Welcome to SUMAMURA

July 2016

Monday, July 25 2016

pl trade in the direction of NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

25th july 2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8524

8510/496/82/68/54/40

8538

long

8552

8566/80/94

8538

bank nifty

short

18710

18600/490/380

18820

long

18820

18930/19040

18710

M&M

short

1436

1429/21/14/06/1399

1444

long

x

x

x

praj

short

87.5

86/84.5/83/81.5/80

89

long

x

x

x

gnfc

short

158

156/54/52/50

160

long

x

x

x

axis bank

short

522

517/12/07/02/497/92

527

long

x

x

x

maruti

short

4423

4407/4391/75/59

4439

long

x

x

x


Monday, July 25 2016

DISTRIBUTION PHASE EVIDENT AS RESULTS DON’T CONFIRM GREEN SHOOTS THEORY . . .

 

Trading levels –  25th / 29th    JULY    2016

 

We had several results last week – mainly from IT and financial sector …. particularly private banks. Most of these results were at best in line with expectation and none had a POSITIVE SURPRISE.

 

That means we are not going to get much ALFA from results front.  GOOD MONSOON IS ALREADY DISCOUNTED.  So everything hinges on that single factor -  PASSAGE OF GST BILL. And who can count on that ?   Atleast, I will not be willing to put significant bets on a POSITIVE OUTCOME as most of the upside is already captured by the current up-surge in prices and the DOWNSIDE RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.

 

I WILL PLAY FOR 8700 ON UPSIDE AND 8200 / 8300 ON DOWNSIDE DEPENDING ON THE OUTCOME. THESE ARE NOT THE ODDS TO BET ON EITHER SIDE AND IT IS SAFER TO WAIT ON SIDELINES AS CAPITAL PRESERVATION SHOULD BE THE PRIORITY.

 

I see a good possibility of market slipping towards 8350 / 8400 levels rather than crossing 8600 level decisively.  AS USUAL, THE CAVEAT IS UNUSUALLY LARGE FII INFLOWS  which can change the picture in a jiffy.

 

8300 nifty put is around 5/5.5 rupees. It can easily give u 300/400 percent return. That is the punt worth taking. BANKNIFTY 19000 CALL IS ALSO WORTH SELLING AROUND 40/45. SOME EASY MONEY CAN BE MADE.

 

I expect 8620 / 8650 as a big big resistance zone while 8350 should be a strong support. NIFTY may consolidate in this range while the distribution takes place till all the results are out – i.e.   for 3 more weeks.

 

I have posted a list of about 45 stocks which you can buy for long term and I have even given the entry levels to maximize the returns. You can have a look at them on my website under messages tab.

http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.  THIS PORTFOLIO HAS DELIVERED MORE THAN 15 %  RETURNS IN LAST 8 WEEKS.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

JUNE 2016 TRADING LEVELS are posted.  You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

25th / 29th  july   2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

cnx nifty

short

8545

8495/445/395/345

8595

long

8595

8645/695

8545

bse sensex

short

27800

27620/440/260

27980

long

27980

18160/340/520

27800

bank nifty

short

18800

18570/340/110

19030

long

19030

19260/490

18800

cnx IT

short

10780

10680/580/480

10880

long

10880

10980/11080/180

10780

CNX AUTO

short

9300

x

9370

long

9370

x

9300

CNX ENERGY

short

9219

x

9292

long

9292

x

9219

CNX FMCG

short

22000

x

22175

long

22175

x

22000

CNX INFRA

short

2925

x

2965

long

2965

x

2925

CNX METAL

short

2431

x

2452

long

2452

x

2431

NIFTY MID100

short

14415

x

14550

long

14550

x

14415

CNX PHARMA

short

11840

x

11960

long

11960

x

11840

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2803

x

2836

long

2836

x

2803

CNX REALTY

short

205.5

x

208.5

long

208.5

x

205.5

 


Monday, July 25 2016 TO Friday, July 29 2016

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

25th / 29th  july   2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8545

8495/445/395/345

8595

long

8595

8645/695

8545

bse sensex

short

27800

27620/440/260

27980

long

27980

18160/340/520

27800

bank nifty

short

18800

18570/340/110

19030

long

19030

19260/490

18800

cnx IT

short

10780

10680/580/480

10880

long

10880

10980/11080/180

10780


Monday, July 25 2016

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

25th / 29th  july   2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8545

8495/445/395/345

8595

long

8595

8645/695

8545

bse sensex

short

27800

27620/440/260

27980

long

27980

18160/340/520

27800

bank nifty

short

18800

18570/340/110

19030

long

19030

19260/490

18800

cnx IT

short

10780

10680/580/480

10880

long

10880

10980/11080/180

10780

axis bank

Short

523

515/08/500/492/485

530

Long

530

538/45

523

BHARAT FORGE

Short

728

717/06/695

739

Long

739

750/61

728

BOB

Short

150

148/46/44/42/40

152

Long

152

154/56

150

COAL INDIA

Short

331

328.5/25.5/23/20

334

Long

334

336.5/39.5/42

331

HDFC

Short

1353

1338/23/08/1293/78/63

1368

Long

1368

1383/98

1353

hdfc bank

Short

1233

1218/04/1189/75

1247

Long

1247

1262/76

1233

HUL

Short

904

896/87/79/70

913

Long

913

921/30

904

ICICI BANK

Short

265

262.5/60/57.5/55/52.5/50

267.5

Long

267.5

270/72.5

265

INFOSYS

Short

1072

1057/42/27/12

1087

long

1087

1102/17

1072

INDUSIND

Short

1143

1133/23/13/03

1153

Long

1153

1163/73

1143

ITC

Short

248

246/44/42/40

250

Long

252

254/56

250

LT

Short

1566

1547/28/09/1490/71

1585

Long

1585

1604/23

1566

M SUMI

Short

312

307/02/297/92/87/82

317

Long

317

322/27/32/37

312

M&M

Short

1432

1414/1396/78/60

1450

Long

1450

1468/86

1432

MARUTI

Short

4422

4377/32/287/42

4467

Long

4467

4512/57

4422

NBCC

Short

251

248/44.5/41.5/38

254.5

Long

254.5

257.5/61

251

RELIANCE

Short

1017

1009/1001/993/85

1025

long

1025

1033/41/49

1017

SBI

Short

226

223/20/17/14/11

229

Long

229

232/35/38/41

226

sun pharma

Short

788

780/72/64/56

796

Long

796

804/12/20

788

TATAMOTORS

Short

508

502/496/90/84/78

514

Long

514

520/26

508

tata steel

Short

363.5

360.5/57/53.5/50.5

367

Long

367

370/73.5

363.5

TCS

Short

2504

2484/64/44/24

2524

Long

2524

2544/64

2504

VOLTAS

Short

335.5

332/28.5/25/21.5/18/14.5/11

339

Long

339

342.5/46

335.5

YES BANK

Short

1152

1137/22/07/1092/77

1167

Long

1167

1182/97

1152

ULTRATECH

Short

3652

3607/3562/17

3697

Long

3697

3742/87

3652

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

9300

x

9370

long

9370

x

9300

CNX ENERGY

short

9219

x

9292

long

9292

x

9219

CNX FMCG

short

22000

x

22175

long

22175

x

22000

CNX INFRA

short

2925

x

2965

long

2965

x

2925

CNX METAL

short

2431

x

2452

long

2452

x

2431

NIFTY MID100

short

14415

x

14550

long

14550

x

14415

CNX PHARMA

short

11840

x

11960

long

11960

x

11840

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2803

x

2836

long

2836

x

2803

CNX REALTY

short

205.5

x

208.5

long

208.5

x

205.5


Monday, July 25 2016 TO Friday, July 29 2016

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

25th / 29th  july   2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8545

8495/445/395/345

8595

long

8595

8645/695

8545

bse sensex

short

27800

27620/440/260

27980

long

27980

18160/340/520

27800

bank nifty

short

18800

18570/340/110

19030

long

19030

19260/490

18800

cnx IT

short

10780

10680/580/480

10880

long

10880

10980/11080/180

10780

axis bank

Short

523

515/08/500/492/485

530

Long

530

538/45

523

BHARAT FORGE

Short

728

717/06/695

739

Long

739

750/61

728

BOB

Short

150

148/46/44/42/40

152

Long

152

154/56

150

COAL INDIA

Short

331

328.5/25.5/23/20

334

Long

334

336.5/39.5/42

331

HDFC

Short

1353

1338/23/08/1293/78/63

1368

Long

1368

1383/98

1353

hdfc bank

Short

1233

1218/04/1189/75

1247

Long

1247

1262/76

1233

HUL

Short

904

896/87/79/70

913

Long

913

921/30

904

ICICI BANK

Short

265

262.5/60/57.5/55/52.5/50

267.5

Long

267.5

270/72.5

265

INFOSYS

Short

1072

1057/42/27/12

1087

long

1087

1102/17

1072

INDUSIND

Short

1143

1133/23/13/03

1153

Long

1153

1163/73

1143

ITC

Short

248

246/44/42/40

250

Long

252

254/56

250

LT

Short

1566

1547/28/09/1490/71

1585

Long

1585

1604/23

1566

M SUMI

Short

312

307/02/297/92/87/82

317

Long

317

322/27/32/37

312

M&M

Short

1432

1414/1396/78/60

1450

Long

1450

1468/86

1432

MARUTI

Short

4422

4377/32/287/42

4467

Long

4467

4512/57

4422

NBCC

Short

251

248/44.5/41.5/38

254.5

Long

254.5

257.5/61

251

RELIANCE

Short

1017

1009/1001/993/85

1025

long

1025

1033/41/49

1017

SBI

Short

226

223/20/17/14/11

229

Long

229

232/35/38/41

226

sun pharma

Short

788

780/72/64/56

796

Long

796

804/12/20

788

TATAMOTORS

Short

508

502/496/90/84/78

514

Long

514

520/26

508

tata steel

Short

363.5

360.5/57/53.5/50.5

367

Long

367

370/73.5

363.5

TCS

Short

2504

2484/64/44/24

2524

Long

2524

2544/64

2504

VOLTAS

Short

335.5

332/28.5/25/21.5/18/14.5/11

339

Long

339

342.5/46

335.5

YES BANK

Short

1152

1137/22/07/1092/77

1167

Long

1167

1182/97

1152

ULTRATECH

Short

3652

3607/3562/17

3697

Long

3697

3742/87

3652

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

9300

x

9370

long

9370

x

9300

CNX ENERGY

short

9219

x

9292

long

9292

x

9219

CNX FMCG

short

22000

x

22175

long

22175

x

22000

CNX INFRA

short

2925

x

2965

long

2965

x

2925

CNX METAL

short

2431

x

2452

long

2452

x

2431

NIFTY MID100

short

14415

x

14550

long

14550

x

14415

CNX PHARMA

short

11840

x

11960

long

11960

x

11840

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2803

x

2836

long

2836

x

2803

CNX REALTY

short

205.5

x

208.5

long

208.5

x

205.5