Welcome to SUMAMURA

September 2014

Monday, September 29 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

29th september 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

7939

7923/06/890

7956

long

7972

7989/8005

7956

bank nifty

short

15560

15460/360

15660

long

15660

15760/860

15560

GSFC

short

92.5

91.5/90.5/89.5

93.5

long

93.5

94.5/95.5/96.5

92.5

RELIANCE

short

928

921/14

935

long

935

942/49/56

928

IDFC

short

141

139.5/38

142.5

long

142.5

144/45.5/47

141

coal india

short

346

343/40

349

long

349

352/55

346


Monday, September 29 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

29th september 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

7939

7923/06/890

7956

long

7972

7989/8005

7956

bank nifty

short

15560

15460/360

15660

long

15660

15760/860

15560

GSFC

short

92.5

91.5/90.5/89.5

93.5

long

93.5

94.5/95.5/96.5

92.5

RELIANCE

short

928

921/14

935

long

935

942/49/56

928

IDFC

short

141

139.5/38

142.5

long

142.5

144/45.5/47

141

coal india

short

346

343/40

349

long

349

352/55

346


Monday, September 29 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

29th  september / 1st october 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7980

7920/860/800/740/680

8040

long

8040

8100/160/220/280

7980

bse sensex

short

26660

26460/260/060/25860/660

26860

long

26860

27060/260/460

26660

 BANK NIFTY

Short

15590

15400/210/020

15780

Long

15780

15970/16160/350

15590

CNX IT

short

11130

11000/10870/740

11260

long

11260

11390/520/650

11130

aurobindo

Short

875

765/54/44/33/23/12/02

886

Long

886

896/907/17

875

axis bank

Short

388.5

385/81.5/78/74.5/71

392

Long

392

395.5/99

388.5

BOB

Short

898

888/78/68/58/48

908

Long

908

918/28/38/48

898

BHARTI

Short

408

403/398/93/88

413

Long

413

418/23/28

408

CIPLA

Short

614

608/02/596/90

620

Long

620

626/32/38

614

COAL INDIA

Short

347

342/37/32

349.5

Long

352

357/62/67

349

dr reddys

Short

3217

3180/43/06

3254

Long

3254

3291/3328/65

3217

glenmark pharma

Short

691

681/71/61/51

696

Long

701

711/21/31

696

HCL TECH

Short

1710

1697/84/71/58/45

1723

long

1723

1736/49/62

1710

HDFC

Short

1034

1022/10/998/86

1046

Long

1046

1058/70/82

1034

hdfc bank

Short

865

853/41/29

871

Long

877

889/901

871

HUL

Short

751

742/33/24/15

760

Long

760

769/78/87

751

ICICI BANK

Short

1479

1457/35/13/1391/69

1490

Long

1501

1523/45/67/89

1490

IDEA

Short

166

164/62/60/58/56

168

long

168

170/72/74/76

166

IDFC

Short

142.5

140.75/39/37.25/35.5

144.25

Long

144.25

146/47.75/49.5

142.5

INFOSYS

Short

3684

3652/20/3588/56/24

3716

long

3716

3748/80/812

3684

ITC

Short

372

369/66/63/60/57/54/51/48

375

Long

375

378/81/84

372

LT

Short

1470

1448/26/04

1481

Long

1492

1514/36/58/80

1481

M&M

Short

1398

1384/70/56/42

1412

Long

1412

1426/40

1398

MARUTI

Short

3035

3108/080/053/025/2998/2970

3063

Long

3063

3090/118/145

3035

ONGC

Short

413.5

410/06.5/03/399.5/96

417

long

417

520.5/24/27.5/31

413.5

RELIANCE

Short

935

922/09

941.5

long

948

961/74

941.5

SESA

Short

275

272.5/70/67.5/65/62.5/60

277.5

Long

277.5

280/82.5/85

275

SBI

Short

2440

2420/2400/2380/60/40/20

2460

Long

2480

2500/2520/40/60

2460

sun pharma

Short

807

797/87/77/67/57/47

817

Long

817

827/37/47

807

TATAMOTORS

Short

514

509.5/05/500.5/496/91.5/87

518.5

Long

518.5

523/27.5/32/36.5/41

514

TATASTEEL

Short

473.5

468/62.5/57/51.5/46/40.5

479

Long

479

484.5/90/95.5/501

473.5

TCS

Short

2688

2664/40/16/592/68/44

2712

Long

2712

2736/60/84

2688

tech mahindra

Short

2474

2451/28/05/2372/49/26/03

2485

Long

2497

2520/43/66

2485

ULTRATECH

Short

2631

2592/53/14/475/36

2651

Long

2670

2709/48

2651

VOLTAS

Short

235

232/29/26/23/20/17/14/11

238

Long

238

241/44/47/50

235

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

7960

x

8030

long

8030

x

7960

CNX ENERGY

short

9245

x

9330

long

9330

x

9245

CNX FMCG

short

19810

x

19990

long

19990

x

19810

CNX INFRA

short

3044

x

3082

long

3082

x

3044

CNX METAL

short

2920

x

2940

long

2960

x

2940

CNX MIDCAP

short

11350

x

11475

long

11475

x

11350

CNX PHARMA

short

10520

x

10610

long

10610

x

10520

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3410

x

3445

long

3445

x

3410

CNX REALTY

short

210

x

212

long

214

x

212


Sunday, September 28 2014

 MY WEEKLY TAKE ....

 

MARKET WEAKENS – CHINKS SURFACING  -  IS IT ?

 

Trading levels --- 29th September / 1st October   2014

 

Week opened fairly strong with NIFTY making all time closing high. But the trend reversed completely on following day showing ENGULFING BEAR pattern. Next two days was logical follow-up. Downtrend continued even on Friday till a positive news from S&P lifted spirits of the bulls.

 

Supreme court delivered coal scam final verdict mid-week  and that was like letting cat amongst pigeons as far as metals / midcaps and bank stocks were concerned. Huge  falls were seen – which was only expected – and the technicals are now indicating a SHORT TERM DOWNTREND which means sell on rise market instead of buy on dips.

 

Last week I had said the undertone was extremely bullish but it has significantly moderated in one week. Bulls have come to terms to appreciate that  SOMETHINGS CAN GO WRONG.

 

Most world markets have shown topping out patterns in last two weeks while we continued to march ahead. Last time this happened was in OCTOBER / NOVEMBER 2007 and we know what followed in JANUARY 2008. So, it is prudent to take 30/40 % cash off the table and wait for good investment opportunity again.

 

I did make a small profit on my 8100 puts during the week and now I am carrying longs in RELIANCE and IDFC which corrected excessively on Thursday and Friday. Even a small bounce on Monday morning will give me a decent return.

 

Next week is  a 3 trading day week followed by a very long – 5 day  weekend . Bulls are well advised to trim their positions to minimum since the global markets are dithering.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind  consensus following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS.   WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

OCTOBER 2014 TRADING LEVELS will be out   over the long weekend. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

29th  september / 1st october 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

26660

26460/260/060/25860/660

26860

long

26860

27060/260/460

26660

CNX IT

short

11130

11000/10870/740

11260

long

11260

11390/520/650

11130

CNX AUTO

short

7960

x

8030

long

8030

x

7960

CNX ENERGY

short

9245

x

9330

long

9330

x

9245

CNX FMCG

short

19810

x

19990

long

19990

x

19810

CNX INFRA

short

3044

x

3082

long

3082

x

3044

CNX METAL

short

2920

x

2940

long

2960

x

2940

CNX MIDCAP

short

11350

x

11475

long

11475

x

11350

CNX PHARMA

short

10520

x

10610

long

10610

x

10520

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3410

x

3445

long

3445

x

3410

CNX REALTY

short

210

x

212

long

214

x

212

 

 


Friday, September 26 2014

 

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

intra levels

 

DATE

26th september 2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

NIFTY SPOT

short

7894

7976/60/44/28/12

7910

long

7926

8040/56/72/88

7910

bank nifty

short

15290

15185/080

15395

long

15395

15500/605/710

15290

SBI

short

2378

2358/38/18

2398

long

2398

2418/38

2378

RELIANCE

short

931

927/23/19/15

935

long

939

943/47/51

935

TCS

short

2699

2677/55/33/11

2722

long

2722

2745/68/91

2699

tata steel

short

459

456/53/50/47/44

462

long

465

468/71/74

462