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MY WEEKLY TAKE ....

FINALLY NIFTY SUCCUMBS TO PERSISTENT FII SELLING – NOW  HEADED FOR  A NEW YEARLY LOW   AND BEYOND  . . .

Trading levels – 14^th / 18^th   December   2015

All that I wrote last week turned out to be prophetic. We did have a small bounce on Monday which was sold into and then we went on to break crucial level of 7730 exposing NIFTY to a possibility of 7300 / 7350 in days to come.

NATIONAL HERALD  case is a new hurdle cropping up  in the GST way and the congress rhetoric is rather too strong to subside before 19^th June when GANDHIS  are slated to appear in the court. After that there will be just 3 working days to debate and get GST cleared – which looks impossible at this stage.

New NGT order and   expected supreme court judgement on 15^th December  , may finally seal the fate of diesel passenger vehicle manufacturers. It will have significant impact on  AUTO sector as well as auto ancillaries like BOSCH as volumes will shrink drastically. Even the vehicle financiers will take a small knock. Watch private sector banks who are dominating this field.

We have a big event – FED RATE INCREASE – looming and that may be the occasion when we will hit our projected levels.

THIS WILL MEAN WE WILL BE BACK TO MAY 2014 LEVELS AFTER 19 MONTHS. ALL THE NAMO PREMIUM WOULD HAVE JUST EVAPORATED SINCE NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED ON THE GROUND.

Most MF investors are shell-shocked as they have large losses on their portfolios when they were promised over 20 % CAGR gains by most AMCs. NIFTY moving below MAY 2014 level  may be the inflection point at which you may see large redemptions from MFs.

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

DECEMBER  2015 TRADING LEVELS are  posted on TUESDAY.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting  my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

Indices  weekly levels