June 2014
Trading levels --- 16th / 20th June 2014
On the last trading day of the week, the market melted - despite the huuuuuuge FII buy figure on Thursday. I have been witnessing big negative divergences not only on NIFTY but on most major nifty component charts and I suggested on Wednesday to buy OTM puts to capitalize on that. This message was given on YAHOO MESSENGER. This was swimming against the tide as everyone was too bullish on the market.
On Friday also, we have a decent BUY figure from both FII and DII. So who has been selling ?
It is the HNI crowd and broker’s proprietary desks which have been steadily unwinding positions at higher levels for nearly last 8/10 trading sessions. This indication is given by MONEYFLOW indicator. This - coupled with negative divergences visible - allowed me to come to a conclusion to give a call to buy OTM puts.
This week IT and PHARMA have been saving grace for the market. FII inflows of over 4,000 crores has also helped. Again I want to reiterate…. THIS MARKET IS NOT LIKELY TO GO DOWN IN A BIG WAY – NOT UNTILL BUDGET but individual stocks will continue to give you great entry points which should not be missed.
SO BE ALERT FOR SUCH INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES.
Banks still look FROTHY and this froth will come off which will be healthy for the over all market.
On last Friday, many high beta stocks have moved down significantly but they still need to correct by another 25 to /30 % before they can become attractive BUYs.
As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind following does not help. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?
JUNE 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out on 2nd JUNE . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014 trading levels on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.
Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.
My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.
Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.
I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1
Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are shown.
You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all 8 modules for just 30,000 rupees for the full year.
Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.
Indices weekly levels
TER POSN TRADING |
weekly |
DATE |
16th / 20th june 2014 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
bse sensex |
short |
25210 |
25045/24880/715/550/385 |
25375 |
long |
25375 |
25540/25705 |
25210 |
|
CNX IT |
short |
9339 |
9256/173/090/007 |
9422 |
long |
9422 |
9505/88/671 |
9339 |
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
6725 |
x |
6785 |
long |
6785 |
x |
6725 |
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
10740 |
x |
10820 |
long |
10820 |
x |
10740 |
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
17830 |
x |
18000 |
long |
18000 |
x |
17830 |
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
3338 |
x |
3367 |
long |
3367 |
x |
3338 |
|
CNX METAL |
short |
3290 |
x |
3325 |
long |
3325 |
x |
3290 |
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
10610 |
x |
10730 |
long |
10730 |
x |
10610 |
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
7980 |
x |
7895 |
long |
7895 |
x |
7980 |
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3717 |
x |
3756 |
long |
3756 |
x |
3717 |
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
253.5 |
x |
255.5 |
long |
255.5 |
x |
253.5 |
World Commodities
weekly |
|
DATE |
16th / 20th june 2014 |
|
|
commodity |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
gold |
short |
1271 |
1258/1245/1232/1219/1206 |
1284 |
US$ / T ounce |
long |
1284 |
1297/1310/23 |
1271 |
||
silver |
short |
19.39 |
19.26/19.13/19/18.87/18.74 |
19.52 |
US$ / T ounce |
long |
19.65 |
19.78/19.91/20.04/20.17/20.3 |
19.52 |
||
crude |
short |
106 |
104.75/03.5/02.25/01 |
107.25 |
US$ / barrel |
long |
107.25 |
108.5/09.75/11/12.25/13.5 |
106 |
||
nat gas |
short |
4.69 |
4.63/4.57/4.51/4.45 |
4.72 |
US$ / 10K MMBTU |
long |
4.75 |
4.81/4.87/4.93/4.99 |
4.72 |
||
copper |
short |
3.01 |
2.98/2.95/2.92/2.89 |
3.04 |
US$ / pound |
long |
3.04 |
3.07/3.1/3.13/3.16 |
3.01 |
||
sugar |
short |
461 |
454/47/40/33 |
468 |
US$ / tonne |
long |
468 |
475/82/89 |
461 |
energy stocks r like manmohansingh ..... they r being used to keep the seat warm .....
intra levels |
|
DATE |
12th june 2014 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . . |
||||
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
7621 |
7602/7583/64/45 |
7640 |
long |
7640 |
7659/78/97 |
7621 |
|
bank nifty |
short |
15440 |
15360/280/200/120 |
15520 |
long |
15520 |
15600/680 |
15440 |
|
eveready |
short |
62.7 |
62.15/61.6/61.05/60.5 |
63.25 |
long |
63.25 |
63.8/64.35/64.9 |
62.7 |
|
britannia |
short |
966 |
956/45/34/24 |
977 |
long |
977 |
987/98/1008 |
966 |
|
MRPL |
short |
71.75 |
71/70.25/69.5/68.75/68 |
72.5 |
long |
72.5 |
73.25/74 |
71.75 |
|
TCS |
short |
2196 |
2181/66/51 |
2211 |
long |
2211 |
2226/41/56 |
2196 |
intra levels |
|
DATE |
12th june 2014 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . . |
||||
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
7621 |
7602/7583/64/45 |
7640 |
long |
7640 |
7659/78/97 |
7621 |
|
bank nifty |
short |
15440 |
15360/280/200/120 |
15520 |
long |
15520 |
15600/680 |
15440 |
|
eveready |
short |
62.7 |
62.15/61.6/61.05/60.5 |
63.25 |
long |
63.25 |
63.8/64.35/64.9 |
62.7 |
|
britannia |
short |
966 |
956/45/34/24 |
977 |
long |
977 |
987/98/1008 |
966 |
|
MRPL |
short |
71.75 |
71/70.25/69.5/68.75/68 |
72.5 |
long |
72.5 |
73.25/74 |
71.75 |
|
TCS |
short |
2196 |
2181/66/51 |
2211 |
long |
2211 |
2226/41/56 |
2196 |
intra day |
|
DATE |
11th june 2014 |
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . . |
||||
NIFTY SPOT |
short |
7664 |
7640/16/592/68 |
7688 |
long |
7688 |
7712/36/60 |
76647650 |
|
bank nifty |
short |
15410 |
15325/240/155/070 |
15495 |
long |
15495 |
15580/665 |
15410 |
|
indoco remedies |
short |
167 |
166/65/64/63 |
168 |
long |
168 |
169/70/71/72/73/74 |
167 |
|
monsanto |
short |
1818 |
1808/1798 |
1828 |
long |
1828 |
1838/48/58 |
1818 |
|
cairn india |
short |
382 |
379.5/77/74.5/72 |
384.5 |
long |
384.5 |
387/89.5/92 |
382 |
|
titan |
short |
340 |
338.5/37/35.5/34 |
341.5 |
long |
341.5 |
343/44.5/46/47.5/49 |
340 |