Welcome to SUMAMURA

December 2014

Monday, December 22 2014 TO Friday, December 26 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

22nd / 26th  december 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

8201

8139/8077/15/7953

8263

long

8263

8325/387/449

8201

bse sensex

short

27330

27170/27010/26850/690/530/370

27490

long

27490

27650/810/970

27330

 BANK NIFTY

Short

18360

18220/080/17940/800/660/520

18500

Long

18640

18780/920/19060/200

18500

CNX IT

short

11145

11050/10955/860/765

11240

long

11240

11335/430/525/620

11145

axis bank

Short

488

482.5/77/71.5/66/60.5/55

493.5

Long

493.5

499/504.5/10

488

BHARTI

Short

343

339/35/31/27

347

Long

347

351/55/59

343

CIPLA

Short

619

614.5/10/05.5/01/596.5/92

623.5

Long

628

632.5/37/41.5/46

623.5

COAL INDIA

Short

373

370/67/64

376

Long

376

379/82/85/88

373

dr reddys

Short

3195

3160/25/3090/55/20

3230

Long

3230

3265/300

3195

HDFC

Short

1105

1097/89/81/73

1113

Long

1121

1129/37/45/53

1113

hdfc bank

Short

936

926/16/06/896

946

Long

946

956/66/76

936

HUL

Short

757

752/47/42/37/32/27/22/17/12

762

Long

767

772/77/82/87

762

ICICI BANK

Short

356

352.5/49/45.5/42

359.5

Long

359.5

363/66.5/70

356

IDFC

Short

155

153.5/52/50.5/49

156.5

Long

158

159.5/61/62.5/64

156.5

INFOSYS

Short

1993

1972/51/30/09

2014

long

2014

2035/56

1993

ITC

Short

371

366/61/56/51

376

Long

376

381/86/91/96

371

LT

Short

1536

1523/10/1497/84/71/58/45

1549

Long

1549

1562/75/88/1601

1536

MARUTI

Short

3346

3326/06/3286/66/46/26

3366

Long

3386

3406/26/46

3366

ONGC

Short

349

345/41.5/37.5/34/30

352.5

long

352.5

356.5/60/64/67.5

49

RELIANCE

Short

898.5

886/73.5/61/48.5

911

long

911

923.5/36

898.5

SBI

Short

303

298/93/88/83/78/73

308

Long

308

313/18/23/28

303

sun pharma

Short

808

800/793/85/78/70/63/55

815

Long

815

823/30/38/45

808

TATAMOTORS

Short

487.5

481/74.5/68/61.5/55

494

Long

494

500.5/07/13.5/20

487.5

TCS

Short

2525

2500/2475/50/25/2400/2375/50/25

2550

Long

2550

2575/600/625/650

2525

tech mahindra

Short

2580

2556/32/08/2484/60/36/12

2604

Long

2604

2628/52/76/2700

2580

VOLTAS

Short

249

245.75/42.5/39.25/36/32.75/29.5

252.25

Long

252.25

255.5/58.75/62

249

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

8210

x

8310

long

8310

x

8210

CNX ENERGY

short

8625

x

8725

long

8725

x

8625

CNX FMCG

short

19950

x

20170

long

20170

x

19950

CNX INFRA

short

3185

x

3020

long

3020

x

3185

CNX METAL

short

2643

x

2679

long

2679

x

2643

CNX MIDCAP

short

12230

x

12320

long

12320

x

12230

CNX PHARMA

short

10690

x

10835

long

10835

x

10690

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4151

x

4198

long

4198

x

4151

CNX REALTY

short

194.5

x

196

long

197.5

x

196


Monday, December 22 2014

 US FED RESCUE ACT – ONCE AGAIN  ….  

 

 

Trading levels --- 22nd / 26th      DECEMBER 2014

 

Market was extremely weak for first half of the week  - till Wednesday  mid-day -  but the American futures then recovered getting the wind of dovish posture Madam Yellen was likely to adapt . The Indian markets also improved in tandem.

 

And Madam Yellen did oblige - signaling upsurge in all the global markets. As usual,  Indian markets did outperform most asian peers – this time on the way up.

 

By the weekend, our market had reached last week’s closing levels -  covering all the lost ground during first half of the week.

 

Many stocks corrected heavily mid-week but have closed substantially up. As per my understanding ….   WE SHOULD BE TRYING TO BUY CLOSER TO LAST WEEK’S LOWS…  I think that will be a very good entry level  for medium term.

 

I feel on Monday market will be sideways with downward bias – after opening little strong. If one is able to buy just out of the money NIFTY put in the morning, good chances to make 50 % return by evening – even more.

 

Last two week’s fall has made marketmen aware about the impending risks to one way bull run so far. THIS REALISATION WAS BADLY NEEDED AS MARKETMEN WERE TRYING TO PUSH CERTAN STOCKS TO ABNORMAL LEVELS.

 

BRENT crude has slipped below 60 dollars and indications are that within next  6 / 8 weeks it may go to 50 dollars or even lower. If that level is held for 4 to 6 months, we may have lot of economic trouble for countries which are dependent on CRUDE OIL exports. Some of them may even default on their international commitments which will cause a bout of all round panic in financial world – of much bigger proportion than even LEHMAN crisis.  I EXPECT GOLD TO MOVE UP SIGNIFICANTLY FOR ABOVE REASONS.

 

WE DID FILL THE GAPS I MENTIONEDLAST WEEK. THE REMAINING GAPS WILL TAKE PROBABLY 3 TO 4 WEEKS MORE TO FILL UP – PROBABLY AFTER SOME REALSISATION OF THE ACTUAL MACRO PICTURE.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

DECEMBER 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out over weekend.   You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce  - even for Mr Buffet  and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

22nd / 26th  december 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

27330

27170/27010/26850/690/530/370

27490

long

27490

27650/810/970

27330

CNX IT

short

11145

11050/10955/860/765

11240

long

11240

11335/430/525/620

11145

CNX AUTO

short

8210

x

8310

long

8310

x

8210

CNX ENERGY

short

8625

x

8725

long

8725

x

8625

CNX FMCG

short

19950

x

20170

long

20170

x

19950

CNX INFRA

short

3185

x

3020

long

3020

x

3185

CNX METAL

short

2643

x

2679

long

2679

x

2643

CNX MIDCAP

short

12230

x

12320

long

12320

x

12230

CNX PHARMA

short

10690

x

10835

long

10835

x

10690

CNX PSU BANKS

short

4151

x

4198

long

4198

x

4151

CNX REALTY

short

194.5

x

196

long

197.5

x

196

 


Friday, December 19 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

19th   december  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8219

8183/58/32

8244

long

8244

8270/96

8219

bank nifty

short

18380

18270/160/050

18490

long

18490

18600/710/820

18380

amtek auto

short

179

176/73/70

182

long

182

185/88/91/94

179

torrent power

short

180.5

179/77.75.5/73.5

182.5

long

182.5

184/86/87.5/89.5

180.5

arvind

short

268

265.5/63

270.5

long

270.5

273/75.5/78

268

PNB

short

227.5

225.5/23.5/21.5

229.5

long

229.5

231.5/33.5

227.5


Friday, December 19 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

19th   december  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8219

8183/58/32

8244

long

8244

8270/96

8219

bank nifty

short

18380

18270/160/050

18490

long

18490

18600/710/820

18380

amtek auto

short

179

176/73/70

182

long

182

185/88/91/94

179

torrent power

short

180.5

179/77.75.5/73.5

182.5

long

182.5

184/86/87.5/89.5

180.5

arvind

short

268

265.5/63

270.5

long

270.5

273/75.5/78

268

PNB

short

227.5

225.5/23.5/21.5

229.5

long

229.5

231.5/33.5

227.5


Thursday, December 18 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

18th   december  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

8111

8086/61/36/11

8136

long

8136

8161/86

8111

bank nifty

short

17970

17720/590/460

18050

long

18050

18110/240

17970

icici bank

short

338.5

335/31.5

342

long

342

345.5/49/52.5

338.5

LT

short

1489

1476/63/50

1502

long

1502

1515/28

1489

arvind

short

251.5

249/46.5/44

254

long

254

256.5/59

251.5

wockhardt

short

909

900/891/82

918

long

918

927/36

909