Messages

Monday, November 27 2017
08:26 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

27th nov / 1st dec 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10375

10325/275/225

10425

long

10475

10525/575

10425

bank nifty

short

25660

25490/320/150

25830

long

26000

26170/340

25830

BSE SENSEX

short

33550

33375/200/025/32850

33725

long

33900

34075/250

33725

cnx IT

short

11280

11205/130/055/10980

11355

long

11430

11505/580

11355

ashok leyland

Short

119

117.25/15.5/13.75/12/10.25

120.75

Long

120.75

122.5/24.25

119

axis bank

Short

544.5

539/33.5/28

550

Long

550

555.5/61

544.5

bharat forge

Short

703

695/87/79/71/63

711

Long

711

719/27/35

703

bharti airtel

Short

494.5

490.5/86.5/82.5

498.5

Long

498.5

502.5/06.5/10.5

494.5

bajaj finance

Short

1788

1765/42/19

1811

Long

1811

1834/57/80

1788

BOB

Short

175

172.5/70/67.5/65

177.5

Long

180

182.5/85

177.5

BEML

Short

1683

1664/45/26

1702

Long

1702

1721/40

1683

BOSCH

Short

19090

18900/710/520/330/140

19280

Long

19280

19470/660/850

19090

eicher motors

Short

30750

30500/250/30000/29750/500

31000

long

31000

31250/500

30750

ESCORTS

Short

683

673/63/53

693

Long

693

703/13

683

hdfc bank

Short

1852

1830/08/1786/64

1874

Long

1874

1896/1918

1852

HDFC

Short

1718

1701/1684/67/50

1735

Long

1735

1752/69

1718

HUL

Short

1272

1262/52/42/32/22/12

1282

Long

1292

1302/12

1282

ICICI BANK

Short

317.5

315/12.5/10/07.5/05

320

Long

322.5

325/27.5/30

320

INFOSYS

Short

997

987/77/67

1007

long

1007

1017/27

997

indusind bank

Short

1672

1652/32/12/1592

1692

Long

1692

1712/32

1672

IB HSG

Short

1178

1167/56/45/34/23/12/01

1189

Long

1189

1200/11/22/33

1178

ITC

Short

261

259/57/55/53

263

Long

265

267/69

263

LT

Short

1222

1207/1192/77/62

1237

Long

1237

1252/67

1222

M&M

Short

1427

1405/1383/61/39

1449

Long

1449

1471/93

1427

MARUTI

Short

8410

8320/230/140/050

8500

Long

8500

8590/680

8410

PNB

Short

184

181.5/79/76.5/74/71.5

186.5

Long

189

191.5/94

186.5

RELIANCE

Short

948

941/34/27/20

955

long

962

969/76/83/90

955

SBI

Short

330

327/24/21/18/15/12

333

Long

336

339/42/45/48

333

TATAMOTORS

Short

424

419.5/15/10.5/06

428.5

Long

428.5

433/37.5/41

424

tata steel

Short

708

702/696/90/84/78

714

Long

714

720/26

708

TCS

Short

2700

2679/58/37/16

2721

Long

2721

2742/63

2700

TVS MOTORS

Short

736

730/24/18/12

742

Long

742

748/54

736

TITAN

Short

823

811/799

835

Long

835

847/59

823

VOLTAS

Short

615

697/599/91

623

Long

623

631/39

615

YES BANK

Short

310

302.5/295/87.5/80

314

Long

317.5

325/32.5

314

ULTRATECH

Short

4230

4185/40/4095/50/4005

4275

Long

4275

4320/65

4230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11340

x

11450

long

11450

x

11340

CNX ENERGY

short

14410

x

14500

long

14500

x

14410

CNX FMCG

short

25900

x

26100

long

26100

x

25900

CNX INFRA

short

3535

x

3560

long

3560

x

3535

CNX METAL

short

3780

x

3815

long

3815

x

3780

NIFTY MID100

short

19800

x

20000

long

20000

x

19800

CNX PHARMA

short

9360

x

9425

long

9425

x

9360

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4025

x

4065

long

4065

x

4025

CNX REALTY

short

314.5

x

318

long

318

x

314.5


Monday, November 20 2017
07:59 AM

MOODYS OBLIGES MODI ….. BUT WILL THAT MAKE HIM A HEADSTRONG REFORMER OR A POPULIST LEADER ? ? ?

 

Trading levels – 20th / 24th  November  2017

 

This Friday morning was probably the most pleasant morning for MODI / SHAH duo since 16th may 2014 – the day of election verdict. MOODYS HAD UPGRADED INDIA’S SOVEREIGN RATING TO BAA2 – STABLE OUTLOOK FROM BAA3 – POSITIVE OUTLOOK. This upgrade came after 13 long years.

 

How much  we should  read into this upgrade ?  In 2004, we had BBB rating – which was JUNK category. This was not investment grade. Naturally, hardly any FIIs could invest in INDIA.  SO THIS MOVE  - FROM JUNK CATEGORY  BBB TO INVESTMENT GRADE BAA3 -  WAS A PARADIGM SHIFT. This time, the impact will be much  muted.  AT BEST – WE MAY HAVE SOME 25/30 BASIS POINT RELIEF WHEN WE TRY TO BORROW FROM OVERSEAS SOURCES.

 

The markets showed a huge surge on Friday in first half an hour. However … there was no follow-up buying and the gains were moderated by the end of the day.

 

THIS WAS NOT REALLY A GOOD OMEN FOR THE BULLS.  I expect markets to get into slow grinding mood with negative bias from Monday onwards  - slowly  moving towards 10,000 NIFTY or even lower.

 

Later in the evening, crude again made a dash beyond 62 dollars  along with increase in other precious metals -  which is not exactly a good news for the market.

 

BUT, THE BIGGEST RISK TO THE MARKET IS MODI’S MOOD. After getting the upgrade, he may suddenly become an adamant headstrong reformer  and try to become a populist leader in other areas because of election compulsions. HE MAY THROW CAUTION TO THE WIND AS FAR AS FRBM IS CONCERNED BY ANNOUNCING A SLEW OF POPULIST MEASURES TO SATISFY CERTAIN VOTE BANKS. This could hurt industry and honest tax paying middle class no end.

 

Both the  gaps in the NIFTY daily chart – 10237 / 10240 and 10104 / 10124 were filled last week. Negative divergences on MACD and money flow charts are still suggesting further correction hence I feel confident of the slide again – this time below 50DMA and towards 10,000.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

NOVEMBER  2017 TRADING LEVELS are posted. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please ping me on 9371002943 on WHATSAPP for any queries.  Please identify yourself clearly.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245

CNX AUTO

short

11110

x

11220

long

11220

x

11110

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14100

long

14100

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25470

x

25670

long

25670

x

25470

CNX INFRA

short

3485

x

3530

long

3530

x

3485

CNX METAL

short

3705

x

3740

long

3740

x

3705

NIFTY MID100

short

19360

x

19550

long

19550

x

19360

CNX PHARMA

short

9130

x

9240

long

9240

x

9130

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3891

x

3891

long

4004

x

4004

CNX REALTY

short

300

x

304

long

304

x

300

 


08:38 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

20th / 24th   nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10214

10155/086/017

10283

long

10283

10352/421/490

10214

bank nifty

short

25320

25130/24940/750

25510

long

25510

25700/890/26080

25320

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32940/730/520/310

33360

long

33360

33570/780

33150

cnx IT

short

11245

11150/055/10960

11340

long

11340

11435/530

11245

ashok leyland

Short

116.5

114.5/12.5/10.5/08.5/06.5

118.5

Long

118.5

120.5/22.5

116.5

axis bank

Short

543

537.5/32/26.5/21

548.5

Long

548.5

554/59.5/65

543

bharat forge

Short

714

706/698/90/82

722

Long

722

730/38

714

bharti airtel

Short

493

484/75

497.5

Long

502

511/20

497.5

bajaj finance

Short

1787

1763/39/15

1811

Long

1811

1835/59

1787

BOB

Short

183

180/77/74/71/68

186

Long

186

189/92

183

BEML

Short

1633

1612/1591/70

1654

Long

1654

1675/96

1633

BOSCH

Short

19075

18850/625/400/175

19300

Long

19300

19525/750

19075

eicher motors

Short

30900

30650/400/150/29900/650

31150

long

31150

31400/650

30900

ESCORTS

Short

698

688/78/68/58

708

Long

708

718/28

698

hdfc bank

Short

1819

1802/1785/68/51

1836

Long

1836

1853/70

1819

HDFC

Short

1703

1688/73/58/43

1718

Long

1718

1733/48

1703

HUL

Short

1282

1261/40/19

1303

Long

1303

1324/45

1282

ICICI BANK

Short

327

324/21/18/15/12/09

330

Long

330

333/36

327

INFOSYS

Short

970

962/54/46/38/30

978

long

978

986/94

970

indusind bank

Short

1637

1626/15/04/1593/82/71

1648

Long

1659

1670/81

1648

IB HSG

Short

1175

1156/37/18/1099/80

1194

Long

1194

1213/32

1175

ITC

Short

257

253.5/50/46.5/43

260.5

Long

260.5

264/67.5

257

LT

Short

1225

1209/1193/77/61

1241

Long

1241

1257/73/89

1225

M&M

Short

1417

1396/75/54/33

1438

Long

1438

1459/80

1417

MARUTI

Short

8250

8160/070/7980/890/800

8340

Long

8340

8430/520

8250

PNB

Short

188

185.5/83/80.5/78/75.5/73

190.5

Long

193

195.5/98/200.5/203

190.5

RELIANCE

Short

910

900/890/80/70/60

920

long

930

940/50

920

SBI

Short

338

334/30/26/22/18/14/10

342

Long

342

346/50

338

TATAMOTORS

Short

422

418.5/15/11.5/08

425.5

Long

429

432.5/36

425.5

tata steel

Short

702

691/80/69

713

Long

713

724/35

702

TCS

Short

2698

2670/42/14

2726

Long

2726

2754/82

2698

TVS MOTORS

Short

706

699/92/85/78/71

713

Long

720

727/34

713

TITAN

Short

791

784/77/70/63/56

798

Long

798

805/12

791

VOLTAS

Short

613

606/599/92/85

620

Long

620

627/34

613

YES BANK

Short

306

303.5/301/298.5/96/93.5/91

308.5

Long

311

313.5/16

308.5

ULTRATECH

Short

4230

4170/110/050/3990/930

4290

Long

4290

4350/410

4230

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11110

x

11220

long

11220

x

11110

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14100

long

14100

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25470

x

25670

long

25670

x

25470

CNX INFRA

short

3485

x

3530

long

3530

x

3485

CNX METAL

short

3705

x

3740

long

3740

x

3705

NIFTY MID100

short

19360

x

19550

long

19550

x

19360

CNX PHARMA

short

9130

x

9240

long

9240

x

9130

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3891

x

3891

long

4004

x

4004

CNX REALTY

short

300

x

304

long

304

x

300


Monday, November 13 2017
08:28 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

13th / 17th  nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10308

10240/172/104

10376

long

10444

10512/580

10376

bank nifty

short

25380

25060/24740

25540

long

25700

26020

25540

BSE SENSEX

short

33150

32925/700/475/250/025/31800

33375

long

33600

34825/35050

33375

cnx IT

short

11135

11020/10905

11250

long

11250

11365/480

11135

ashok leyland

Short

111

108.5/06/03.5/101

112.25

Long

113.5

116/18.5/21

112.25

axis bank

Short

544.5

541/37.5/34/30.5/27

548

Long

551.5

555/58.5/62/65.5/69

548

bharat forge

Short

714

706/698/90/82

722

Long

722

730/38

714

bharti airtel

Short

501

496.5/92/87.5/83

505.5

Long

510

514.5/19

505.5

bajaj finance

Short

1760

1730/1700/1670/40/10

1790

Long

1790

1820/50

1760

BOB

Short

171

169/67/65/63/61

173

Long

173

175/77/79/81

171

BEML

Short

1770

1752/34/16

1788

Long

1788

1806/24

1770

BOSCH

Short

20450

20250/050/19850/650/450

20650

Long

20850

21050/250/450/650

20650

eicher motors

Short

30500

30250/30000/29750/500/250

30750

long

31000

31250/500

30750

ESCORTS

Short

715

700/685/70

722.5

Long

730

745/60

722.5

hdfc bank

Short

1830

1810/1790/70/50

1850

Long

1850

1870/90

1830

HDFC

Short

1720

1695/70/45/20

1745

Long

1745

1770/95

1720

HUL

Short

1293

1282/71/60/49

1305

Long

1305

1316/27

1293

ICICI BANK

Short

313.5

307/300.5/294

316.75

Long

320

326.5/33

316.75

INFOSYS

Short

954

942/30/18

966

long

966

978/90

954

indusind bank

Short

1667

1640/13/1586/59

1694

Long

1694

1721/48

1667

IB HSG

Short

1227

1213/1199/85

1241

Long

1241

1255/69

1227

ITC

Short

262

259/56/53/50

265

Long

265

268/71

262

LT

Short

1269

1258/47/36/25/14

1280

Long

1280

1291/1302

1269

M&M

Short

1395

1383/71/59/47

1407

Long

1407

1419/31/43

1395

MARUTI

Short

8170

8080/7990/900/810/720

8260

Long

8260

8350

8170

PNB

Short

191

188/85/82/79

194

Long

194

197/200

191

RELIANCE

Short

888

879/70/61/52

897

long

897

906/15/24

888

SBI

Short

336

333.5/31/28.5/26/23.5/21

338.5

Long

341

343.5/46/48.5

338.5

TATAMOTORS

Short

423

419.5/16/12.5/09

426.5

Long

430

433.5/37

426.5

tata steel

Short

700

690/80/70

710

Long

710

720/30/40

700

TCS

Short

2717

2696/75/54

2738

Long

2738

2759/80

2717

TVS MOTORS

Short

692

683/74/65

701

Long

701

710/19

692

TITAN

Short

775

760/745/730

790

Long

790

805/820

775

VOLTAS

Short

566

560/54/48/42

572

Long

572

578/84

566

YES BANK

Short

303.5

300/296.5/93/89.5/86

307

Long

310.5

314/17.5

307

ULTRATECH

Short

4453

4423/4393/63

4483

Long

4483

4513/43

4453

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11220

x

11360

long

11360

x

11220

CNX ENERGY

short

13900

x

14040

long

14040

x

13900

CNX FMCG

short

25920

x

26000

long

26000

x

25920

CNX INFRA

short

3580

x

3620

long

3620

x

3580

CNX METAL

short

3880

x

3915

long

3915

x

3880

NIFTY MID100

short

19500

x

19700

long

19700

x

19500

CNX PHARMA

short

9300

x

9425

long

9425

x

9300

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4030

x

4095

long

4160

x

4095

CNX REALTY

short

306.5

x

308

long

311.5

x

308


Monday, November 6 2017
08:27 AM

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

6th / 10th nov 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

10410

10330/250/170/090/010

10490

long

10490

10570/650

10410

bank nifty

short

25600

25410/220/030/24840

25790

long

25790

25980/26170

25600

BSE SENSEX

short

33570

33360/150/32940/730

33780

long

33780

33990/34200

33570

cnx IT

short

10860

10750/640/530/420

10970

long

10970

11080/190

10860

ashok leyland

Short

124

122/20/18/16

126

Long

126

128/30/32

124

axis bank

Short

536

531/26/21/16

541

Long

546

551/56/61

541

bharat forge

Short

698

690.5/83/75.5/68

705.5

Long

713

720.5/28/35.5/43

705.5

bharti airtel

Short

539

533.5/28/22.5/17/11.5/06

544.5

Long

550

555.5/61/66.5/72

544.5

bajaj finance

Short

1831

1814/1797/80/63/46/29

1848

Long

1848

1865/82

1831

BOB

Short

170.5

166/61.5/57/52.5/48

172.75

Long

175

179.5/84/88.5/93

172.75

BEML

Short

1738

1716.1694/72/50

1760

Long

1760

1782/1804

1738

BOSCH

Short

21025

20800/575/350/125/19900

21250

Long

21250

21475/700/925

21025

eicher motors

Short

31220

30960/700/440/180/29920/660

31480

long

31480

31740/32000

31220

ESCORTS

Short

725

713/01/689/77/65

737

Long

737

749/61

725

hdfc bank

Short

1822

1799/76/53/30

1845

Long

1845

1868/91

1822

HDFC

Short

1776

1760/44/28/12/1696/80

1792

Long

1792

1808/24/40

1776

HUL

Short

1236

1221/06/1191/76

1251

Long

1251

1266/81

1236

ICICI BANK

Short

315.5

309/02.5/296/89.5

322

Long

322

328.5/35

315.5

INFOSYS

Short

929

914/899/84/69

944

long

944

959/74

929

indusind bank

Short

1672

1657/42/27/12

1687

Long

1687

1702/17

1672

IB HSG

Short

1222

1205/1188/71/54/37/20

1239

Long

1239

1256/73/90

1222

ITC

Short

265

262.5/60/57.5/55

267.5

Long

267.5

270/72.5/75

265

LT

Short

1220

1206/1192/78/64

1234

Long

1234

1248/62

1220

M&M

Short

1325

1304/1283/62/1/20

1346

Long

1346

1367/88

1325

MARUTI

Short

8180

8080/7980/7880/7780/7680

8280

Long

8280

8380/480

8180

PNB

Short

202

196.5/91/85.5/80

207.5

Long

213

218.5/24/29.5/35

207.5

RELIANCE

Short

948

935/22/09/896/83/70

961

long

961

974/87/1000

948

SBI

Short

322

316/10/04/298/92/86/80

328

Long

328

334/40

322

TATAMOTORS

Short

444

436/28/20

452

Long

452

460/68

444

tata steel

Short

706

697/88/79/70

715

Long

715

724/33

706

TCS

Short

2622

2600/2577/55

2645

Long

2645

2667/90

2622

TVS MOTORS

Short

696

687/78/69/60

705

Long

705

714/23

696

TITAN

Short

658

649.5/41/32.5/24/15.5/07

666.5

Long

666.5

675/83.5

658

VOLTAS

Short

551

544/37/30/23/16

558

Long

558

565/72

551

YES BANK

Short

322

315/08/01/294/87/80

329

Long

329

336/43/50

322

ULTRATECH

Short

4330

4270/210/150/090

4390

Long

4390

4450/510

4330

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

11360

x

11450

long

11450

x

11360

CNX ENERGY

short

14540

x

14660

long

14660

x

14540

CNX FMCG

short

25750

x

25970

long

25970

x

25750

CNX INFRA

short

3640

x

3670

long

3670

x

3640

CNX METAL

short

3950

x

3990

long

3990

x

3950

NIFTY MID100

short

19720

x

19860

long

19860

x

19720

CNX PHARMA

short

9900

x

9990

long

9990

x

9900

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3980

x

4020

long

4060

x

4020

CNX REALTY

short

314

x

317

long

317

x

314


Wednesday, November 1 2017
09:00 AM

POSN TRADING

daily close trigger

NOVEMBER 2017

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

10200

10095/9990/885/780/675

10305

long

10410

10515/620

10305

BANK NIFTY

short

24800

24500/200/23900/600/300

25100

long

25400

25700/26000

25100

SENSEX

short

32800

32450/100/31750/400/050

33150

long

33500

33850/34200

33150

CNX IT

short

10750

10600/450/300

10900

long

11050

11200/350

10900