Welcome to SUMAMURA

May 2015

Monday, May 4 2015 TO Friday, May 8 2015

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

4th / 8th may 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8207

8155/03/8051/7999/47

8259

long

8259

8311/63/415

8207

bse sensex

short

27190

27010/26830/650

27370

long

27370

27550/730/910

27190

 BANK NIFTY

Short

18320

18150/17980/810/640/470

18490

Long

18490

18660/830/19000

18320

CNX IT

short

11000

10900/800/700/600/500

11100

long

11100

11200/300/400/500

11000

aurobindo

Short

1288

1274/60/46/32

1302

Long

1302

1316/30/44

1288

axis bank

Short

570

563/56/49/42/35

577

Long

577

584/91/98

570

BHARAT FORGE

Short

1250

1230/10/1190/70/50

1260

Long

1270

1290/1310/30

1260

BOB

Short

170

168/66/64/62/60

172

Long

174

176/78/80

172

BHARTI

Short

380

375/70/65/60/55/50

382.5

Long

385

390/95/400/05/10

382.5

CIPLA

Short

638

628/18/08/598

643

Long

648

658/68/78

643

COAL INDIA

Short

360

353.5/47/40.5/34

363.25

Long

366.5

73/79.5/86

363.25

dr reddys

Short

3296

3246/196/146/096/046

3321

Long

3346

3396/446/496

3321

glenmark pharma

Short

890

880/70/60/50

900

Long

900

910/20/30/40

890

HCL TECH

Short

880

868/56/44/32/20

892

long

892

904/16/28/40

880

HDFC

Short

1169

1140/11/1082

1184

Long

1198

1227/56

1184

hdfc bank

Short

992

978/64/50

999

Long

1006

1020/34/48

999

HUL

Short

850

842/34/26/18/10/02

858

Long

858

866/74/82/90

850

ICICI BANK

Short

330.5

326.5/22.5/18.5

334.5

Long

334.5

338.5/42.5/46.5

330.5

IDEA

Short

176

173.5/71/68.5/66

178.5

long

178.5

181/83.5/86

176

IDFC

Short

167

165/53/61/59/57

169

Long

169

171/73/75/77

167

INFOSYS

Short

1948

1920/1892/64/36

1976

long

1976

2004/32/60

1948

ITC

Short

322

318/14/10/06/02

326

Long

326

330/34/38/42

322

LIC HSG

Short

428

421/14/07/400

431.5

long

435

442/49/56

431.5

LT

Short

1636

1614/1592/70

1647

Long

1658

1680/1702/24

1647

M&M

Short

1143

1127/11/1095/79

1151

Long

1159

1185/1201

1151

MARUTI

Short

3733

3693/53/13

3773

Long

3773

3813/53/93

373

ONGC

Short

305.5

300/294.5/89/83.5/78

311

long

311

316.5/22/27.5/33

305.5

RELIANCE

Short

867

860/53/46/39

874

long

874

881/88/95/902

867

SBI

Short

269

266/63/60/57/54/51/48

272

Long

272

275/78/81/84/87/90

269

sun pharma

Short

941

928/15/02/889

947.5

Long

954

967/80/93

947.5

TATAMOTORS

Short

508

500/492/84/76

512

Long

516

524/32/40/48

512

TATASTEEL

Short

359

353/47/41/35/29/23

362

Long

365

371/77/83

362

TCS

Short

2469

2440/11/2382/53

2498

Long

2498

2527/56

2469

tech mahindra

Short

620

610/600/590/80

625

Long

630

640/50/60

625

ULTRATECH

Short

2674

2651/28/05/2582/59/36/13

2697

Long

2697

2720/43/66/89

2674

VOLTAS

Short

281

278/75/73/70/67/64/62/59

284

Long

284

287/90/92

281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8155

x

8245

long

8245

x

8155

CNX ENERGY

short

8360

x

8465

long

8465

x

8360

CNX FMCG

short

19630

x

19790

long

19790

x

19630

CNX INFRA

short

3153

x

3183

long

3183

x

3153

CNX METAL

short

2392

x

2414

long

2414

x

2392

CNX MIDCAP

short

12690

x

12800

long

12800

x

12690

CNX PHARMA

short

12040

x

12170

long

12170

x

12040

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3500

x

3535

long

3535

x

3500

CNX REALTY

short

205.5

x

208.5

long

208.5

x

205.5


Monday, May 4 2015

 FIRST 10 % CORRECTION SINCE SEPTEMBER 2013 . . .

 

Trading levels -- 4th / 8th MAY   2015

 

Last week, we had three major events happening from technical point of view – 1… We had first 10 % correction since September 2013.   2… We had first break of 200DMA since end September 2013. 3…  we broke the HIGHER TOP HIGHER BOTTOM SEQUENCE which was going on since SEPTEMBER 2013.

 

All this corroborates to significant weakness in LONG TERM BULLISH trend. We have just corrected 23.8 % of the bull run from 5118 ( August 2013 ) to  9119 ( March 2015 ).  IF WE FAIL TO BOUNCE FROM THIS LEVEL, WE MAY SLIP FURTHER TO 7900 / 7950  LEVEL. 

 

This will inflict significant damage to portfolios since further very sharp cuts of even up to 10 / 15 % can be seen on popular large-cap / mid-cap stocks which the funds and individuals are holding. The whole texture of CONFIDENCE IN THE MARKET  will get shattered and retail investors will just run away from the market booking profits.

 

Arun Shourie interview which has gone viral on the net has raised serious doubts about the efficacy of NAMO government and I am not ruling out a few more voices of dissent from the  BJP ranks.

 

Please note that 200DMA is a very crucial technical level by everyone. Decisive break of this level – which is also very close to 50 WMA level  at 8168 – is very very significant. I will be watching market action  closely for next few days to see if there is any semblance of strength. IF NOT, WE ARE DESTINED TO GO DOWN TO 7900 / 7950 ZONE WITH RESULTANT DEEP GASHES ON INDIVIDUAL STOCKS.

 

 

So, in the coming few weeks, I will be  only looking for opportunities to get a proper entry into some hallowed stocks which have corrected significantly or will do so in the days to come.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

MAY 2015 TRADING LEVELS will be out soon.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2015  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

4th / 8th may 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

27190

27010/26830/650

27370

long

27370

27550/730/910

27190

CNX IT

short

11000

10900/800/700/600/500

11100

long

11100

11200/300/400/500

11000

CNX AUTO

short

8155

x

8245

long

8245

x

8155

CNX ENERGY

short

8360

x

8465

long

8465

x

8360

CNX FMCG

short

19630

x

19790

long

19790

x

19630

CNX INFRA

short

3153

x

3183

long

3183

x

3153

CNX METAL

short

2392

x

2414

long

2414

x

2392

CNX MIDCAP

short

12690

x

12800

long

12800

x

12690

CNX PHARMA

short

12040

x

12170

long

12170

x

12040

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3500

x

3535

long

3535

x

3500

CNX REALTY

short

205.5

x

208.5

long

208.5

x

205.5