February 2015

 MY WEEKLY TAKE .....

BULLS HOLD THE UPPERHAND IN THE PENULTIMATE WEEK TO BUDGET . . .

Trading levels --- 23^rd / 28^th  FEBRUARY  2015

Bulls continued to consolidate their position in 8800 / 8900 NIFTY range. It seems they were also not very keen to push the bar higher as to hold the index closer to 9000 has turned out to be difficult.

 IT sector and ITC were a pillar of strength while BANKING was not a drag. Same pattern of last 3 weeks continued where the FIIs were not major players and the local HNIs / Operators continued to call the shots.

Defence related stocks have hit dizzy heights and a major disappointment is in store – that is my feeling.  SO BETTER TO BOOK FULL PROFITS AT CURRENT LEVELS.

Generally budget will not be a game changer for stock market. Some lofty announcements may be made but there will not be follow-up budgetary provisions. GOVERNMENTS HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING THIS PATTERN FOR SEVERAL YEARS NOW.

RENEWABLE ENERGY – BOTH WIND AND SOLAR – MAY BE DECLARED AS THRUST AREAS AND SOME UNREALLISTIC TARGETS MAY BE MENTIONED.

JUST KEEP IN MIND FOLLOWING – 6 / 7 CRORE INVESTMENT IS REQUIRED FOR 1 MW OF POWER GENERATION. MAKE YR OWN CALCULATIONS OF INVESTMENT REQD OVER 3 / 5 / 7 YRS  TO MEET THE TARGETS.

SO LET US KEEP OUR FINGERS CROSSED AND WAIT FOR THE EVENT TO GET OVER. PERSONALLY, I AM MOVING TO 30 % CASH BEFORE THE BUDGET.

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

JANUARY 2015 TRADING LEVELS are out over weekend.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2015  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

Indices  weekly levels