March 2015
|
POSN TRADING |
weekly |
DATE |
30th march / 1st april 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
|
cnx nifty |
short |
8375 |
8315/8255/195/135 |
8435 |
|
long |
8435 |
8495/8555 |
8375 |
|
|
bse sensex |
short |
27580 |
27370/160/16950/740 |
27790 |
|
long |
27790 |
28000/210 |
27580 |
|
|
BANK NIFTY |
Short |
18060 |
17880/700/520/340/160 |
18240 |
|
Long |
18240 |
18420/600/780 |
18060 |
|
|
CNX IT |
short |
11950 |
11830/710/590/470 |
12070 |
|
long |
12070 |
12190/310/430 |
11950 |
|
|
aurobindo |
Short |
1193 |
1173/53/33/13 |
1203 |
|
Long |
1213 |
1233/53/73/93 |
1203 |
|
|
axis bank |
Short |
552 |
545.5/39/32.5/26/19.5/13/06.5/500 |
558.5 |
|
Long |
558.5 |
565/71.5/78/84.5/91 |
552 |
|
|
BHARAT FORGE |
Short |
1215 |
1200/1185/70/55/40 |
1230 |
|
Long |
1230 |
1245/60 |
1215 |
|
|
BOB |
Short |
161 |
159/557/55/53 |
163 |
|
Long |
163 |
165/67/69 |
161 |
|
|
BHARTI |
Short |
382 |
378/74/70/66/62 |
386 |
|
Long |
386 |
390/94/98 |
382 |
|
|
CIPLA |
Short |
689 |
679/69/59 |
694 |
|
Long |
699 |
709/19/29 |
694 |
|
|
COAL INDIA |
Short |
347 |
341/35/29/23 |
350 |
|
Long |
353 |
359/65/71 |
350 |
|
|
dr reddys |
Short |
3414 |
3371/24 |
3457 |
|
Long |
3457 |
3500/43/86 |
3414 |
|
|
glenmark pharma |
Short |
769 |
757/45/33/21/09 |
775 |
|
Long |
781 |
793/805 |
775 |
|
|
HCL TECH |
Short |
960 |
948/36/24/12/900 |
972 |
|
long |
972 |
984/96 |
960 |
|
|
HDFC |
Short |
1266 |
1248/30/12/1194 |
1275 |
|
Long |
1284 |
1302/20 |
1275 |
|
|
hdfc bank |
Short |
1014 |
1006/998/90/82/74 |
1022 |
|
Long |
1030 |
1038/46 |
1022 |
|
|
HUL |
Short |
848 |
836/24/12/800 |
854 |
|
Long |
860 |
872/84/96 |
854 |
|
|
ICICI BANK |
Short |
314 |
308/02/296/90 |
317 |
|
Long |
320 |
326/32/38 |
317 |
|
|
IDEA |
Short |
171 |
168/65/62/59/56 |
174 |
|
long |
174 |
177/80/83 |
171 |
|
|
IDFC |
Short |
168 |
165.5/63/60.5/58 |
170.5 |
|
Long |
170.5 |
173/75.5 |
168 |
|
|
INFOSYS |
Short |
2191 |
2158/25/2092/59 |
2224 |
|
long |
2224 |
2257/90 |
2191 |
|
|
ITC |
Short |
318 |
314/10/06/02 |
322 |
|
Long |
322 |
326/30/34 |
318 |
|
|
LIC HSG |
Short |
430 |
421/12/03/394 |
434.5 |
|
long |
439 |
448/57 |
434.5 |
|
|
LT |
Short |
1674 |
1660/46/32/18/04/1590/76 |
1686 |
|
Long |
1698 |
1710/22/34 |
1686 |
|
|
M&M |
Short |
1184 |
1170/56/42/28/14/1100 |
1198 |
|
Long |
1212 |
1226/40/54 |
1198 |
|
|
MARUTI |
Short |
3605 |
3563/21/479/47/05 |
3647 |
|
Long |
3647 |
3689/731/73 |
3605 |
|
|
ONGC |
Short |
303 |
299/95/91/87 |
307 |
|
long |
307 |
311/15/19/23/27 |
303 |
|
|
RELIANCE |
Short |
813 |
806/798/91 |
821 |
|
long |
821 |
828/36/43 |
813 |
|
|
SBI |
Short |
263 |
259/55/51/47/43 |
267 |
|
Long |
267 |
271/75/79/83 |
263 |
|
|
sun pharma |
Short |
1013 |
992/72/51/31 |
1023 |
|
Long |
1033 |
1054/74/95 |
1023 |
|
|
TATAMOTORS |
Short |
532 |
522/12/02 |
537 |
|
Long |
542 |
552/62 |
537 |
|
|
TATASTEEL |
Short |
316.5 |
312/07.5/03 |
321 |
|
Long |
321 |
325.5/30/34.5/39 |
316.5 |
|
|
TCS |
Short |
2518 |
2487/56/25 |
2549 |
|
Long |
2549 |
2580/2611/42 |
2518 |
|
|
tech mahindra |
Short |
647 |
639/31/23/15 |
655 |
|
Long |
655 |
663/71/79 |
647 |
|
|
ULTRATECH |
Short |
2826 |
2802/778/54/30/06 |
2850 |
|
Long |
2850 |
2874/98/922/46 |
2826 |
|
|
VOLTAS |
Short |
275 |
271/67/63/59/55 |
277 |
|
Long |
279 |
283/87/91 |
277 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
8430 |
x |
8490 |
|
long |
8490 |
x |
8430 |
|
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8150 |
x |
8230 |
|
long |
8230 |
x |
8150 |
|
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
19560 |
x |
19690 |
|
long |
19690 |
x |
19560 |
|
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
3162 |
x |
3203 |
|
long |
3203 |
x |
3162 |
|
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2301 |
x |
2320 |
|
long |
2320 |
x |
2301 |
|
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
12800 |
x |
12950 |
|
long |
12950 |
x |
12800 |
|
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
12600 |
x |
12725 |
|
long |
12725 |
x |
12600 |
|
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3371 |
x |
3411 |
|
long |
3411 |
x |
3371 |
|
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
213 |
x |
216 |
|
long |
216 |
x |
213 |
|
MARKETS CONTINUE TO SLIP . . .
Trading levels --- 30th MARCH / 1st APRIL 2015
The negative divergences on daily and weekly charts continue to widen. This probably means that we still have one more dash on lower side left to be done …. which may terminate around 200 DMA or 50 WMA – giving levels of 8150 or 8000 depending on intensity of fall.
RAJYASABHA is prorogued yesterday. This means government will mostly promulgate the land acquisition ordinance again.
This indicates that government prefers to take COLLISION PATH rather than consensus. You will see that the markets will become nervous as there are indications that some of the NDA constituents as well as some senior BJP ministers are not sharing NAMO’s line of thinking. That could be the reason for a large fall the technical charts are indicating.
Currently short term and medium term trend has moved down. Long term is still up. This means you can start seeking out bargains. I have posted a model portfolio for 30/36 months on my website WWWW.SUMAMURA.COM. You can have a look under MESSAGES tab. This indicates ENTRY price as well which is so critical. It looks like that some stocks are available at or below that price and many more will be available after or around ANNUAL RESULTS.
There is no evidence of serious FII or DII selling. So it is our trio of HNI / operators / brokerages which has become nervous at higher levels and booking profits.
THIS MEANS, IF THERE IS NO BIGTIME MONEY PUMPED IN BY FIIs IN NEXT 2/3 WEEKS, WE MAY BE TESTING 8000/8200 LEVELS ON NIFTY – which also happens to be 200DMA / 200WMA zone..
Anxiety about 2016 earnings is getting heightened and that is also instrumental in increased selling pressure from domestic players who have correct sense of things on the ground while FIIs are taking an aerial view.
Please do visit my website and look at the model portfolio. That can be your starting point for serious investing.
As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind consensus following does not help. I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?
APRIL 2015 TRADING LEVELS will be out soon. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2015 trading levels on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.
Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce - even for Mr Buffet and needs to be respected.
My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.
Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.
I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1
Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are shown.
You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all 8 modules for just 30,000 rupees for the full year.
Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.
Indices weekly levels
|
position trading |
weekly |
DATE |
30th march / 1st april 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
bse sensex |
short |
27580 |
27370/160/16950/740 |
27790 |
|
long |
27790 |
28000/210 |
27580 |
|
|
CNX IT |
short |
11950 |
11830/710/590/470 |
12070 |
|
long |
12070 |
12190/310/430 |
11950 |
|
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
8430 |
x |
8490 |
|
long |
8490 |
x |
8430 |
|
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8150 |
x |
8230 |
|
long |
8230 |
x |
8150 |
|
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
19560 |
x |
19690 |
|
long |
19690 |
x |
19560 |
|
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
3162 |
x |
3203 |
|
long |
3203 |
x |
3162 |
|
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2301 |
x |
2320 |
|
long |
2320 |
x |
2301 |
|
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
12800 |
x |
12950 |
|
long |
12950 |
x |
12800 |
|
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
12600 |
x |
12725 |
|
long |
12725 |
x |
12600 |
|
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3371 |
x |
3411 |
|
long |
3411 |
x |
3371 |
|
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
213 |
x |
216 |
|
long |
216 |
x |
213 |
|
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
|
intra levels |
|
DATE |
27th march 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8318 |
8289/60/31/02 |
8347 |
|
long |
8376 |
8405/34/63 |
8347 |
|
|
bank nifty |
short |
17860 |
17740/620/500/380 |
17980 |
|
long |
17980 |
18100/220 |
17860 |
|
|
TVS MOTORS |
short |
264 |
261.5/59 |
266.5 |
|
long |
269 |
271.5/74/76.5/79 |
266.5 |
|
|
bharat forge |
short |
1209 |
1199/89/79/69/59/49 |
1219 |
|
long |
1219 |
1229/39 |
1209 |
|
|
TAMO |
short |
523 |
518/13/08 |
525.5 |
|
long |
528 |
533/38 |
525.5 |
|
|
idea |
short |
178 |
174.5/71/67.5/64 |
180 |
|
long |
181.5 |
185/88.5 |
180 |
|
|
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
|
intra levels |
|
DATE |
27th march 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8318 |
8289/60/31/02 |
8347 |
|
long |
8376 |
8405/34/63 |
8347 |
|
|
bank nifty |
short |
17860 |
17740/620/500/380 |
17980 |
|
long |
17980 |
18100/220 |
17860 |
|
|
TVS MOTORS |
short |
264 |
261.5/59 |
266.5 |
|
long |
269 |
271.5/74/76.5/79 |
266.5 |
|
|
bharat forge |
short |
1209 |
1199/89/79/69/59/49 |
1219 |
|
long |
1219 |
1229/39 |
1209 |
|
|
TAMO |
short |
523 |
518/13/08 |
525.5 |
|
long |
528 |
533/38 |
525.5 |
|
|
idea |
short |
178 |
174.5/71/67.5/64 |
180 |
|
long |
181.5 |
185/88.5 |
180 |
|
|
intra levels |
|
DATE |
26th march 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8490 |
8472/54/36/18/8400 |
8508 |
|
long |
8526 |
8544/62/80/98 |
8508 |
|
|
bank nifty |
short |
18190 |
18120/050/17980/910 |
18260 |
|
long |
18330 |
18400/470/540 |
18260 |
