September 2014

 MY WEEKLY TAKE .....

VOLATILE WEEK WITH MARGINAL GAINS …

Trading levels --- 22^nd / 26^th     September   2014

The downward bias continued during first three days but on Thursday a huge trend reversal turned the tide for bulls. After the status quo announced at the FOMC meet  on Wednesday, some hedge funds covered their NIFTY shorts aggressively early during Thursday trading - setting the bullish tone for the day. The local bull operators then built on that cue to post biggest single day gains over last 4 months. 

The undertone generally is so bullish that every small good news is cheered with over 100 points gain while bad news like bad  IIP nos / CPI inflation etc are pushed below the carpet  with a swift up-move. THIS IS A TYPICAL PHENOMENON PROVING THAT BULLS HAVE ABSOLUTE CONTROL WHO ARE EMBOLDENED BY  FII’S WILLINGNESS TO HOLD LONGS.

THE MARKET PLAYED TO THE BOOK  ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY GOING WELL BELOW 8000 AND FILLING THE 7967/7984 GAP ON THE WAY.    As expected most momentum midcaps simply collapsed during the 200 point NIFTY fall just showing  a small trailer of what can be expected if the 500 point fall was to happen.

I expect a small correction – may be 30 to 40 % of the big Thursday move - on Monday  or Tuesday morning which can give an opportunity to build longs for FAO expiry on Thursday.

I did encash my 8000 NIFTY puts on Tuesday and  now have 8100 puts bought late Friday at very good price. I hope  to make some small money on Monday or Tuesday.

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

SEPTEMBER 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out  on 1^st SEPTEMBER. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/. 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

Indices  weekly levels