March 2015
POSN TRADING |
weekly |
DATE |
9th / 13th march 2015 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
cnx nifty |
short |
8938 |
8871/04/8737/8670 |
9005 |
long |
9005 |
9072/139/206 |
8938 |
|
bse sensex |
short |
29490 |
29280/070/28860/650 |
29700 |
long |
29700 |
29910/30120/330 |
29490 |
|
BANK NIFTY |
Short |
19650 |
19390/130/18870/610 |
19780 |
Long |
19910 |
20170/430 |
19780 |
|
CNX IT |
short |
12680 |
12600/520/440/360 |
12760 |
long |
12760 |
12840/920/13000 |
12680 |
|
aurobindo |
Short |
1091 |
1081/71/61/51/41 |
1101 |
Long |
1101 |
1111/21/31/41 |
1091 |
|
axis bank |
Short |
615 |
604/593/82/71/60 |
620.5 |
Long |
626 |
637/48/59/70 |
620.5 |
|
BOB |
Short |
183 |
181.5/79.5/78/76/74.5/72.5/71/69 |
185 |
Long |
185 |
186.5/88.5/90 |
183 |
|
BHARAT FORGE |
Short |
1281 |
1261/41/21/01 |
1291 |
Long |
1301 |
1321/41/61 |
1291 |
|
BHARTI |
Short |
346 |
342/38/34/30 |
350 |
Long |
350 |
354/58/62/66/70 |
346 |
|
CIPLA |
Short |
731 |
724/17/10/03 |
738 |
Long |
738 |
745/52/59/66 |
731679 |
|
COAL INDIA |
Short |
363 |
357/51/45 |
366 |
Long |
369 |
375/81 |
366 |
|
dr reddys |
Short |
3433 |
3400/367/333/300 |
3467 |
Long |
3467 |
3500/533/567 |
3433 |
|
glenmark pharma |
Short |
828 |
818/08/798/88/78 |
838 |
Long |
838 |
848/58/68 |
828 |
|
HCL TECH |
Short |
2064 |
2034/04/1974/44/14 |
2079 |
long |
2094 |
2124/54/84 |
2079 |
|
HDFC |
Short |
1382 |
1366/50/34/18/02 |
1398 |
Long |
1398 |
1414/30/46 |
1382 |
|
hdfc bank |
Short |
1078 |
1063/48/33/18 |
1093 |
Long |
1093 |
1108/23/38 |
1078 |
|
HUL |
Short |
938 |
928/18/08/898/88 |
948 |
Long |
948 |
958/68/78 |
938 |
|
ICICI BANK |
Short |
347 |
342/37/32/27 |
352 |
Long |
352 |
357/62/67/72 |
347 |
|
IDEA |
Short |
150.5 |
148.5/46.5/44.5/42.5/40.5 |
152.5 |
long |
152.5 |
154.5/56.5/58.5 |
150.5 |
|
IDFC |
Short |
178 |
174/70/66/62 |
180 |
Long |
182 |
186/90/94 |
180 |
|
INFOSYS |
Short |
2244 |
2222/2200/2178/56 |
2266 |
long |
2266 |
2288/310/332 |
2244 |
|
ITC |
Short |
345 |
341/37/33/29/25 |
349 |
Long |
353 |
357/61/65/69 |
349 |
|
LIC HSG |
Short |
491.5 |
484/76.5/69/61.5 |
499 |
long |
499 |
506.5/14 |
491.5 |
|
LT |
Short |
1823 |
1798/73/48/23/1698 |
1848 |
Long |
1848 |
1873/98 |
1823 |
|
M&M |
Short |
1219 |
1201/183/165/147 |
1228 |
Long |
1237 |
1255/73/91 |
1228 |
|
MARUTI |
Short |
3655 |
3620/585/550/515/480/445/410 |
3690 |
Long |
3690 |
3725/60 |
3655 |
|
ONGC |
Short |
318 |
312/06/300 |
321 |
long |
324 |
330/36/42 |
321 |
|
RELIANCE |
Short |
879 |
867/55 |
885 |
long |
891 |
903/15 |
885 |
|
SBI |
Short |
292 |
286/80/74 |
295 |
Long |
298 |
304/10/16 |
295 |
|
sun pharma |
Short |
1041 |
1031/21/11/01 |
1051 |
Long |
1051 |
1061/71/81 |
1041 |
|
TATAMOTORS |
Short |
568 |
558/48/38 |
573 |
Long |
578 |
588/98 |
573 |
|
TATASTEEL |
Short |
344 |
339/34/29/24 |
349 |
Long |
349 |
354/59 |
344 |
|
TCS |
Short |
2687 |
2666/45/24/03/582/561/540 |
2708 |
Long |
2708 |
2729/50/71/92 |
2687 |
|
tech mahindra |
Short |
2868 |
2843/18/793/768/743/718 |
2893 |
Long |
2893 |
2918/43 |
2868 |
|
ULTRATECH |
Short |
3180 |
3143/05/068/030 |
3218 |
Long |
3218 |
3255/93/330 |
3180 |
|
VOLTAS |
Short |
261 |
255/49/43/37/31 |
264 |
Long |
267 |
273/79/85 |
264 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
8878 |
x |
8938 |
long |
8938 |
x |
8878 |
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8700 |
x |
8785 |
long |
8785 |
x |
8700 |
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
21060 |
x |
21280 |
long |
21280 |
x |
21060 |
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
3330 |
x |
3365 |
long |
3365 |
x |
3330 |
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2462 |
x |
2487 |
long |
2512 |
x |
2487 |
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
13320 |
x |
13410 |
long |
13500 |
x |
13410 |
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
12610 |
x |
12730 |
long |
12730 |
x |
12610 |
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3789 |
x |
3827 |
long |
3827 |
x |
3789 |
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
237.5 |
x |
239.5 |
long |
239.5 |
x |
237.5 |
MY WEEKLY TAKE ....
RBI RATE CUT FAILS TO CHARM THE MARKET . . .
Trading levels --- 9th / 13th MARCH 2015
FIIs continued the clamour for rate cut and eventually it did happen. However market had fully discounted same in last one hour trading on the budget day hence the consequential bump up was heavily sold into - resulting in a drop of over 200 NIFTY points from opening high.
So, we have 3 consecutive dojis on weekly charts which are giving warning of impending trend reversal. Negative divergence on NIFTY daily charts is also corroborating same. That means this is a high probability outcome and if that turns out to be true, we may be looking at 8820 and further down to 8650.
It seems the small print in the budget is the undoing of some of the positive announcement made by FM and that is why the section of the market is spooked. Market has also not taken kindly ZERO PROVISION made for capitalizing PSU banks. QIP announced by SBI is also significant drag on BANK NIFTY.
Since there is nothing positive in the budget for the short term, traders are booking profits and then wait to re-enter when medium term positives implied by the budget start to play out. Market is also anticipating disastrous 4th quarter results and starting to discount that as well. This would mean that SENSEX FY 2015 profit base will be much lower than anticipated - thus affecting FY 16 and FY 17 projections as well.
Overall, it seems that we will be following global clues now since there are no immediate triggers left in domestic arena. LS / RS session also has ended and any activity on that front will start only during second week of April. That month long session will be very very crucial for markets.
When BANKNIFTY started sliding on Thursday – after the RBI rate cut – I had given a call to buy 8700 / 8800 puts which were available very cheap at that time. People who are holding them should make decent profit in the coming week.
As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind consensus following does not help. I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?
MARCH 2015 TRADING LEVELS are out over weekend. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2015 trading levels on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.
Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce - even for Mr Buffet and needs to be respected.
My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.
Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.
I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1
Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are shown.
You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all 8 modules for just 30,000 rupees for the full year.
Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.
Indices weekly levels
position trading |
weekly |
DATE |
9th / 13th march 2015 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
bse sensex |
short |
29490 |
29280/070/28860/650 |
29700 |
long |
29700 |
29910/30120/330 |
29490 |
|
CNX IT |
short |
12680 |
12600/520/440/360 |
12760 |
long |
12760 |
12840/920/13000 |
12680 |
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
8878 |
x |
8938 |
long |
8938 |
x |
8878 |
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8700 |
x |
8785 |
long |
8785 |
x |
8700 |
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
21060 |
x |
21280 |
long |
21280 |
x |
21060 |
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
3330 |
x |
3365 |
long |
3365 |
x |
3330 |
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2462 |
x |
2487 |
long |
2512 |
x |
2487 |
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
13320 |
x |
13410 |
long |
13500 |
x |
13410 |
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
12610 |
x |
12730 |
long |
12730 |
x |
12610 |
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3789 |
x |
3827 |
long |
3827 |
x |
3789 |
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
237.5 |
x |
239.5 |
long |
239.5 |
x |
237.5 |
POSN TRADING |
daily close trigger |
MARCH 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8930 |
8837/744/651/558/465/372 |
9023 |
long |
9023 |
9116/209/302 |
8930 |
|
sensex spot |
short |
29570 |
29230/28890/550/210/27870/530 |
29910 |
long |
29910 |
30250/590/930 |
29570 |
|
BANK NIFTY |
short |
19770 |
19570/370/170/18970/770/570/370/170 |
19970 |
long |
20170 |
20370/570/770/970 |
19970 |
|
CNX IT |
short |
12640 |
12530/420/310/200/090 |
12750 |
long |
12750 |
12860/970/13080 |
12640 |
|
axis bank |
short |
598 |
583/68/53/38 |
613 |
long |
613 |
628/43/58/73 |
598 |
|
aurobindo |
short |
1084 |
1055/26/997/68 |
1099 |
long |
1113 |
121142/71/1200 |
1099 |
|
bajaj auto |
short |
2145 |
2110/2075/40/05 |
2180 |
long |
2215 |
2250/85/2320/55/90/2425/60 |
2180 |
|
bharat forge |
short |
1254 |
1209/1164/19/1054 |
1276 |
long |
1299 |
1344/89 |
1276 |
|
BHARTI |
short |
353.5 |
347/40.5/34/27.5/21 |
360 |
long |
360 |
366.5/73/79.5/86 |
353.5 |
|
CIPLA |
short |
688 |
678/68/58/48/38 |
698 |
long |
698 |
708/18/28/38/48 |
688 |
|
DR REDDYS |
short |
3332 |
3246/3160/3074 |
3375 |
long |
3418 |
3504/90 |
3375 |
|
HCL TECH |
short |
2000 |
1958/16/1874/32 |
2042 |
long |
2042 |
2084/126/168 |
2000 |
|
HDFC |
short |
1341 |
1317/1293/66/39/12/1185 |
1365 |
long |
1365 |
1389/1413/37/61 |
1341 |
|
hdfc bank |
short |
1068 |
1047/26/05/984 |
1089 |
long |
1089 |
1110/31/52 |
1068 |
|
HUL |
short |
899 |
882/65/48/31/14 |
916 |
long |
916 |
933/50/67/84 |
899 |
|
ICICI |
short |
347 |
340/32/25/17/10 |
355 |
long |
355 |
362/70/77/85/92 |
347 |
|
IDEA |
short |
153 |
149/45/41/37/33 |
157 |
long |
157 |
161/65/69 |
153 |
|
IDFC |
short |
173.5 |
168.5/63.5/58.5/53.5 |
176 |
long |
178.5 |
183.5/88.5/93.5/98.5 |
176 |
|
INFY |
short |
2270 |
2218/166/114 |
2322 |
long |
2322 |
2374/2426/78 |
2270 |
|
ITC |
short |
364 |
359/54/49/44/39 |
369 |
long |
369 |
374/79/84/89 |
364 |
|
LIC HSG FIN |
short |
481 |
472/63/54/45 |
490 |
long |
490 |
499/508/17/26 |
481 |
|
LT |
short |
1760 |
1728/1696/64/32/1600 |
1792 |
long |
1792 |
1824/56/88/1920 |
1760 |
|
M&M |
short |
1272 |
1240/08/1176/44/12 |
1288 |
long |
1304 |
1336/68/1400 |
1288 |
|
MARUTI |
short |
3635 |
3560/485/410/335/260 |
3710 |
long |
3710 |
3785/860/935 |
3635 |
|
ONGC |
short |
324 |
317/09/02/294 |
332 |
long |
332 |
339/47/54/61/69 |
324 |
|
REC |
short |
334 |
325/16/07/298/89/80 |
343 |
long |
343 |
352/61/70/79/88 |
334 |
|
RELIANCE |
short |
858 |
829/800 |
872 |
long |
887 |
916/45/74 |
872 |
|
SUN PHARMA |
short |
919 |
896/73/50 |
942 |
long |
942 |
965/88/1011/34/57/80 |
919 |
|
SBI |
short |
302 |
296/90/84/78/72/68 |
308 |
long |
308 |
314/20/26/32 |
302 |
|
TATA MOTORS |
short |
581 |
565/49/33/17/01 |
589 |
long |
597 |
613/29/45 |
589 |
|
TATASTEEL |
short |
354 |
343/32/21/10 |
359.5 |
long |
365 |
376/87/98 |
359.5 |
|
TCS |
short |
2630 |
2552/2474 |
2669 |
long |
2708 |
2786/2864 |
2669 |
|
TECH M |
short |
2835 |
2755/675/595/515 |
2875 |
long |
2915 |
2995/3075 |
2875 |
|
VOLTAS |
short |
254 |
248.5/43/37.5/32/26.5/21 |
256.75 |
long |
259.5 |
265/70.5/76 |
256.75 |
POSN TRADING |
daily close trigger |
MARCH 2015 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8930 |
8837/744/651/558/465/372 |
9023 |
long |
9023 |
9116/209/302 |
8930 |
|
sensex spot |
short |
29570 |
29230/28890/550/210/27870/530 |
29910 |
long |
29910 |
30250/590/930 |
29570 |
|
BANK NIFTY |
short |
19770 |
19570/370/170/18970/770/570/370/170 |
19970 |
long |
20170 |
20370/570/770/970 |
19970 |
|
CNX IT |
short |
12640 |
12530/420/310/200/090 |
12750 |
long |
12750 |
12860/970/13080 |
12640 |
|
axis bank |
short |
598 |
583/68/53/38 |
613 |
long |
613 |
628/43/58/73 |
598 |
|
aurobindo |
short |
1084 |
1055/26/997/68 |
1099 |
long |
1113 |
121142/71/1200 |
1099 |
|
bajaj auto |
short |
2145 |
2110/2075/40/05 |
2180 |
long |
2215 |
2250/85/2320/55/90/2425/60 |
2180 |
|
bharat forge |
short |
1254 |
1209/1164/19/1054 |
1276 |
long |
1299 |
1344/89 |
1276 |
|
BHARTI |
short |
353.5 |
347/40.5/34/27.5/21 |
360 |
long |
360 |
366.5/73/79.5/86 |
353.5 |
|
CIPLA |
short |
688 |
678/68/58/48/38 |
698 |
long |
698 |
708/18/28/38/48 |
688 |
|
DR REDDYS |
short |
3332 |
3246/3160/3074 |
3375 |
long |
3418 |
3504/90 |
3375 |
|
HCL TECH |
short |
2000 |
1958/16/1874/32 |
2042 |
long |
2042 |
2084/126/168 |
2000 |
|
HDFC |
short |
1341 |
1317/1293/66/39/12/1185 |
1365 |
long |
1365 |
1389/1413/37/61 |
1341 |
|
hdfc bank |
short |
1068 |
1047/26/05/984 |
1089 |
long |
1089 |
1110/31/52 |
1068 |
|
HUL |
short |
899 |
882/65/48/31/14 |
916 |
long |
916 |
933/50/67/84 |
899 |
|
ICICI |
short |
347 |
340/32/25/17/10 |
355 |
long |
355 |
362/70/77/85/92 |
347 |
|
IDEA |
short |
153 |
149/45/41/37/33 |
157 |
long |
157 |
161/65/69 |
153 |
|
IDFC |
short |
173.5 |
168.5/63.5/58.5/53.5 |
176 |
long |
178.5 |
183.5/88.5/93.5/98.5 |
176 |
|
INFY |
short |
2270 |
2218/166/114 |
2322 |
long |
2322 |
2374/2426/78 |
2270 |
|
ITC |
short |
364 |
359/54/49/44/39 |
369 |
long |
369 |
374/79/84/89 |
364 |
|
LIC HSG FIN |
short |
481 |
472/63/54/45 |
490 |
long |
490 |
499/508/17/26 |
481 |
|
LT |
short |
1760 |
1728/1696/64/32/1600 |
1792 |
long |
1792 |
1824/56/88/1920 |
1760 |
|
M&M |
short |
1272 |
1240/08/1176/44/12 |
1288 |
long |
1304 |
1336/68/1400 |
1288 |
|
MARUTI |
short |
3635 |
3560/485/410/335/260 |
3710 |
long |
3710 |
3785/860/935 |
3635 |
|
ONGC |
short |
324 |
317/09/02/294 |
332 |
long |
332 |
339/47/54/61/69 |
324 |
|
REC |
short |
334 |
325/16/07/298/89/80 |
343 |
long |
343 |
352/61/70/79/88 |
334 |
|
RELIANCE |
short |
858 |
829/800 |
872 |
long |
887 |
916/45/74 |
872 |
|
SUN PHARMA |
short |
919 |
896/73/50 |
942 |
long |
942 |
965/88/1011/34/57/80 |
919 |
|
SBI |
short |
302 |
296/90/84/78/72/68 |
308 |
long |
308 |
314/20/26/32 |
302 |
|
TATA MOTORS |
short |
581 |
565/49/33/17/01 |
589 |
long |
597 |
613/29/45 |
589 |
|
TATASTEEL |
short |
354 |
343/32/21/10 |
359.5 |
long |
365 |
376/87/98 |
359.5 |
|
TCS |
short |
2630 |
2552/2474 |
2669 |
long |
2708 |
2786/2864 |
2669 |
|
TECH M |
short |
2835 |
2755/675/595/515 |
2875 |
long |
2915 |
2995/3075 |
2875 |
|
VOLTAS |
short |
254 |
248.5/43/37.5/32/26.5/21 |
256.75 |
long |
259.5 |
265/70.5/76 |
256.75 |
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
intra levels |
|
DATE |
05-Mar-15 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
8939 |
8920/01/8882/63 |
8958 |
long |
8977 |
8996/9015/34 |
8958 |
|
bank nifty |
short |
19640 |
19540/440/340/240 |
19740 |
long |
19840 |
19940/20040/140 |
19740 |
|
apollo hospi |
short |
1423 |
1412/01/1390/79/68 |
1434 |
long |
1434 |
1445/56/67 |
1423 |
|
TCS |
short |
2748 |
2733/18/03 |
2763 |
long |
2763 |
2778/93/2808 |
2748 |
|
axis bank |
short |
616 |
609.5/03/696.5/90 |
622.5 |
long |
622.5 |
629/35.5/42 |
616 |
|
canara bank |
short |
420 |
416.5/13/09.5/06 |
423.5 |
long |
423.5 |
427/30.5/34 |
420 |