Messages

Monday, October 30 2017
08:41 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

30th  oct / 3rd nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10305

10220/135/050

10390

long

10390

10475/560

10305

bse sensex

short

33200

32950/700/450/200

33450

long

33450

33700/950

33200

bank nifty

short

24740

24420/100

25060

long

25060

25380/700

24740

cnx IT

short

10860

10770/680/590/500

10950

long

10950

11040/130

10860

ashok leyland

Short

127.5

125.5/23.5/21.5/19.5

129.5

Long

129.5

131.5/33.5

127.5

axis bank

Short

487

480/73/66/59

494

Long

494

501/08

487

bharti airtel

Short

485

480.5/76/71.5/67

489.5

Long

494

498.5/503/07.5/12

489.5

bajaj finance

Short

1816

1802/1788/74/60

1830

Long

1844

1858/72

1830

BOB

Short

169

164/59/54/49

174

Long

174

179/84/89/94

169

BEML

Short

1701

1681/61/41/21/01

1721

Long

1721

1741/61

1701

BOSCH

Short

21390

21160/20930/700/470/240/010

21620

Long

21620

21850/22080

21390

eicher motors

Short

31710

31380/050/30720/390/060

32040

long

32040

32370/700

31710

ESCORTS

Short

737

730/23/16/09/02

744

Long

744

751/58/65

737

hdfc bank

Short

1790

1774/58/42/26/10

1806

Long

1806

1822/38

1790

HDFC

Short

1706

1690/74/58/42/26/10

1724

Long

1724

1740/56

1706

HUL

Short

1255

1241/27/13/1199

1269

Long

1269

1283/97

1255

ICICI BANK

Short

297

294/91/88/85

300

Long

303

306/09/12

300

INFOSYS

Short

943

934/25/16/07

952

long

952

961/70

943

indusind bank

Short

1629

1609/1589/69/49

1649

Long

1649

1669/89

1629

IB HSG

Short

1273

1254/35/16/1197

1292

Long

1292

1311/30

1273

ITC

Short

268.5

265/61.5/58/54.5/51

272

Long

272

275.5/79

268.5

LT

Short

1219

1202/1185/68/51

1236

Long

1236

1253/70

1219

M&M

Short

1380

1362/44/26

1398

Long

1398

1416/34

1380

MARUTI

Short

8150

8075/8000/7925/850

8225

Long

8225

8300/375

81250

PNB

Short

191.5

185/78.5/72

198

Long

198

204.5/11

191.5

RELIANCE

Short

929

916/03

942

long

942

955/68

929

SBI

Short

311

303/295/87

319

Long

319

327/35

311

TATAMOTORS

Short

429

425/21/17/13

433

Long

437

441/45

433

tata steel

Short

728

718/08/698

738

Long

738

748/58

728

TCS

Short

2574

2547/20/2493/66

2601

Long

2601

2628/55

2574

TVS MOTORS

Short

717

710/03/696/89/82

723

Long

723

729/35/41

717

TITAN

Short

595

585/75/65/55

605

Long

605

615/25

595

VOLTAS

Short

539

532/25/18/11/04

546

Long

546

553/60

539

YES BANK

Short

303

294.5/86

312.5

Long

312.5

321/29.5

303

ULTRATECH

Short

4425

4390/55/20/285/250

4460

Long

4460

4495/530/565/600

4425

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11280

x

11370

long

11370

x

11280

CNX ENERGY

short

14330

x

14490

long

14490

x

14330

CNX FMCG

short

25750

x

26000

long

26000

x

25750

CNX INFRA

short

3540

x

3575

long

3575

x

3540

CNX METAL

short

3960

x

4000

long

4000

x

3960

NIFTY MID100

short

19300

x

19430

long

19560

x

19430

CNX PHARMA

short

9670

x

9755

long

9755

x

9670

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3840

x

3895

long

3895

x

3840

CNX REALTY

short

291.5

x

295

long

295

x

291.5


Monday, October 23 2017
08:43 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th october 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10150

10046/9942

10254

long

10254

10358/462

10150

bse sensex

short

32470

32230/31990/750/510

32710

long

32710

32950

32470

bank nifty

short

24150

23890/630/370

24410

long

24410

24670/930

24150

cnx IT

short

10850

10750/650/550

10950

long

10950

11050/150/250

10850

ashok leyland

Short

128.25

126/23.75/21.5

130.5

Long

130.5

132.75/135

128.25

axis bank

Short

462

458/54/50

466

Long

470

474/78/82

466

bajaj finance

Short

1870

1843/16/1789/62/35/08

1897

Long

1897

1924/51

1870

BOB

Short

136

134/32/30

138

Long

138

140/42

136

BEML

Short

1723

1702/1681/60

1744

Long

1744

1765/86

1723

BOSCH

Short

21920

21620/320/020/20720/420

22220

Long

22220

22520/820

21920

eicher motors

Short

31700

31400/100/30800/500/200

32000

long

32000

32300/600/900

31700

ESCORTS

Short

721

713/05/697/89

729

Long

729

737/45

721

hdfc bank

Short

1854

1841/28/15/02

1867

Long

1867

1880/93/1906

1854

HDFC

Short

1762

1748/34/20/06/1692/78

1776

Long

1776

1790/1804

1762

HUL

Short

1267

1250/33/16/1199/82

1284

Long

1284

1301/18/35

1267

ICICI BANK

Short

260.5

257/53.5/50/46.5/43

264

Long

264

267.5/71

260.5

INFOSYS

Short

927

917/07/897

937

long

937

947/57/67/77

927

indusind bank

Short

1718

1695/72/49/26/03

1741

Long

1741

1764/87

1718

IB HSG

Short

1369

1346/23/1300

1392

Long

1392

1415/38

1369

ITC

Short

273

271/69/67/65/63/61

275

Long

277

279/81/83

275

LT

Short

1154

1137/20/03/1086

1171

Long

1171

1188/1205

1154

M&M

Short

1376

1360/44/28/12

1392

Long

1392

1408/24

1376

MARUTI

Short

7820

7755/690/625/560

7885

Long

7885

7950/8015/80

7820

PNB

Short

131

128/25/22

132.5

Long

134

137/40

132.5

RELIANCE

Short

919

907/895/83/71

931

long

931

943/55

919

SBI

Short

247

245/43/41/39

249

Long

251

253/55

249

TATAMOTORS

Short

433.5

429/24.5/20

438

Long

438

442.5/47/51.5/56

433.5

tata steel

Short

716

708/700/692/84

724

Long

724

732/40

716

TCS

Short

2600

2570/40/10

2630

Long

2630

2660/90

2600

TVS MOTORS

Short

686

680/74/68/62/56/50

692

Long

692

698/704

686

TITAN

Short

613

602/591/80

624

Long

624

635/46

613

VOLTAS

Short

541

535/29/23/17

547

Long

547

553/59

541

YES BANK

Short

363.5

360/56.5/53/49.6/46

367

Long

367

370.5/74

363.5

ULTRATECH

Short

4110

4080/50/20/3990/60/30/3900

4140

Long

4140

4170/200

4110


Monday, October 16 2017
08:45 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

16th / 20th  october 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10136

10065/9994/23

10207

long

10278

10349/420

10207

bse sensex

short

32460

32290/120/31950/780

32630

long

32800

32970/33140

32630

bank nifty

short

24640

24510/380/250/120

24770

long

24900

25030/160/290

24770

cnx IT

short

10840

10710/580/450

10970

long

10970

11100/230

10840

ashok leyland

Short

125

123.5/22/20.5/19/17.5/16

126.5

Long

128

129.5/31/32.5/34

126.5

axis bank

Short

524

518/12/06/500

530

Long

530

536/42

524

bajaj finance

Short

1953

1930/07/1884/61

1980

Long

1980

2003/26/49

1953

BOB

Short

140

138/36/34

142

Long

142

144/46

140

BEML

Short

1728

1706/1684/62

1750

Long

1750

1772/94

1728

BOSCH

Short

21680

21400/120/20840/560

21960

Long

21960

22240/520/800

21680

eicher motors

Short

31600

31300/31000/30700/400/100

31900

long

32200

32500/800/33100/400

31900

ESCORTS

Short

711

702/693/84

720

Long

720

729/38/47

711

hdfc bank

Short

1840

1826/12/1798/84/70

1854

Long

1868

1872/86/1900

1854

HDFC

Short

1782

1757/32/07/1682/57/32

1807

Long

1807

1832/57

1782

HUL

Short

1251

1238/25/12/199

1264

Long

1264

1277/90

1251

ICICI BANK

Short

271

267.5/64/60.5/57

274.5

Long

274.5

278/81.5/85

271

INFOSYS

Short

925

918/11/04/897/90

932

long

939

946/53/60

932

indusind bank

Short

1717

1692/67/42/17

1742

Long

1742

1767/92

1717

IB HSG

Short

1285

1271/57/43/29/15/01

1299

Long

1299

1313/27/41

1285

ITC

Short

267

264/61/58/55

270

Long

270

273/76

267

LT

Short

1131

1114/1097/80

1148

Long

1148

1165/82/99

1131

M&M

Short

1328

1314/1300/1286/72

1342

Long

1342

1356/70

1328

MARUTI

Short

7900

7830/760/690/620/550

7970

Long

7970

8040/8110/8180/250

7900

PNB

Short

134

132.5/31/29.5/28

135.5

Long

137

138.5/40

135.5

RELIANCE

Short

882

874/66/58/50

890

long

898

906/14/22/30

890

SBI

Short

254

250.5/47/43.5/40

257.5

Long

257.5

261/64.5/68

254

TATAMOTORS

Short

421

416/11/06/401

426

Long

426

431/36/41

421

tata steel

Short

708

700/692/84/76

716

Long

716

724/32/40

708

TCS

Short

2535

2510/2485/60/35/10

2560

Long

2560

2585/2610/35

2535

TVS MOTORS

Short

697.5

691/84.5/78/71.5/65

704

Long

704

710.5/17

697.5

TITAN

Short

622.5

617/11.5/06/600.5/595

628

Long

628

633.5/39/44.5/50

622.5

VOLTAS

Short

532.5

526/19.5/13/06.5/500

539

Long

539

545.5/52

532.5

YES BANK

Short

367

363/59/55/51

371

Long

371

375/79/83

367

ULTRATECH

Short

4006

3956/06/3856/806

4056

Long

4056

4106/156

4006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11120

x

11210

long

11210

x

11120

CNX ENERGY

short

13700

x

13830

long

13830

x

13700

CNX FMCG

short

25450

x

25675

long

25675

x

25450

CNX INFRA

short

3340

x

3390

long

3390

x

3340

CNX METAL

short

3785

x

3835

long

3835

x

3785

NIFTY MID100

short

18620

x

18870

long

18870

x

18620

CNX PHARMA

short

9500

x

9590

long

9590

x

9500

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3045

x

3087

long

3087

x

3045

CNX REALTY

short

283

x

285

long

287

x

285


Sunday, October 15 2017
06:28 PM

HITTING  ALL  TIME  HIGH  IS BECOMING A HABIT …. IS IT  ? ? ?

 

 

As I sit down to write this DIWALI article, we have hit an all time high and an all time closing high the previous trading day. AND WE HAVE DONE IT 3 TIMES IN LAST 10/12 WEEKS …. SO … IS IT HABIT FORMING ?

 

Let us briefly review  what has happened in the past 12 months. I CAN TELL YOU THAT THIS WAS THE MOST TUMULTOUS YEAR THAT WE HAVE SEEN IN LAST TWO DECADES. The previous occasion was in 1991 /92 – the first year of PV Narsimhrao / Manmohansingh duo.

 

Immediately after DIWALI, we had to face un-official financial  / economic emergency by way of DEMONETISATION  and the very strict and ever changing RBI regulations about withdrawals etc.  We had as many as 32 RBI circulars in 50 days.  JURY IS STILL OUT WHETHER IT WAS A SUCCESS OR A FAILURE  but one thing is certain that it disrupted the businesses no end – resulting into some temporary and some permanent job losses. Government has not put out any official figure but unofficial figure is about 1.5 million jobs lost …THAT IS BIG - particularly when we are struggling to create few lakh jobs per year.

 

The MSME sector suffered no end and by the time they were just coming out of this shock …. THEY HAD TO FACE ANOTHER TSUNAMI  … in the form of GST. This was again a massive disruption which MSME sector is finding difficult to cope with.

 

SOME OF THE ANALYSTS ARE ON RECORD STATING THAT  -  in the coming 2/3 years  -  60 TO 80 % MSME SECTOR WILL EITHER CLOSE DOWN OR WILL BECOME VENDORS TO LARGE MANUFACTURERS. IN EITHER CASE – THEY WOULD HAVE LOST THEIR IDENTITY /  ECONOMIC INDEPENDENCE JUST FOR THE SAKE OF SURVIVAL.

 

Now let us look at the positives --- ECONOMY IS GETTING FORMALISED / THE BANKS ARE FLUSH WITH CHEAP CASA FUNDS AND THE INVESTMENTS ARE GETTING ROUTED TO FINACIAL INSTRUMENTS RATHER THAN PHYSICAL ASSETS.

 

This is the crux of the huge boom which you have seen in NIFTY  in last 10 months. MFs are getting dollops of money  - month after month  - and every time they are chasing same old favourites - sending their valuations thru the roof.

 

When the going is good …. It sounds great but the risk / reward ratio is no more in favour of fresh investments unless you are looking at minimum 2/3 years time frame. 

 

I HAVE BEEN ADVOCATING SKIMMING OF PROFITS FROM TIME TO TIME. AS AN INDIVIDUAL YOU HAVE THAT LIBERTY  AS YOU DO NOT HAVE PEER PRESSURE WHICH MF FUND MANAGERS HAVE.

 

I  will recommend to wait on the sidelines with booked profit in your hand and get back with full gusto when you see earnings returning for one or two quarters. YOUR ENTRY MAY BE LITTLE LATE BUT YOU  WILL NOT HAVE ROASTED BOTTOMS IF SOMETHING UNTOWARD HAPPENS IN THE INTERVENING PERIOD.

 

As you know, I am a very conservative person and I PREFER TO BE SAFE THAN SORRY.

 

Pl find below my annual trading levels for indices / large nifty stocks and some popular highly traded stocks.  I HOPE THESE LEVELS WILL GIVE YOU SOME GUIDANCE IN YOUR  INVETMENT  ACTIVITIES.

 

 

WISING YOU

A VERY HAPPY AND PROSPEROUS

SAMVAT 2074

 

 

MADHAV RANADE

 

 

 

 

 

FOR TRIGGER, TWO WEEKLY CLOSES DESIRABLE BUT MINIMUM ONE IS A MUST

 
 

posn trading lvls

 

 

samvat - 2074

 

 

stock / indices

go

entry

targets

stoploss

 

bse sensex

short

31500

30400/29300/28200/27100/26000

32600

 

long

33700

34800/35900/37000/38100

32600

 

NIFTY SPOT

short

9800

9560/9320/9080/8840/8600

10040

 

long

10280

10520/10760/11000/11240

10040

 

CNX IT

short

10450

10100/9750/9400

10800

 

long

11150

11500/850/12200

10800

 

NSE bankex

short

24450

23800/23150/22500/21850/21200

25100

 

long

25750

26400/27050/27700

25100

 

LARGE NIFTY STOCKS

 
 

HDFC

short

1680

1600/1520/1440/1360/1280/1200

1760

 

long

1840

1920/2000/2080/2160

1760

 

HDFC BANK

short

1750

1660/1570/1480/1390/1300

1840

 

long

1940

2030/2120

1840

 

HUL

short

1200

1140/1080/1020/960/900

1260

 

long

1320

1380/1440/1500

1260

 

ICICI BANK

short

260

244/28/12/196/180

276

 

long

292

308/24/40

276

 

INFY

short

960

900/840/780/720

1020

 

long

1080

1140/1200

1020

 

ITC

short

252

237/222/207/192

267

 

long

282

297/312/327/342

267

 

LT

short

1200

1115/1030/945/860

1285

 

long

1370

1455/1540

1285

 

MARUTI

short

7250

6700/6150/5600

7800

 

long

8350

8900/9450/1000

7800

 

RELIANCE

short

800

745/690/635/580

855

 

long

910

965/1020/1075/1130

855

 

SBI

short

246

230/214/198/182

262

 

long

278

294/310/326

262

 

TCS

short

2500

2390/2280/2170/2060/1950

2610

 

long

2720

2830/2940/3050

2610

 

POPULAR / HIGHLY TRADED STOCKS

 
 

ASHOK LEYLAND

short

121

114.5/108/101.5/95/88.5/82

127.5

 

long

134

140.5/47/53.5/60

127.5

 

TVS MOTORS

short

668

630/592/554/516

706

 

long

744

782/820

706

 

AUROBINDO

short

710

670/630/590/550/510

750

 

long

790

830/870/910/950/990

750

 

ASIAN PAINTS

short

1150

1095/1040/985/930/875/820

1205

 

long

1260

1315/1370/1425/1480

1205

 

ESCORTS

short

685

650/615/580/545/510

720

 

long

755

790/825/860

720

 

BAJAJ FINANCE

short

1810

1710/1610/1510/1410/1310/1210

1910

 

long

2010

2110/2210/2310/2410

1910

 

BATA

short

740

695/650/605/560/515/470

785

 

long

830

875/920/965/1010

785

 

BHARAT FORGE

short

615

540/465

652

 

long

690

765/840

652

 

AXIS BANK

short

515

490/465/440/415/390

540

 

long

565

590/615/640/665

540

 

BHARAT FORGE

short

615

540/465

652

 

long

690

765/840

652

 

YES BANK

short

348

332/316/300/284/268

364

 

long

380

396/412/428/444/460

364

 

INDUSIND BANK

short

1680

1570/1460/1350/1240

1790

 

long

1900

2010/2120

1790

 

TATA STEEL

short

665

630/595/560/525/490

700

 

long

735

770/805/840/875

700

 

VEDANTA

short

310

290/270/250/230/210

330

 

long

350

370/390

330

 

 


Monday, October 9 2017
08:43 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

9th / 13th  october 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

9955

9860/765/670

10050

long

10050

10145/240

9955

bse sensex

short

31780

31580/280/30980/680

32080

long

32080

32380/680

32780

bank nifty

short

24270

24110/23950/790/630

24430

long

24590

24750/910

24430

cnx IT

short

10630

10540/450/360/270

10720

long

10720

10810/900/990

10630

ashok leyland

Short

124.75

123.5/22.25/21/19.75

126

Long

126

127.25/28.5/29.75/31

124.75

axis bank

Short

503

499/95/91

507

Long

507

511/15/19/23

503

bajaj finance

Short

1906

1890/74/58/42

1922

Long

1922

1938/54/70/86

1906

BOB

Short

141

139/37/35/33

143

Long

143

145/47

141

BEML

Short

1737

1715/1693/71

1759

Long

1759

1781/1803

1737

BOSCH

Short

21250

20900/550/200

21600

Long

21600

21950/22300

21250

eicher motors

Short

31500

31200/30900/600/300/30000

31800

long

31800

32100/400/700/33000

31500

ESCORTS

Short

692

684/76/68/60

700

Long

700

708/16/24

692

hdfc bank

Short

1811

1797/83/69/55/41

1825

Long

1825

1839/53

1811

HDFC

Short

1742

1720/1698/76/54

1764

Long

1764

1786/1808

1742

HUL

Short

1209

1195/81/67/53

1223

Long

1223

1237/51

1209

ICICI BANK

Short

273

270/67/64/61

276

Long

276

279/82/85

273

INFOSYS

Short

916

903/890/77/64

929

long

929

942/55

916

IB HSG

Short

1269

1250/31/12/1193

1288

Long

1288

1307/26

1269

ITC

Short

265

262/59/56

268

Long

268

271/74/77/80

265

LT

Short

1138

1128/18/08

1148

Long

1148

1158/68

1138

M&M

Short

1298

1285/72/59/46

1311

Long

1311

1324/37

1298

MARUTI

Short

7880

7800/7720/640/560

7960

Long

7960

8040/120

7880

PNB

Short

138

136.75/35.5/34.25/33

139.25

Long

139.25

140.5/41.75/43

138

RELIANCE

Short

836

823/10

849

long

849

862/75

836

SBI

Short

256

252.5/49/45.5/42

259.5

Long

259.5

263/66.5/70

256

TATAMOTORS

Short

429

424/19/14

434

Long

434

439/44

429

tata steel

Short

684

676/68/60

692

Long

692

700/08

684

TCS

Short

2436

2422/2390/58

2460

Long

2460

2518/50

2436

TVS MOTORS

Short

661

654.5/48/41.5/35

667.5

Long

667.5

674/80.5

661

TITAN

Short

616

606/596

626

Long

626

636/46

616

VOLTAS

Short

525

518/11/04

532

Long

532

539/46

525

YES BANK

Short

366

361.5/57/52.5/48

370.5

Long

370.5

375/79.5/84

366

ULTRATECH

Short

3930

3880/30/780/730

3980

Long

3980

4030/80

3930

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

10990

x

11110

long

11110

x

10990

CNX ENERGY

short

13410

x

13525

long

13525

x

13410

CNX FMCG

short

25220

x

25460

long

25460

x

25220

CNX INFRA

short

3258

x

3304

long

3304

x

3258

CNX METAL

short

3703

x

3752

long

3752

x

3703

NIFTY MID100

short

18490

x

18675

long

18675

x

18490

CNX PHARMA

short

9437

x

9538

long

9538

x

9437

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3100

x

3126

long

3126

x

3100

CNX REALTY

short

278.5

x

282.5

long

282.5

x

278.5