Welcome to SUMAMURA

June 2015

Monday, June 8 2015

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

8th JUNE 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8117

8096/65/44/23/02

8138

long

8138

8159/80/201

8117

bank nifty

short

17520

17405/290/175/060

17635

long

17635

17750/865/980

17520

icici bank

short

285

283/81/79/77/75

287

long

287

289/91/93/95

285

CEAT

short

681

676/71/66/61

686

long

686

691/96/701

681

coal india

short

405

403/01/399/97/95

407

long

407

409/11/13/15

405

BEML

short

1185

1174/63

1196

long

1196

1207/18/29/40

1185


Monday, June 8 2015

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

8th JUNE 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8117

8096/65/44/23/02

8138

long

8138

8159/80/201

8117

bank nifty

short

17520

17405/290/175/060

17635

long

17635

17750/865/980

17520

icici bank

short

285

283/81/79/77/75

287

long

287

289/91/93/95

285

CEAT

short

681

676/71/66/61

686

long

686

691/96/701

681

coal india

short

405

403/01/399/97/95

407

long

407

409/11/13/15

405

BEML

short

1185

1174/63

1196

long

1196

1207/18/29/40

1185


Monday, June 8 2015 TO Friday, June 12 2015

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

8th / 12th  JUNE 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8085

8000/7915/830

8170

long

8170

8255/340/425/510

8085

bse sensex

short

26740

26460/180/25900/620

27020

long

27020

27300/580/860/28140

26740

 BANK NIFTY

Short

17770

17570/360/160/16950

17980

Long

17980

18180/390/590/800

17770

CNX IT

short

11260

11110/10960/810/660

11410

long

11410

11560/710/860

11260

aurobindo

Short

1307

1294/80/67/53

1321

Long

1321

1334/48/61

1307

axis bank

Short

546

538/30/22/14/06

554

Long

554

562/70/78

546

BHARAT FORGE

Short

1190

1178/66/54/42/30

1202

Long

1214

1226/38/50/62

1201

BOB

Short

160

157.5/55/52.5/50/47.5/45

161.25

Long

162.5

165/67.5/70/72.5/75

161.25

BHARTI

Short

417

411/05/399/93/87/81

423

Long

423

429/35/41/47

417

CIPLA

Short

622

615/08/01/594/87/80

629

Long

629

636/43/50

622

COAL INDIA

Short

406

401.5/397/92.5/88/83.5/79

410.5

Long

410.5

415/19.5/24

406

dr reddys

Short

3429

3397/65/33/01

3461

Long

3461

3495/527/59

3429

HDFC

Short

1195

1178/61/44/27/10

1212

Long

1212

1229/46/63/80

1195

hdfc bank

Short

1016

1003/990/77/64/51/38

1029

Long

1029

1042/55/68

1016

HUL

Short

825

815/05/795/85

835

Long

845

855/65/75

835

ICICI BANK

Short

286

282/78/74/70/66

290

Long

290

294/98/302/06/10

286

IDEA

Short

178

174.5/71/67.5/64/60.5/57

179.75

long

181.5

185/88.5/92

179.75

IDFC

Short

148.5

147/45.5/44/42.5/41

150

Long

150

151.5/53/54.5/56/57.5/59

148.5

INFOSYS

Short

2014

1997/80/63/46/29/12

2031

long

2031

2048/65/82

2014

ITC

Short

306

302/298/94/90/86/82

310

Long

310

314/18/22/26

306

LIC HSG

Short

406

401.5/397/92.5/88

410.5

long

410.5

415/19.5/24

406

LT

Short

1680

1662/44/26/08/1590

1698

Long

1698

1716/34/52/70

1680

M&M

Short

1210

1194/78/62/46/30

1226

Long

1226

1242/58/74/90

1210

MARUTI

Short

3753

3703/653/603/553/503

3803

Long

3803

3853/903/953/4003

3753

ONGC

Short

308.5

305/01.5/298/94.5/91

312

long

312

315.5/19/22.5/26

308.5

RELIANCE

Short

908

901/894/87/80

915

long

915

922/29/36/43

908

SBI

Short

258

252/46/40/34/28

261

Long

264

270/76/82/88

261

sun pharma

Short

848

834/20/06

855

Long

862

876/90/904

855

TATAMOTORS

Short

443

437/31/25/19/13/07/01

449

Long

449

455/61/67/73

443

TATASTEEL

Short

311

305/299/93/87/81

314

Long

317

323/29/35

314

TCS

Short

2582

2560/38/16/2494/72/50

2604

Long

2604

2626/48/70

2582

tech mahindra

Short

552

545.5/39/32.5/26.19.5/13

558.5

Long

558.5

565/71.5/78/84.5/91

552

ULTRATECH

Short

2802

2772/42/12/682/52

2832

Long

2832

2862/92/2922

2802

VOLTAS

Short

331

326/21/16/11/06/01

333.5

Long

336

341/46/51

333.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8118

x

8203

long

8203

x

8118

CNX ENERGY

short

6535

x

8645

long

8645

x

8535

CNX FMCG

short

18920

x

19170

long

19170

x

18920

CNX INFRA

short

3200

x

3241

long

3241

x

3200

CNX METAL

short

2312

x

2331

long

2331

x

2312

CNX MIDCAP

short

12710

x

12810

long

12810

x

12710

CNX PHARMA

short

11700

x

11850

long

11850

x

11700

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3273

x

3304

long

3304

x

3273

CNX REALTY

short

183

x

185.5

long

185.5

x

183


Monday, June 8 2015 TO Friday, June 12 2015

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

8th / 12th  JUNE 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8085

8000/7915/830

8170

long

8170

8255/340/425/510

8085

bse sensex

short

26740

26460/180/25900/620

27020

long

27020

27300/580/860/28140

26740

 BANK NIFTY

Short

17770

17570/360/160/16950

17980

Long

17980

18180/390/590/800

17770


Monday, June 8 2015

 RBI PLAYS SPOILSPORT – SO THE BULLS THINK . . .  

 

Trading levels – 8th / 12th  JUNE   2015

 

After out-guessing RBI on last two occasions, the FIIs tripped the third time. The RBI governor decided to play it safe – with in “V” -  rather than trying to go ballistic which was expected by the FIIs and the Bull operators.

 

25 basis point rate cut was accounted in the price as early as 8th and 9th May.  This becomes amply clear the way BANKNIFTY moved over 800 points from 7th May close. After dismal IIP figures and good WPI and CPI numbers, the bulls were emboldened and started dreaming about 50 basis point rate cut and thus pushed BANKNIFTY further up by 500 odd points - irrespective of poor to very poor results from some PSBs. THIS LEFT NO MARGIN FOR DIS-APPOINTMNET FROM RBI.

 

Last week the market did play absolutely by the book. Monday was a lackluster trading session but all hell broke loose after the RBI governor announced 25 basis point cut with a rather HAWKISH commentary.  On Wednesday,  we saw mild continuation of the downward  momentum. On Thursday and Friday, bulls tried to consolidate at lower levels but could not post a positive close.

 

Finally, we have got  NIFTY closing below 50WMA line and the weekly  close is lowest since last week October 2014.  THIS IS INDICATING FAIRLY STRONG MOMENTUM ON THE DOWNSIDE WHICH CAN TAKE NIFTY TO THE LOWER BOUNDARY OF DOWNWARD SLOPING CHANNEL – WHICH IS AROUND 7700/7800 DEPENDING ON HOW MANY DAYS WILL BE TAKEN. INCIDENTLLY, THE INVERTED H&S PATTERN GOT NEGATED ON 2ND JUNE.

 

I hope most of you have booked longs on Monday or Tuesday morning and are ready to re-enter whenever opportunity comes. MACRO PICTURE IS GETTING MURKIER BY THE DAY AND NOT LIKELY TO IMPROVE SOON.

 

It seems the effect of 50/100 DMA death cross is playing out. In fact, this is now visible on many many index stocks and I am convinced that it will take its toll.

 

Real long term investors are going to get very good attractive opportunities to invest in  favourite stocks in the coming two weeks.  Please keep your shopping lists and moneybags handy. PLEASE ENTER ONLY IN QUALITY STOCKS.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

JUNE 2015 TRADING LEVELS are  posted.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. Keep visiting  my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

8th / 12th  JUNE 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

26740

26460/180/25900/620

27020

long

27020

27300/580/860/28140

26740

CNX IT

short

11260

11110/10960/810/660

11410

long

11410

11560/710/860

11260

CNX AUTO

short

8118

x

8203

long

8203

x

8118

CNX ENERGY

short

6535

x

8645

long

8645

x

8535

CNX FMCG

short

18920

x

19170

long

19170

x

18920

CNX INFRA

short

3200

x

3241

long

3241

x

3200

CNX METAL

short

2312

x

2331

long

2331

x

2312

CNX MIDCAP

short

12710

x

12810

long

12810

x

12710

CNX PHARMA

short

11700

x

11850

long

11850

x

11700

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3273

x

3304

long

3304

x

3273

CNX REALTY

short

183

x

185.5

long

185.5

x

183