce
silver	long	20.01	20.29/20.57/20.86/21.15/21.44	19.73
crude	short	101.25	100.25/99.25	102.25	US$ / barrel
crude	long	102.25	103.25/04.25/05.25	101.25
nat gas	short	4.51	4.435/4.36/4.285/4.21	4.585	US$ / 10K MMBTU
nat gas	long	4.585	4.66/4.735/4.81	4.51
copper	short	3.015	2.975/2.935/2.895/2.855	3.055	US$ / pound
copper	long	3.055	3.095/3.135/3.175	3.015
sugar	short	469	461.5/54/46.5/39	476.5	US$ / tonne
sugar	long	476.5	484/91.5/99	469

INTRA		DATE	28th march 2014
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .
bank nifty	short	12610	12530/450/370	12690
bank nifty	long	12690	12770/850/930	12610
RELIANCE	short	901.5	898/94.5	905
RELIANCE	long	905	08.5/012/15.5	901.5
SBI	short	1840	1828/17/05/1794	1851
SBI	long	1851	1863/74	1840
icici bank	short	1259	1253/47/41	1265
icici bank	long	1265	1271/77/83	1259
LT	short	1284	1278/72/66/60	1290
LT	long	1290	1296/1302/08/14	1284
TATA MOTORS	short	395.50	393/91/88.5/86.5	398
TATA MOTORS	long	398	400/02.5/04.5	395.5
tech m	short	1826	1812/1798/84/70	1840
tech m	long	1840	1854/68	1826
JP associates	short	49.2	48.65/48.1	49.75
JP associates	long	49.75	50.3/50.85/51.4	49.2
MARUTI	short	1931	1911/1891	1951
MARUTI	long	1951	1971/91	1931
M SUMI	short	246.75	244.5/42.25/40	249
M SUMI	long	249	251.25/53.5	246.75
astra micro	short	50.8	50.2/49.6/49	51.4
astra micro	long	51.4	52/52.6/53.2	50.8

NIFTY SPOT INTRA

good morning !

nifty spot intra .... just watch the levels shown below and enter trade suitably ....

NIFTY SPOT INTRA

go short / long - 6563 / 6600

stop loss – 6581 for both

long targets – 6618/37/55

short targets – 6544/26/07

in stocks intra ..... WATCH CESC AND CHAMBAL FERT

CHEERSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS .....

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