Messages

Monday, December 1 2014
08:37 AM

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

1st / 5th december 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8526

8452/378/304

8600

long

8600

8674/748/822

8526

bse sensex

short

28560

28360/160/27960/760

28760

long

28760

28960/29160/360

28560

 BANK NIFTY

Short

18400

18260/120/17980/840/700

18540

Long

18540

18680/820/960

18400

CNX IT

short

11750

11625/500/375/250

11875

long

11875

12000/125/250/375

11750

aurobindo

Short

1101

1091/81/71/61/51

1111

Long

1111

1121/31/41

1101

axis bank

Short

476

470/64/58/52/46/40

479

Long

482

488/94/500/04

479

BOB

Short

1080

1067.5/55/42.5/30/17.5/05/992.5/80

1092.5

Long

1092.5

1105/17.5/30

1080

BHARAT FORGE

Short

969

959/49/39/29/19

979

Long

979

989/99/1009/19

969

BHARTI

Short

382.5

379/75.5/72/68.5/65

386

Long

386

389.5/93/96.5/400

382.5

CIPLA

Short

630

620/10/600/590

635

Long

640

650/60/70

635

COAL INDIA

Short

355

352/48.5/45.5/42

358.5

Long

358.5

361.5/65/68/71.5

355

dr reddys

Short

3560

3528/496/64/32/3400

3592

Long

3624

3656/88/720

3592

HDFC

Short

1148

118/28/18/08

1158

Long

1158

1168/78/88

1148

hdfc bank

Short

954

947/40/33/26

961

Long

961

968/75/82

954

HUL

Short

778

770/62/54/46

786

Long

786

794/802/10

778

ICICI BANK

Short

1739

1721/03/1685/67/49

1757

Long

1757

1775/93/1811/29

1739

INFOSYS

Short

4320

4289/58/27/196

4351

long

4351

4382/413/44/75

4320

ITC

Short

364

360.5/57/53.5/50

367.5

Long

367.5

371/74.5/78

364

LT

Short

1633

1619/05/1591/77

1647

Long

1647

1661/75/89

1633

MARUTI

Short

3334

3304/3274/44/14

3364

Long

3364

3394/424/454

3334

ONGC

Short

378.5

375/71.5/68/64.5/61

382

long

382

385.5/89/92.5/96

378.5

RELIANCE

Short

980

966/52/38/24

987

long

994

1008/22/36/50

987

SBI

Short

316

312/08/04/300

320

Long

320

324/28/32/36

316

sun pharma

Short

836

823/10/797

842.5

Long

849

862/75/88

842.5

TATAMOTORS

Short

531

526/21/16/11/06/01

536

Long

536

541/46/51/56

531

TCS

Short

2626

2603/2580/57/34/11

2649

Long

2649

2672/95/2728/41

2626

tech mahindra

Short

2626

2595/64/33/02

2657

Long

2657

2688/2719/50

2626

VOLTAS

Short

272.5

269/65.5/62/58.5/55/51.5/48

276

Long

276

279.5/83/86.5/90

272.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8500

x

8540

long

8540

x

8500

CNX ENERGY

short

9475

x

9550

long

9550

x

9475

CNX FMCG

short

20100

x

20300

long

20300

x

20100

CNX INFRA

short

3265

x

3290

long

3290

x

3265

CNX METAL

short

2830

x

2850

long

2850

x

2830

CNX MIDCAP

short

12410

x

12500

long

12500

x

12410

CNX PHARMA

short

11280

x

11400

long

11400

x

11280

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4250

x

4285

long

4285

x

4250

CNX REALTY

short

219

x

222

long

222

x

219


08:53 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

1st december  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8580

8559/38/17

8601

long

8601

8622/43/64

8580

bank nifty

short

18530

18450/370/290/210

18610

long

18610

18690/770

18530

icici bank

short

1748

1736/24/12/1700

1760

long

1760

1772/84/96

1748

bharat forge

short

962

954/46/38/30

970

long

970

978/86

962

reliance

short

989

984/79/74

994

long

994

999/1004/09

989

SBI

short

320.5

318/15.5/13/10.5/08

323

long

323

325.5/28/30.5

320.5


Friday, November 28 2014
09:13 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

28th november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8512

8477/42

8547

long

8547

8582/8617

8512

bank nifty

short

18000

17900/800/700

18100

long

18100

18200/300/400

18000

icici bank

short

1723

1713/03/1693

1733

long

1733

1743/53

1723

bharat forge

short

954

950/46/42/38

958

long

962

966/70

958

CNX IT

short

11850

11780/710

11920

long

11920

11990/12060

118502619

bhel

short

284

281/78/75/72

287

long

287

290/93/96

284


Monday, November 24 2014
07:10 AM

  PRE-EMPTING A BREAKOUT  . . . .

 

 

Trading levels --- 24th   / 28th    NOVEMBER    2014

 

The week was rather sedate but we had fireworks on the last trading day. Chinese central bank announced a sudden rate-cut of 40 basis points and taking that cue the local bull operators ramped up the bank nifty no end.  It was perceived as strong FII buying but the figures did not indicate that after close of trading.  SO IT SEEMS TO BE FRONT RUNNING AHEAD OF RBI MEET NEXT WEEK.  It seems a bit too early but the bull operators have emboldened on the back of pile of cash made over last 4/5 months.

 

It may turn out to be a failed break-out but that only time will tell. So, we must watch next week’s trading with interest.

 

Currently indices are trading over 20 times the trailing 12 month P/E and generally this indicates that some profit booking is warranted.  The projected EPS improvement is likely to take longer than expected - which means even the index projections have to be shifted minimum 6 to 9 months out.  HOWEVER THE WHOLE BROKERAGE / MF / INVESTMENT BANKING INDUSTRY RUNS ON PEER COMPARISON. SO THERE IS A GREAT DEAL OF RELUCTANCE ON  THEIR  PART TO ACCEPT THIS FACT TILL THE DIVERGENCE BECOMES GROSS. In layman’s term this is called as market is running ahead of fundamentals.

 

President Obama will be attending the republic day parade on 26th January 2015. This is a diplomatic coup achieved by our PM and it will have some positive effect on Monday morning trades.

 

So, just continue  to bask in the sunlight as long as it lasts. Forget about fundamentals / technicals / valuations. Don’t even think of BUFFET doctrine / GRAHAM’s postulate as all that does not work in these euphoric times.

 

Just hold on to the stocks that you have and don’t make any fresh investments.  Time will come for that and one needs to be patient.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

NOVEMBER 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

24th / 28th november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

28390

28255/120/27985/850

28525

long

28660

28795/930

28525

CNX IT

short

11625

11485/345/205/065

11765

long

11765

11905/12045

11625

CNX AUTO

short

8370

x

8460

long

8460

x

8370

CNX ENERGY

short

9482

x

9577

long

9577

x

9482

CNX FMCG

short

20300

x

20470

long

20470

x

20300

CNX INFRA

short

3304

x

3333

long

3333

x

3304

CNX METAL

short

2795

x

2818

long

2818

x

2795

CNX MIDCAP

short

12250

x

12390

long

12390

x

12250

CNX PHARMA

short

11195

x

11295

long

11295

x

11195

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4063

x

4113

long

4113

x

4063

CNX REALTY

short

213

x

216

long

216

x

213

 


08:51 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

24th november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8520

8497/74/51

8543

long

8543

8566/89

8520

bank nifty

short

18100

18030/17960/890/820/750

18170

long

18170

18240/320/380/450

18100

icici bank

short

1734

1727/19/12/04

1752

long

1742

1749/57/64

1734

maruti

short

3352

3336/20/04

3368

long

3368

3384/3400

3352

TCS

short

2619

2606/2593/80

2632

long

2632

2645/58/71/84

2619

CORPN BANK

short

320

318/16/14/12/10

322

long

322

324/26/28

320


08:52 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

24th november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8520

8497/74/51

8543

long

8543

8566/89

8520

bank nifty

short

18100

18030/17960/890/820/750

18170

long

18170

18240/320/380/450

18100

icici bank

short

1734

1727/19/12/04

1752

long

1742

1749/57/64

1734

maruti

short

3352

3336/20/04

3368

long

3368

3384/3400

3352

TCS

short

2619

2606/2593/80

2632

long

2632

2645/58/71/84

2619

CORPN BANK

short

320

318/16/14/12/10

322

long

322

324/26/28

320


Friday, November 21 2014
08:51 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

21st  november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8392

8376/60/44/28

8408

long

8408

8424/40/56

8392

bank nifty

short

17660

17605/550/495/440

17715

long

17715

17770/825/880

17660


Thursday, November 20 2014
08:52 AM

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

20th november 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8387

8363/39/15

8411

long

8411

8435/59

8387

bank nifty

short

17590

17490/390/290

17690

long

17690

17790/890

17590

tata motors

short

527

523/19/15

531

long

531

535/39

527

SBI

short

2905

2890/75/60

2920

long

2920

2935/50

2905

PTC

short

99.25

98/96.75/95.5

100.5

long

100..5

101.75/03/04.25

99.25

finolex ind

short

280

272/64/56/48/40

284

long

288

296/304

284