Welcome to SUMAMURA

June 2014

Sunday, June 15 2014

 Trading levels --- 16th / 20th   June   2014

 

On the last trading day of the week, the market melted - despite the huuuuuuge FII buy figure on Thursday. I have been witnessing big negative divergences not only on NIFTY but on most major nifty component charts and I suggested on Wednesday to buy OTM puts to capitalize on that. This message was given on YAHOO MESSENGER.  This was swimming against the tide as everyone was too bullish on the market.

 

On Friday also, we have a decent BUY figure from both FII and DII.   So who has been selling ?

 

It is the HNI crowd and broker’s proprietary desks which have been steadily unwinding positions at higher levels for nearly last 8/10 trading sessions. This indication is given by  MONEYFLOW indicator. This - coupled with negative divergences visible  - allowed me to come to a conclusion to give a call to buy OTM puts.

 

This week IT and PHARMA have been saving grace for the market. FII inflows of over 4,000 crores has also helped. Again I want to reiterate…. THIS MARKET IS NOT LIKELY TO GO DOWN IN A BIG WAY – NOT UNTILL BUDGET  but individual stocks will continue to give you great entry points which should not be missed.

 

SO BE ALERT FOR SUCH INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES.

 

Banks still look  FROTHY and this froth will come off  which will be healthy for the over all market.

 

On last Friday, many high beta stocks have moved down significantly but they still need to correct by another 25 to /30 %  before they can become attractive BUYs.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind following  does not help.  WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

JUNE 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out on 2nd JUNE . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

16th / 20th  june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

25210

25045/24880/715/550/385

25375

long

25375

25540/25705

25210

CNX IT

short

9339

9256/173/090/007

9422

long

9422

9505/88/671

9339

CNX AUTO

short

6725

x

6785

long

6785

x

6725

CNX ENERGY

short

10740

x

10820

long

10820

x

10740

CNX FMCG

short

17830

x

18000

long

18000

x

17830

CNX INFRA

short

3338

x

3367

long

3367

x

3338

CNX METAL

short

3290

x

3325

long

3325

x

3290

CNX MIDCAP

short

10610

x

10730

long

10730

x

10610

CNX PHARMA

short

7980

x

7895

long

7895

x

7980

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3717

x

3756

long

3756

x

3717

CNX REALTY

short

253.5

x

255.5

long

255.5

x

253.5

 

World   Commodities

 

weekly

 

DATE

16th / 20th  june 2014

 

 

commodity

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

 

gold

short

1271

1258/1245/1232/1219/1206

1284

US$ / T ounce

long

1284

1297/1310/23

1271

 

silver

short

19.39

19.26/19.13/19/18.87/18.74

19.52

US$ / T ounce

long

19.65

19.78/19.91/20.04/20.17/20.3

19.52

 

crude

short

106

104.75/03.5/02.25/01

107.25

US$ / barrel

long

107.25

108.5/09.75/11/12.25/13.5

106

 

nat gas

short

4.69

4.63/4.57/4.51/4.45

4.72

US$ / 10K MMBTU

long

4.75

4.81/4.87/4.93/4.99

4.72

 

copper

short

3.01

2.98/2.95/2.92/2.89

3.04

US$ / pound

long

3.04

3.07/3.1/3.13/3.16

3.01

 

sugar

short

461

454/47/40/33

468

US$ / tonne

long

468

475/82/89

461

 

 


Thursday, June 12 2014

 energy stocks r like manmohansingh ..... they r being used to keep the seat warm .....

 
nothing is going to happen about gas price hike ..... decision wl be kept pending ... so all of them ar doomed to crash ..... 
 
buy OTM puts ..... reliance 1080 put and ONGC 420 put being most ideal .........

Thursday, June 12 2014

 

intra levels

 

DATE

12th june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

NIFTY SPOT

short

7621

7602/7583/64/45

7640

long

7640

7659/78/97

7621

bank nifty

short

15440

15360/280/200/120

15520

long

15520

15600/680

15440

eveready

short

62.7

62.15/61.6/61.05/60.5

63.25

long

63.25

63.8/64.35/64.9

62.7

britannia

short

966

956/45/34/24

977

long

977

987/98/1008

966

MRPL

short

71.75

71/70.25/69.5/68.75/68

72.5

long

72.5

73.25/74

71.75

TCS

short

2196

2181/66/51

2211

long

2211

2226/41/56

2196


Thursday, June 12 2014

 

intra levels

 

DATE

12th june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

NIFTY SPOT

short

7621

7602/7583/64/45

7640

long

7640

7659/78/97

7621

bank nifty

short

15440

15360/280/200/120

15520

long

15520

15600/680

15440

eveready

short

62.7

62.15/61.6/61.05/60.5

63.25

long

63.25

63.8/64.35/64.9

62.7

britannia

short

966

956/45/34/24

977

long

977

987/98/1008

966

MRPL

short

71.75

71/70.25/69.5/68.75/68

72.5

long

72.5

73.25/74

71.75

TCS

short

2196

2181/66/51

2211

long

2211

2226/41/56

2196


Wednesday, June 11 2014

 

intra day

 

DATE

11th june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

NIFTY SPOT

short

7664

7640/16/592/68

7688

long

7688

7712/36/60

76647650

bank nifty

short

15410

15325/240/155/070

15495

long

15495

15580/665

15410

indoco remedies

short

167

166/65/64/63

168

long

168

169/70/71/72/73/74

167

monsanto

short

1818

1808/1798

1828

long

1828

1838/48/58

1818

cairn india

short

382

379.5/77/74.5/72

384.5

long

384.5

387/89.5/92

382

titan

short

340

338.5/37/35.5/34

341.5

long

341.5

343/44.5/46/47.5/49

340