Welcome to SUMAMURA

December 2015

Monday, December 14 2015

Prefer to trade in the direction of nifty.

intra levels

 

DATE

14th DECEMBER  2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

7548

7526/04/7482/7460

7570

long

7570

7592/7614/36

7548

bank nifty

short

16290

16140/15990/840/690

16440

long

16440

16590/740

16290

M SUMI

short

271

269/67/65/63

273

long

273

275/77

271

M&M

short

1246

1233/20/07/1194

1259

long

1259

1272/85

1246

tata motors

short

372

366/60/54/48

375

long

378

384/90/96

375

jsw energy

short

74

73/72/71/70

75

long

75

76/77/78

74

yes bank

short

678

670/62/54

682

long

686

694/702/10

682


Monday, December 14 2015 TO Friday, December 18 2015

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

14th / 18th   december 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7626

7574/22/7470/18/7366/14

7678

long

7730

7782/7834/86

7678

bse sensex

short

25060

24890/720/550/380/210/040

25230

long

25400

25570/740/910

25230

 BANK NIFTY

Short

16040

15825/610

16255

Long

16470

16685/900

16255

CNX IT

short

11040

10965/890/815/740

11115

long

11115

11190/265/340

11040


Monday, December 14 2015

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

14th / 18th   december 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7626

7574/22/7470/18/7366/14

7678

long

7730

7782/7834/86

7678

bse sensex

short

25060

24890/720/550/380/210/040

25230

long

25400

25570/740/910

25230

 BANK NIFTY

Short

16040

15825/610

16255

Long

16470

16685/900

16255

CNX IT

short

11040

10965/890/815/740

11115

long

11115

11190/265/340

11040

axis bank

Short

441

434/27/20

448

Long

448

455/62/69

441

BHARAT FORGE

Short

796

783/70/57

809

Long

809

822/35

796

BHARTI

Short

308

304/300/296/92

312

Long

312

316/20/24

308

BOB

Short

156

153/50/47/44/41/38

159

Long

159

162/65/68/71

156

COAL INDIA

Short

307

302.5/298/93.5/89

311.5

Long

311.5

316/20.5/25/29.5/34

307

HDFC

Short

1164

1148/32/16/1100

1180

Long

1180

1196/1212/28

1164

hdfc bank

Short

1033

1020/07/994/81

1046

Long

1046

1059/72/85

1033

HUL

Short

819

810/01/792/83/74

828

Long

828

837/46/55

819

ICICI BANK

Short

245

238/31/24/17/10

248.5

Long

252

259/66/73/80

248.5

INFOSYS

Short

1048

1034/20/06/992/78/64/50

1062

long

1062

1076/90

1048

INDUSIND

Short

907

896/85/74/63

918

Long

918

929/40

907

ITC

Short

315

309.5/04/298.5/93

320.5

Long

320.5

326/31.5/37/42.5/48

315

LT

Short

1279

1265/51/37/23/09

1293

Long

1293

1307/21/35/49

1279

M SUMI

Short

269

265.5/62/58.5/55/51.5/48

272.5

long

272.5

276/79.5/83/86.5/90

269

M&M

Short

1242

1227/12/1197/82/67/52

1257

Long

1257

1272/87

1242

MARUTI

Short

4488

4444/4400/4356/4312/4268/4224

4532

Long

4532

4576/4620

4488

NBCC

Short

939

921/03/885/67/49

948

Long

957

975/93

948

ONGC

Short

214

208/02

217

long

220

226/32

217

PNB

Short

120.5

117/13.5/10/06.5/03

122.25

Long

124

127.5/31/34.5/38

122.25

RELIANCE

Short

947

934/21/08/895

960

long

960

973/86/99/1012

947

SBI

Short

228

223.5/19/14.5/10

232.5

Long

232.5

237/41.5/46

228

sun pharma

Short

757

750/42/35/27/20

765

Long

765

772/80/87/95

757

TATAMOTORS

Short

370

365/60/55/50

375

Long

375

380/85/90/95/400

370

TCS

Short

2372

2339/06/2273/40

2405

Long

2405

2438/61/94

2372

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

7915

x

8010

long

8010

x

7915

CNX ENERGY

short

8010

x

8095

long

8095

x

8010

CNX FMCG

short

19650

x

19780

long

19780

x

19650

CNX INFRA

short

2604

x

2636

long

2636

x

2604

CNX METAL

short

1698

x

1720

long

1720

x

1698

CNX MIDCAP

short

12810

x

12945

long

12945

x

12810

CNX PHARMA

short

11360

11275/190/105/020

11445

long

11445

11530/615/700

11360

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2894

x

2932

long

2932

x

2894

CNX REALTY

short

162

x

163.5

long

163.5

x

162


Monday, December 14 2015 TO Friday, December 18 2015

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

14th / 18th   december 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7626

7574/22/7470/18/7366/14

7678

long

7730

7782/7834/86

7678

bse sensex

short

25060

24890/720/550/380/210/040

25230

long

25400

25570/740/910

25230

 BANK NIFTY

Short

16040

15825/610

16255

Long

16470

16685/900

16255

CNX IT

short

11040

10965/890/815/740

11115

long

11115

11190/265/340

11040

axis bank

Short

441

434/27/20

448

Long

448

455/62/69

441

BHARAT FORGE

Short

796

783/70/57

809

Long

809

822/35

796

BHARTI

Short

308

304/300/296/92

312

Long

312

316/20/24

308

BOB

Short

156

153/50/47/44/41/38

159

Long

159

162/65/68/71

156

COAL INDIA

Short

307

302.5/298/93.5/89

311.5

Long

311.5

316/20.5/25/29.5/34

307

HDFC

Short

1164

1148/32/16/1100

1180

Long

1180

1196/1212/28

1164

hdfc bank

Short

1033

1020/07/994/81

1046

Long

1046

1059/72/85

1033

HUL

Short

819

810/01/792/83/74

828

Long

828

837/46/55

819

ICICI BANK

Short

245

238/31/24/17/10

248.5

Long

252

259/66/73/80

248.5

INFOSYS

Short

1048

1034/20/06/992/78/64/50

1062

long

1062

1076/90

1048

INDUSIND

Short

907

896/85/74/63

918

Long

918

929/40

907

ITC

Short

315

309.5/04/298.5/93

320.5

Long

320.5

326/31.5/37/42.5/48

315

LT

Short

1279

1265/51/37/23/09

1293

Long

1293

1307/21/35/49

1279

M SUMI

Short

269

265.5/62/58.5/55/51.5/48

272.5

long

272.5

276/79.5/83/86.5/90

269

M&M

Short

1242

1227/12/1197/82/67/52

1257

Long

1257

1272/87

1242

MARUTI

Short

4488

4444/4400/4356/4312/4268/4224

4532

Long

4532

4576/4620

4488

NBCC

Short

939

921/03/885/67/49

948

Long

957

975/93

948

ONGC

Short

214

208/02

217

long

220

226/32

217

PNB

Short

120.5

117/13.5/10/06.5/03

122.25

Long

124

127.5/31/34.5/38

122.25

RELIANCE

Short

947

934/21/08/895

960

long

960

973/86/99/1012

947

SBI

Short

228

223.5/19/14.5/10

232.5

Long

232.5

237/41.5/46

228

sun pharma

Short

757

750/42/35/27/20

765

Long

765

772/80/87/95

757

TATAMOTORS

Short

370

365/60/55/50

375

Long

375

380/85/90/95/400

370

TCS

Short

2372

2339/06/2273/40

2405

Long

2405

2438/61/94

2372

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

7915

x

8010

long

8010

x

7915

CNX ENERGY

short

8010

x

8095

long

8095

x

8010

CNX FMCG

short

19650

x

19780

long

19780

x

19650

CNX INFRA

short

2604

x

2636

long

2636

x

2604

CNX METAL

short

1698

x

1720

long

1720

x

1698

CNX MIDCAP

short

12810

x

12945

long

12945

x

12810

CNX PHARMA

short

11360

11275/190/105/020

11445

long

11445

11530/615/700

11360

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2894

x

2932

long

2932

x

2894

CNX REALTY

short

162

x

163.5

long

163.5

x

162


Sunday, December 13 2015

MY WEEKLY TAKE ....

 

FINALLY NIFTY SUCCUMBS TO PERSISTENT FII SELLING – NOW  HEADED FOR  A NEW YEARLY LOW   AND BEYOND  . . .

 

Trading levels – 14th / 18th   December   2015

 

All that I wrote last week turned out to be prophetic. We did have a small bounce on Monday which was sold into and then we went on to break crucial level of 7730 exposing NIFTY to a possibility of 7300 / 7350 in days to come.

 

NATIONAL HERALD  case is a new hurdle cropping up  in the GST way and the congress rhetoric is rather too strong to subside before 19th June when GANDHIS  are slated to appear in the court. After that there will be just 3 working days to debate and get GST cleared – which looks impossible at this stage.

 

New NGT order and   expected supreme court judgement on 15th December  , may finally seal the fate of diesel passenger vehicle manufacturers. It will have significant impact on  AUTO sector as well as auto ancillaries like BOSCH as volumes will shrink drastically. Even the vehicle financiers will take a small knock. Watch private sector banks who are dominating this field.

 

We have a big event – FED RATE INCREASE – looming and that may be the occasion when we will hit our projected levels.

 

THIS WILL MEAN WE WILL BE BACK TO MAY 2014 LEVELS AFTER 19 MONTHS. ALL THE NAMO PREMIUM WOULD HAVE JUST EVAPORATED SINCE NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED ON THE GROUND.

 

Most MF investors are shell-shocked as they have large losses on their portfolios when they were promised over 20 % CAGR gains by most AMCs. NIFTY moving below MAY 2014 level  may be the inflection point at which you may see large redemptions from MFs.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

DECEMBER  2015 TRADING LEVELS are  posted on TUESDAY.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting  my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

14th / 18th   december 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

25060

24890/720/550/380/210/040

25230

long

25400

25570/740/910

25230

CNX IT

short

11040

10965/890/815/740

11115

long

11115

11190/265/340

11040

CNX AUTO

short

7915

x

8010

long

8010

x

7915

CNX ENERGY

short

8010

x

8095

long

8095

x

8010

CNX FMCG

short

19650

x

19780

long

19780

x

19650

CNX INFRA

short

2604

x

2636

long

2636

x

2604

CNX METAL

short

1698

x

1720

long

1720

x

1698

CNX MIDCAP

short

12810

x

12945

long

12945

x

12810

CNX PHARMA

short

11360

11275/190/105/020

11445

long

11445

11530/615/700

11360

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2894

x

2932

long

2932

x

2894

CNX REALTY

short

162

x

163.5

long

163.5

x

162