Welcome to SUMAMURA

March 2015

Monday, March 9 2015 TO Friday, March 13 2015

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

9th / 13th  march  2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8938

8871/04/8737/8670

9005

long

9005

9072/139/206

8938

bse sensex

short

29490

29280/070/28860/650

29700

long

29700

29910/30120/330

29490

 BANK NIFTY

Short

19650

19390/130/18870/610

19780

Long

19910

20170/430

19780

CNX IT

short

12680

12600/520/440/360

12760

long

12760

12840/920/13000

12680

aurobindo

Short

1091

1081/71/61/51/41

1101

Long

1101

1111/21/31/41

1091

axis bank

Short

615

604/593/82/71/60

620.5

Long

626

637/48/59/70

620.5

BOB

Short

183

181.5/79.5/78/76/74.5/72.5/71/69

185

Long

185

186.5/88.5/90

183

BHARAT FORGE

Short

1281

1261/41/21/01

1291

Long

1301

1321/41/61

1291

BHARTI

Short

346

342/38/34/30

350

Long

350

354/58/62/66/70

346

CIPLA

Short

731

724/17/10/03

738

Long

738

745/52/59/66

731679

COAL INDIA

Short

363

357/51/45

366

Long

369

375/81

366

dr reddys

Short

3433

3400/367/333/300

3467

Long

3467

3500/533/567

3433

glenmark pharma

Short

828

818/08/798/88/78

838

Long

838

848/58/68

828

HCL TECH

Short

2064

2034/04/1974/44/14

2079

long

2094

2124/54/84

2079

HDFC

Short

1382

1366/50/34/18/02

1398

Long

1398

1414/30/46

1382

hdfc bank

Short

1078

1063/48/33/18

1093

Long

1093

1108/23/38

1078

HUL

Short

938

928/18/08/898/88

948

Long

948

958/68/78

938

ICICI BANK

Short

347

342/37/32/27

352

Long

352

357/62/67/72

347

IDEA

Short

150.5

148.5/46.5/44.5/42.5/40.5

152.5

long

152.5

154.5/56.5/58.5

150.5

IDFC

Short

178

174/70/66/62

180

Long

182

186/90/94

180

INFOSYS

Short

2244

2222/2200/2178/56

2266

long

2266

2288/310/332

2244

ITC

Short

345

341/37/33/29/25

349

Long

353

357/61/65/69

349

LIC HSG

Short

491.5

484/76.5/69/61.5

499

long

499

506.5/14

491.5

LT

Short

1823

1798/73/48/23/1698

1848

Long

1848

1873/98

1823

M&M

Short

1219

1201/183/165/147

1228

Long

1237

1255/73/91

1228

MARUTI

Short

3655

3620/585/550/515/480/445/410

3690

Long

3690

3725/60

3655

ONGC

Short

318

312/06/300

321

long

324

330/36/42

321

RELIANCE

Short

879

867/55

885

long

891

903/15

885

SBI

Short

292

286/80/74

295

Long

298

304/10/16

295

sun pharma

Short

1041

1031/21/11/01

1051

Long

1051

1061/71/81

1041

TATAMOTORS

Short

568

558/48/38

573

Long

578

588/98

573

TATASTEEL

Short

344

339/34/29/24

349

Long

349

354/59

344

TCS

Short

2687

2666/45/24/03/582/561/540

2708

Long

2708

2729/50/71/92

2687

tech mahindra

Short

2868

2843/18/793/768/743/718

2893

Long

2893

2918/43

2868

ULTRATECH

Short

3180

3143/05/068/030

3218

Long

3218

3255/93/330

3180

VOLTAS

Short

261

255/49/43/37/31

264

Long

267

273/79/85

264

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8878

x

8938

long

8938

x

8878

CNX ENERGY

short

8700

x

8785

long

8785

x

8700

CNX FMCG

short

21060

x

21280

long

21280

x

21060

CNX INFRA

short

3330

x

3365

long

3365

x

3330

CNX METAL

short

2462

x

2487

long

2512

x

2487

CNX MIDCAP

short

13320

x

13410

long

13500

x

13410

CNX PHARMA

short

12610

x

12730

long

12730

x

12610

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3789

x

3827

long

3827

x

3789

CNX REALTY

short

237.5

x

239.5

long

239.5

x

237.5


Sunday, March 8 2015

 MY WEEKLY TAKE ....

 

 

RBI RATE CUT FAILS TO CHARM THE MARKET  . . .

 

Trading levels --- 9th / 13th MARCH   2015

 

FIIs continued the clamour for rate cut and eventually it did happen. However market had fully discounted same  in last one hour trading on the budget day hence the consequential bump up was heavily sold into  - resulting in a drop of over 200 NIFTY points from  opening high.

 

So, we have 3 consecutive dojis on weekly charts which are giving warning of impending trend reversal. Negative divergence on NIFTY daily charts is also corroborating  same.  That means this is a high probability outcome and if that turns out to be true, we may be looking at 8820 and further down to 8650.

 

It seems the small print in the budget is the undoing of some of the positive announcement made by FM and that is why the section of the market is spooked. Market has also not taken kindly ZERO PROVISION made for capitalizing PSU banks. QIP announced by SBI is also significant drag on BANK NIFTY.

 

Since there is nothing positive in the budget for the short term, traders are booking profits and then wait to re-enter when medium term positives implied by the budget start to play out. Market is also anticipating disastrous 4th quarter results and starting to discount that as well. This would mean that   SENSEX FY 2015 profit base will be much lower than anticipated - thus  affecting FY 16 and FY 17 projections as well.

 

Overall,  it seems that we will be following global clues now since there are no immediate triggers left in domestic arena. LS / RS  session also has ended and any activity on that front will start only during second week of April. That month long session will be very very crucial for markets.

 

When BANKNIFTY started sliding on Thursday – after the RBI rate cut – I had given a call to buy 8700 / 8800 puts which were available very cheap at that time. People who are holding them should make decent profit in the coming week.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

MARCH 2015 TRADING LEVELS are out over weekend.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2015  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

position trading

weekly

DATE

9th / 13th  march  2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

29490

29280/070/28860/650

29700

long

29700

29910/30120/330

29490

CNX IT

short

12680

12600/520/440/360

12760

long

12760

12840/920/13000

12680

CNX AUTO

short

8878

x

8938

long

8938

x

8878

CNX ENERGY

short

8700

x

8785

long

8785

x

8700

CNX FMCG

short

21060

x

21280

long

21280

x

21060

CNX INFRA

short

3330

x

3365

long

3365

x

3330

CNX METAL

short

2462

x

2487

long

2512

x

2487

CNX MIDCAP

short

13320

x

13410

long

13500

x

13410

CNX PHARMA

short

12610

x

12730

long

12730

x

12610

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3789

x

3827

long

3827

x

3789

CNX REALTY

short

237.5

x

239.5

long

239.5

x

237.5

 

 


Sunday, March 8 2015

 

POSN TRADING

daily close trigger

MARCH 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8930

8837/744/651/558/465/372

9023

long

9023

9116/209/302

8930

sensex spot

short

29570

29230/28890/550/210/27870/530

29910

long

29910

30250/590/930

29570

BANK NIFTY

short

19770

19570/370/170/18970/770/570/370/170

19970

long

20170

20370/570/770/970

19970

CNX IT

short

12640

12530/420/310/200/090

12750

long

12750

12860/970/13080

12640

axis bank

short

598

583/68/53/38

613

long

613

628/43/58/73

598

aurobindo

short

1084

1055/26/997/68

1099

long

1113

121142/71/1200

1099

bajaj auto

short

2145

2110/2075/40/05

2180

long

2215

2250/85/2320/55/90/2425/60

2180

bharat forge

short

1254

1209/1164/19/1054

1276

long

1299

1344/89

1276

BHARTI

short

353.5

347/40.5/34/27.5/21

360

long

360

366.5/73/79.5/86

353.5

CIPLA

short

688

678/68/58/48/38

698

long

698

708/18/28/38/48

688

DR REDDYS

short

3332

3246/3160/3074

3375

long

3418

3504/90

3375

HCL TECH

short

2000

1958/16/1874/32

2042

long

2042

2084/126/168

2000

HDFC

short

1341

1317/1293/66/39/12/1185

1365

long

1365

1389/1413/37/61

1341

hdfc bank

short

1068

1047/26/05/984

1089

long

1089

1110/31/52

1068

HUL

short

899

882/65/48/31/14

916

long

916

933/50/67/84

899

ICICI

short

347

340/32/25/17/10

355

long

355

362/70/77/85/92

347

IDEA

short

153

149/45/41/37/33

157

long

157

161/65/69

153

IDFC

short

173.5

168.5/63.5/58.5/53.5

176

long

178.5

183.5/88.5/93.5/98.5

176

INFY

short

2270

2218/166/114

2322

long

2322

2374/2426/78

2270

ITC

short

364

359/54/49/44/39

369

long

369

374/79/84/89

364

LIC HSG FIN

short

481

472/63/54/45

490

long

490

499/508/17/26

481

LT

short

1760

1728/1696/64/32/1600

1792

long

1792

1824/56/88/1920

1760

M&M

short

1272

1240/08/1176/44/12

1288

long

1304

1336/68/1400

1288

MARUTI

short

3635

3560/485/410/335/260

3710

long

3710

3785/860/935

3635

ONGC

short

324

317/09/02/294

332

long

332

339/47/54/61/69

324

REC

short

334

325/16/07/298/89/80

343

long

343

352/61/70/79/88

334

RELIANCE

short

858

829/800

872

long

887

916/45/74

872

SUN PHARMA

short

919

896/73/50

942

long

942

965/88/1011/34/57/80

919

SBI

short

302

296/90/84/78/72/68

308

long

308

314/20/26/32

302

TATA MOTORS

short

581

565/49/33/17/01

589

long

597

613/29/45

589

TATASTEEL

short

354

343/32/21/10

359.5

long

365

376/87/98

359.5

TCS

short

2630

2552/2474

2669

long

2708

2786/2864

2669

TECH M

short

2835

2755/675/595/515

2875

long

2915

2995/3075

2875

VOLTAS

short

254

248.5/43/37.5/32/26.5/21

256.75

long

259.5

265/70.5/76

256.75


Sunday, March 8 2015

 

POSN TRADING

daily close trigger

MARCH 2015

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8930

8837/744/651/558/465/372

9023

long

9023

9116/209/302

8930

sensex spot

short

29570

29230/28890/550/210/27870/530

29910

long

29910

30250/590/930

29570

BANK NIFTY

short

19770

19570/370/170/18970/770/570/370/170

19970

long

20170

20370/570/770/970

19970

CNX IT

short

12640

12530/420/310/200/090

12750

long

12750

12860/970/13080

12640

axis bank

short

598

583/68/53/38

613

long

613

628/43/58/73

598

aurobindo

short

1084

1055/26/997/68

1099

long

1113

121142/71/1200

1099

bajaj auto

short

2145

2110/2075/40/05

2180

long

2215

2250/85/2320/55/90/2425/60

2180

bharat forge

short

1254

1209/1164/19/1054

1276

long

1299

1344/89

1276

BHARTI

short

353.5

347/40.5/34/27.5/21

360

long

360

366.5/73/79.5/86

353.5

CIPLA

short

688

678/68/58/48/38

698

long

698

708/18/28/38/48

688

DR REDDYS

short

3332

3246/3160/3074

3375

long

3418

3504/90

3375

HCL TECH

short

2000

1958/16/1874/32

2042

long

2042

2084/126/168

2000

HDFC

short

1341

1317/1293/66/39/12/1185

1365

long

1365

1389/1413/37/61

1341

hdfc bank

short

1068

1047/26/05/984

1089

long

1089

1110/31/52

1068

HUL

short

899

882/65/48/31/14

916

long

916

933/50/67/84

899

ICICI

short

347

340/32/25/17/10

355

long

355

362/70/77/85/92

347

IDEA

short

153

149/45/41/37/33

157

long

157

161/65/69

153

IDFC

short

173.5

168.5/63.5/58.5/53.5

176

long

178.5

183.5/88.5/93.5/98.5

176

INFY

short

2270

2218/166/114

2322

long

2322

2374/2426/78

2270

ITC

short

364

359/54/49/44/39

369

long

369

374/79/84/89

364

LIC HSG FIN

short

481

472/63/54/45

490

long

490

499/508/17/26

481

LT

short

1760

1728/1696/64/32/1600

1792

long

1792

1824/56/88/1920

1760

M&M

short

1272

1240/08/1176/44/12

1288

long

1304

1336/68/1400

1288

MARUTI

short

3635

3560/485/410/335/260

3710

long

3710

3785/860/935

3635

ONGC

short

324

317/09/02/294

332

long

332

339/47/54/61/69

324

REC

short

334

325/16/07/298/89/80

343

long

343

352/61/70/79/88

334

RELIANCE

short

858

829/800

872

long

887

916/45/74

872

SUN PHARMA

short

919

896/73/50

942

long

942

965/88/1011/34/57/80

919

SBI

short

302

296/90/84/78/72/68

308

long

308

314/20/26/32

302

TATA MOTORS

short

581

565/49/33/17/01

589

long

597

613/29/45

589

TATASTEEL

short

354

343/32/21/10

359.5

long

365

376/87/98

359.5

TCS

short

2630

2552/2474

2669

long

2708

2786/2864

2669

TECH M

short

2835

2755/675/595/515

2875

long

2915

2995/3075

2875

VOLTAS

short

254

248.5/43/37.5/32/26.5/21

256.75

long

259.5

265/70.5/76

256.75


Thursday, March 5 2015

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

05-Mar-15

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8939

8920/01/8882/63

8958

long

8977

8996/9015/34

8958

bank nifty

short

19640

19540/440/340/240

19740

long

19840

19940/20040/140

19740

apollo hospi

short

1423

1412/01/1390/79/68

1434

long

1434

1445/56/67

1423

TCS

short

2748

2733/18/03

2763

long

2763

2778/93/2808

2748

axis bank

short

616

609.5/03/696.5/90

622.5

long

622.5

629/35.5/42

616

canara bank

short

420

416.5/13/09.5/06

423.5

long

423.5

427/30.5/34

420