Welcome to SUMAMURA

May 2016

Monday, May 30 2016

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

30th  may / 3rd june  2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8085

8000/7915/830/745

8170

long

8170

8255/340/425/510

8085

bse sensex

short

26500

26250/26000/25750/500

26750

long

26750

27000/250/500/750/28000

26500

 BANK NIFTY

Short

17460

17245/030/16815

17675

Long

17675

17890/18105

17460

CNX IT

short

11350

11225/100/10975/850

11475

long

11475

11600/725/850

11350


Monday, May 30 2016

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

30th  may / 3rd june  2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8085

8000/7915/830/745

8170

long

8170

8255/340/425/510

8085

bse sensex

short

26500

26250/26000/25750/500

26750

long

26750

27000/250/500/750/28000

26500

 BANK NIFTY

Short

17460

17245/030/16815

17675

Long

17675

17890/18105

17460

CNX IT

short

11350

11225/100/10975/850

11475

long

11475

11600/725/850

11350

axis bank

Short

514

509.5/05/500.5/496

518.5

Long

518.5

523/27.5/32

514

BHARAT FORGE

Short

747

740/33/26/19/12

754

Long

754

761/68/75

747

BOB

Short

139

137.5/36/34.5/33/31.5/30

140.5

Long

140.5

142/43.5/45

139

COAL INDIA

Short

283

279/75/71/67

287

Long

287

291/95/99

283

HDFC

Short

1254

1244/34/24/14

1264

Long

1264

1274/84/94

1254

hdfc bank

Short

1188

1180/72/64/56/48

1196

Long

1196

1204/12/20

1188

HUL

Short

863

853/43/33/23

873

Long

873

883/93/903

863

ICICI BANK

Short

244

241/38/35/32/29/26

247

Long

247

250/53/56/59

244

INFOSYS

Short

1245

1231/17/03/1189/75

1259

long

1259

1273/87/1301

1245

INDUSIND

Short

1103

1095/87/79/71

1111

Long

1111

1119/27/35

1103

ITC

Short

359

355/51/47/43

363

Long

363

367/71/75

359

LT

Short

1480

1468/56/44/32/20

1492

Long

1492

1504/16/28

1480

M SUMI

Short

279.5

277/74.5/72/69.5/67

282

long

284.5

287/89.5/92

282

M&M

Short

1333

1315/1297/79/61

1351

Long

1351

1369/87/1405

1333

MARUTI

Short

4146

4115/4084/53/22

4177

Long

4177

4208/39/70

4146

NBCC

Short

950

942/33/25/16

959

Long

959

967/76/84

950

PNB

Short

76.5

75.5/74.5/73.5/72.5

77.5

Long

77.5

78.5/79.5/80.5

76.5

RELIANCE

Short

975

966/56/47/38

985

long

985

994/1004/13

975

SBI

Short

200

196.5/93/89.5

203.5

Long

203.5

207/10.5/14

200

sun pharma

Short

825

813/01/789

837

Long

837

849/61/73

825

TATAMOTORS

Short

402.5

398/93.5/89/84.5/80

407

Long

407

411.5/16/20.5/25

402.5

tata steel

Short

330

325/20/15/10

335

Long

335

340/45/50

330

TCS

Short

2593

2574/55/36/17/2498

2612

Long

2612

2631/50/69

2593

VOLTAS

Short

336

332/28/24/20

340

Long

340

344/48/52/56/60

336

YES BANK

Short

1028

1020/11/03/994/86

1037

Long

1037

1045/54/62

1028

ULTRATECH

Short

3254

3206/3158/3110

3302

Long

3302

3350/98

3254

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8340

x

8420

long

8420

x

8340

CNX ENERGY

short

8410

x

8475

long

8475

x

8410

CNX FMCG

short

20800

x

20970

long

20970

x

20800

CNX INFRA

short

2747

x

2767

long

2767

x

2747

CNX METAL

short

1959

x

1977

long

1977

x

1959

NIFTY MID100

short

13170

x

13270

long

13270

x

13170

CNX PHARMA

short

11190

x

11270

long

11270

x

11190

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2390

x

2426

long

2426

x

2390

CNX REALTY

short

182.5

x

184

long

184

x

182.5


Sunday, May 29 2016

PORTFOLIO FOR 18/24 MONTHS as on 29/5/2016

 

PL HAVE A LOOK AT SELECTION OF STOCKS WHICH U SHUD KEEP WATCHING. IF U CONSTRUCT  A PORTFOLIO OF ABOUT 11/12 STOCKS( CORE PORTFOLIO ) + 3/4 STOCKS ( TO ADD ALFA ), WE CAN REASONABLY GET 13/14 % CAGR RETURN  OVER 24 MONTHS.

 

While  it is not very difficult to select the stocks, the key to success is THE ENTRY LEVEL. These are clearly given against all the stocks. DON’T CHASE THE PRICE  .... it will affect  your CAGR return badly.

 

We have to show patience for making an entry. Market has run up 5 % last week. So stocks have become expensive. But it will correct in due course and you will get your entry.

 

WE MADE A PORTFOLIO IN JANUARY 2015 WHEN NIFTY WAS AT 8600+ . BUT BY STICKING TO ENTRY DISCIPLINE, WE FOUND THAT PORTFOLIO WAS MAKING MONEY IN FEB 2016 WHEN NIFTY WAS AT 7000.

 

THAT IS THE BEAUTY OF PICKING THE RIGHT ENTRY LEVEL. SOME ENTRY LEVELS MAY LOOK RIDICULOUS NOW .... BUT SO WERE THEY IN JAN 2015. We may take 6 months to invest .... but that does not matter. We may not be able to buy some stocks at all .... but that also does not matter. SINCE, WE MUST BUY AT THE RIGHT PRICE.

 

The cash u have in your portfolio can be parked in good liquid funds which are giving you about 9 % annual returns.

 

 

CORE PORTFOLIO – 85/90 % INVESTMENT

 

1... hero moto .....   enter around 2700/2750 if monsoon is good / enter only around 2400/2450 if monsoon is not good ......

 

2... larsen ..... enter around 1350/1375

 

3...  reliance  - can enter between 930/940 upto 1000

 

4 .... infosys ..... enter around 1100 ( if rupee remains at 67/68 )  / enter around 1000/1025 ( if rupee moves up to 63/64 )

 

5... TCS ....  enter around 2400 ( if rupee remains at 67/68 )  / enter around 2200/2250 ( if rupee moves up to 63/64 )

 

6... hdfc ..... enter around 1160/75 ( if insurance IPO is coming ) / enter around 1050/75 ( if no insurance IPO )

 

7... hdfc bank  ... enter around 1025/1050 ... u wl hv to be really patient ...

 

8... axis bank .... enter around 440/450

 

9... icici bank ... enter between 200/220

 

10.... bajaj finance ...enter between 5500/6000 .... u wl need to be patient

 

11... ashok leyland .... enter between 75 / 80 ....

 

12... maruti .... can enter 50 % around 3700 and balance 50 % around 3300/3400

 

13 .... M&M ..... enter around 1175/1200

 

14... bosch ... enter around 15000

 

15... eicher motors .... enter around 16500/17000

 

16... asian paints .... enter around 850/870

 

17... state bank .....  buy 50 % around 180/85 and balance around 150/55

 

18... kotak bank .... enter around 650/670

 

19... sun pharma .... spread out yr buying from 700  to 825

 

20... page industries – enter 50 % around 11000/11500 / balance 50 % around 10000

 

21... emami ..... buy 50 % now and balance around 900/925

 

22... glaxo – consumer .... buy around 5600/5800

 

23... colgate  .... buy between 800/850

 

24... voltas ..... enter around 270/290

 

25... cummins .....  buy 50 % around 750 and 50 % around 650/675

 

26... CUB ..... buy 50 % around 95 and balance around 80

 

27... engineers india ... enter now around 180

 

28... CONCOR .... buy 50 % now around 1380 and balance around 1150/1200

 

29... sundram finance ... buy  50 % around 1300  and balance around 1225/1250

 

30... NBCC ... enter 50 % around 900 and balance around 750/800

 

31... ITC .... enter around 320/325

 

32... HUL .... enter around 775

 

33... BPCL .... enter between 850/875

 

34... tata motors .... buy 50 % around 380 and balance around 330/340

 

35... dewan housing .... enter between 180/200

 

 

FOLLOWING STOCKS SHUD BE CONSIDERED TO ADD ALFA – 10/15 % INVESTMENT 

 

1... IPCA  ... buy between 400/450

 

2... CIPLA ..... buy around 430/450

 

3... bharat electronics .... buy around 1100/1125

 

4... aurobindo pharma .... buy 50 % around  750 and balance around 600/620

 

5... capital first .....  buy between 450/500

 

6... PTC india financials ... buy between 30/33 ....

 

7... sterlite tecnologies ... buy between 75/85

 

8... bharat forge ..... buy around 700/725

 

9... reliance infra ..... buy between 450/480

 

10... eveready .... buy around 210/220

 


Sunday, May 29 2016

PORTFOLIO FOR 18/24 MONTHS  as on 29/5/2016

 

PL HAVE A LOOK AT SELECTION OF STOCKS WHICH U SHUD KEEP WATCHING. IF U CONSTRUCT  A PORTFOLIO OF ABOUT 11/12 STOCKS( CORE PORTFOLIO ) + 3/4 STOCKS ( TO ADD ALFA ), WE CAN REASONABLY GET 13/14 % CAGR RETURN  OVER 24 MONTHS.

 

While  it is not very difficult to select the stocks, the key to success is THE ENTRY LEVEL. These are clearly given against all the stocks. DON’T CHASE THE PRICE  .... it will affect  your CAGR return badly.

 

We have to show patience for making an entry. Market has run up 5 % last week. So stocks have become expensive. But it will correct in due course and you will get your entry.

 

WE MADE A PORTFOLIO IN JANUARY 2015 WHEN NIFTY WAS AT 8600+ . BUT BY STICKING TO ENTRY DISCIPLINE, WE FOUND THAT PORTFOLIO WAS MAKING MONEY IN FEB 2016 WHEN NIFTY WAS AT 7000.

 

THAT IS THE BEAUTY OF PICKING THE RIGHT ENTRY LEVEL. SOME ENTRY LEVELS MAY LOOK RIDICULOUS NOW .... BUT SO WERE THEY IN JAN 2015. We may take 6 months to invest .... but that does not matter. We may not be able to buy some stocks at all .... but that also does not matter. SINCE, WE MUST BUY AT THE RIGHT PRICE.

 

The cash u have in your portfolio can be parked in good liquid funds which are giving you about 9 % annual returns.

 

 

CORE PORTFOLIO – 85/90 % INVESTMENT

 

1... hero moto .....   enter around 2700/2750 if monsoon is good / enter only around 2400/2450 if monsoon is not good ......

 

2... larsen ..... enter around 1350/1375

 

3...  reliance  - can enter between 930/940 upto 1000

 

4 .... infosys ..... enter around 1100 ( if rupee remains at 67/68 )  / enter around 1000/1025 ( if rupee moves up to 63/64 )

 

5... TCS ....  enter around 2400 ( if rupee remains at 67/68 )  / enter around 2200/2250 ( if rupee moves up to 63/64 )

 

6... hdfc ..... enter around 1160/75 ( if insurance IPO is coming ) / enter around 1050/75 ( if no insurance IPO )

 

7... hdfc bank  ... enter around 1025/1050 ... u wl hv to be really patient ...

 

8... axis bank .... enter around 440/450

 

9... icici bank ... enter between 200/220

 

10.... bajaj finance ...enter between 5500/6000 .... u wl need to be patient

 

11... ashok leyland .... enter between 75 / 80 ....

 

12... maruti .... can enter 50 % around 3700 and balance 50 % around 3300/3400

 

13 .... M&M ..... enter around 1175/1200

 

14... bosch ... enter around 15000

 

15... eicher motors .... enter around 16500/17000

 

16... asian paints .... enter around 850/870

 

17... state bank .....  buy 50 % around 180/85 and balance around 150/55

 

18... kotak bank .... enter around 650/670

 

19... sun pharma .... spread out yr buying from 700  to 825

 

20... page industries – enter 50 % around 11000/11500 / balance 50 % around 10000

 

21... emami ..... buy 50 % now and balance around 900/925

 

22... glaxo – consumer .... buy around 5600/5800

 

23... colgate  .... buy between 800/850

 

24... voltas ..... enter around 270/290

 

25... cummins .....  buy 50 % around 750 and 50 % around 650/675

 

26... CUB ..... buy 50 % around 95 and balance around 80

 

27... engineers india ... enter now around 180

 

28... CONCOR .... buy 50 % now around 1380 and balance around 1150/1200

 

29... sundram finance ... buy  50 % around 1300  and balance around 1225/1250

 

30... NBCC ... enter 50 % around 900 and balance around 750/800

 

31... ITC .... enter around 320/325

 

32... HUL .... enter around 775

 

33... BPCL .... enter between 850/875

 

34... tata motors .... buy 50 % around 380 and balance around 330/340

 

35... dewan housing .... enter between 180/200

 

 

FOLLOWING STOCKS SHUD BE CONSIDERED TO ADD ALFA – 10/15 % INVESTMENT 

 

1... IPCA  ... buy between 400/450

 

2... CIPLA ..... buy around 430/450

 

3... bharat electronics .... buy around 1100/1125

 

4... aurobindo pharma .... buy 50 % around  750 and balance around 600/620

 

5... capital first .....  buy between 450/500

 

6... PTC india financials ... buy between 30/33 ....

 

7... sterlite tecnologies ... buy between 75/85

 

8... bharat forge ..... buy around 700/725

 

9... reliance infra ..... buy between 450/480

 

10... eveready .... buy around 210/220

 


Friday, May 27 2016

pl trade in the direction of NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

27th may 2016

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8079

8058/37/16

8100

long

8100

8121/42/63

8079

bank nifty

short

17325

17220/115/010/16905/800

17430

long

17430

17535/640

17325

transformers

short

346

341.5/37/32.5/28/23.5/19

348.25

long

350.5

355/59.5/64

348.25

dynamatic tech

short

2292

2275/57/40

2310

long

2310

2327/45/62/80

2292

SBI

short

184.75

182.5/80.25/78/75.75/73.5

187

long

187

189.25/91.5/93.75/96

184.75

LT

short

1481

1472/63/54/45/36/27

1490

long

1499

1508/17/26

1490

axis bank

short

518

513.5/09/04.5/500

522.5

long

522.5

527/31.5/36

518