Welcome to SUMAMURA

June 2014

Monday, June 23 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th   june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7524

7460/396/332/268

7588

long

7588

7652/716/780

7524

bse sensex

short

25120

24920/720/520/320

25320

long

25320

25520/720/920

25120

 BANK NIFTY

Short

15000

14890/780/670/560/450/340

15110

Long

15220

15330/440/550/660

15110

CNX IT

short

9610

9520/430/340/250

9700

long

9700

9790/880/970/10060

9610

aurobindo

Short

690

683/75/68/60/53/45

698

Long

698

705/13/20/28/35

690

axis bank

Short

1853

1826/1799/72/45

1866

Long

1880

1907/34/61

1866

BOB

Short

828

822/15/09/02/796/87/81/74

834

Long

841

848/54/61/67

834

BHARTI

Short

337.5

333/28.5/24/19.5/15/10.5

342

Long

342

346.5/51/55.5/60

337.5

COAL INDIA

Short

383.5

378/72.5/67/61.5

389

Long

389

394.5/400

383.5

dr reddys

Short

2438

24182378/48

2468

Long

2468

2498/2528/58

2438

glenmark pharma

Short

579

573.5/68/62.5/57/52.5

584.5

Long

584.5

590/95.5/601/06.5

579

HCL TECH

Short

1438

1426/14/02/1390

1450

long

1450

1462/74/86/98/1510

1438

HDFC

Short

972

964/56/48/40

980

Long

980

988/96/1004/12/20

972

hdfc bank

Short

817

804/791/78/65

823.5

Long

830

843/56

823.5

HUL

Short

624

618/12/06/600

630

Long

630

636/42/48/54/60

624

ICICI BANK

Short

1395

1383/71/59/47/35

1407

Long

1419

1431/43/55/67

1407

IDFC

Short

129

127.75/26.5/25.25/24

130.25

Long

130.25

131.5/32.75/34/35.25/36.5

129

INFOSYS

Short

3291

3265/39/13/3187/61

3317

long

3317

3343/69/95

3291

ITC

Short

336

331/26/21/16

338.5

Long

341

346/51/56/61

38.5

LT

Short

1640

1615/1590/65

1652

Long

1665

1690/1715/40

1652

M&M

Short

1147

1137/27/17/07/1097

1157

Long

1157

1167/77/87

1147

MARUTI

Short

2375

2357/39/21/05

2393

Long

2393

2411/29

2375

ONGC

Short

418

411/04/397/90/83

421.5

long

425

432/39/46/53/60

421.5

RELIANCE

Short

1035

1025/15/05/995/85

1045

long

1045

1055/65/75

1035

SESA

Short

292

288/84/80/76/72/68

296

long

296

300/304/08/12/16/20

292

sun pharma

Short

625

620/15/10/05/600/595/90

630

Long

635

640/45/50/55/60/65

630

SBI

Short

2574

2539/04/2469/34/2399

2609

Long

2609

2634/69/2704/39

2574

TATAMOTORS

Short

437

431/25/19/13/07/01

443

Long

443

449/55/61/67

437

TATASTEEL

Short

521.5

516/10.5/05/499.5

527

Long

527

532.5/39/44.5/50

521.5

TCS

Short

2296

2276/56/36/16/2196/76/56

2316

Long

2316

2336/56/76

2296

tech mahindra

Short

1981

1958/35/12/1889/66/43/20/1797

2004

Long

2004

2027/50/73/96

1981

ULTRATECH

Short

2722

2692/62/32/02

2752

Long

2752

2782/2812/42/72

2722

VOLTAS

Short

215

212/09/06/03/200/197/94

218

Long

218

221/24/27/30

215

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

6580

x

6640

long

6640

x

6580

CNX ENERGY

short

9870

x

9955

long

9955

x

9870

CNX FMCG

short

17720

x

17870

long

17870

x

17720

CNX INFRA

short

3226

x

3268

long

3268

x

3226

CNX METAL

short

3280

x

3310

long

3310

x

3280

CNX MIDCAP

short

10620

x

10730

long

10730

x

10620

CNX PHARMA

short

7970

x

8050

long

8050

x

7970

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3663

x

3695

long

3695

x

3663

CNX REALTY

short

257

x

260.5

long

260.5

x

257


Monday, June 23 2014 TO Monday, June 23 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th   june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7524

7460/396/332/268

7588

long

7588

7652/716/780

7524

bse sensex

short

25120

24920/720/520/320

25320

long

25320

25520/720/920

25120

 BANK NIFTY

Short

15000

14890/780/670/560/450/340

15110

Long

15220

15330/440/550/660

15110

CNX IT

short

9610

9520/430/340/250

9700

long

9700

9790/880/970/10060

9610

aurobindo

Short

690

683/75/68/60/53/45

698

Long

698

705/13/20/28/35

690

axis bank

Short

1853

1826/1799/72/45

1866

Long

1880

1907/34/61

1866

BOB

Short

828

822/15/09/02/796/87/81/74

834

Long

841

848/54/61/67

834

BHARTI

Short

337.5

333/28.5/24/19.5/15/10.5

342

Long

342

346.5/51/55.5/60

337.5

COAL INDIA

Short

383.5

378/72.5/67/61.5

389

Long

389

394.5/400

383.5

dr reddys

Short

2438

24182378/48

2468

Long

2468

2498/2528/58

2438

glenmark pharma

Short

579

573.5/68/62.5/57/52.5

584.5

Long

584.5

590/95.5/601/06.5

579

HCL TECH

Short

1438

1426/14/02/1390

1450

long

1450

1462/74/86/98/1510

1438

HDFC

Short

972

964/56/48/40

980

Long

980

988/96/1004/12/20

972

hdfc bank

Short

817

804/791/78/65

823.5

Long

830

843/56

823.5

HUL

Short

624

618/12/06/600

630

Long

630

636/42/48/54/60

624

ICICI BANK

Short

1395

1383/71/59/47/35

1407

Long

1419

1431/43/55/67

1407

IDFC

Short

129

127.75/26.5/25.25/24

130.25

Long

130.25

131.5/32.75/34/35.25/36.5

129

INFOSYS

Short

3291

3265/39/13/3187/61

3317

long

3317

3343/69/95

3291

ITC

Short

336

331/26/21/16

338.5

Long

341

346/51/56/61

38.5

LT

Short

1640

1615/1590/65

1652

Long

1665

1690/1715/40

1652

M&M

Short

1147

1137/27/17/07/1097

1157

Long

1157

1167/77/87

1147

MARUTI

Short

2375

2357/39/21/05

2393

Long

2393

2411/29

2375

ONGC

Short

418

411/04/397/90/83

421.5

long

425

432/39/46/53/60

421.5

RELIANCE

Short

1035

1025/15/05/995/85

1045

long

1045

1055/65/75

1035

SESA

Short

292

288/84/80/76/72/68

296

long

296

300/304/08/12/16/20

292

sun pharma

Short

625

620/15/10/05/600/595/90

630

Long

635

640/45/50/55/60/65

630

SBI

Short

2574

2539/04/2469/34/2399

2609

Long

2609

2634/69/2704/39

2574

TATAMOTORS

Short

437

431/25/19/13/07/01

443

Long

443

449/55/61/67

437

TATASTEEL

Short

521.5

516/10.5/05/499.5

527

Long

527

532.5/39/44.5/50

521.5

TCS

Short

2296

2276/56/36/16/2196/76/56

2316

Long

2316

2336/56/76

2296

tech mahindra

Short

1981

1958/35/12/1889/66/43/20/1797

2004

Long

2004

2027/50/73/96

1981

ULTRATECH

Short

2722

2692/62/32/02

2752

Long

2752

2782/2812/42/72

2722

VOLTAS

Short

215

212/09/06/03/200/197/94

218

Long

218

221/24/27/30

215

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CNX AUTO

short

6580

x

6640

long

6640

x

6580

CNX ENERGY

short

9870

x

9955

long

9955

x

9870

CNX FMCG

short

17720

x

17870

long

17870

x

17720

CNX INFRA

short

3226

x

3268

long

3268

x

3226

CNX METAL

short

3280

x

3310

long

3310

x

3280

CNX MIDCAP

short

10620

x

10730

long

10730

x

10620

CNX PHARMA

short

7970

x

8050

long

8050

x

7970

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3663

x

3695

long

3695

x

3663

CNX REALTY

short

257

x

260.5

long

260.5

x

257


Monday, June 23 2014

 Trading levels --- 23rd / 27th    June   2014

 

Important feature of last week was dwindling FII flows. On Tuesday, local HNIs and operators put their might together to catapult NIFTY beyond 7650 with a hope that FIIs will follow. But that did not happen and FIIs continued their muted presence. However, operators used this opportunity to distribute NIFTY stocks at higher level. I feel that more than Rupees 5,000 crores worth of distribution happened on Wednesday morning when NIFTY continued to trade around 7650.

 

The next and important pit-stop for NIFTY is 7458 – 7479 zone . This should offer sizeable support but the break will open flood gates for 7200.

 

As expected major nifty components – except INFY  /  TCS and HDFC twins are significantly down from their peak values hit in last 4 weeks.  Strength in above 4 stocks has ensured that slide in NIFTY is extremely gradual. However, mid-cap panic will set in when  -  if we break 7450 level. Pease be alert for good entry opportunities and they could be as much as 30 / 35 % lower in midcap momentum stocks.

 

My last weeks recommendation to buy OTM puts has rewarded generously to people who took that action. I had said this was swimming against the tide …. But only then u get good returns -  isn’t it ? ? ?

 

Even if we go down to 7200 NIFTY level …. Which may be possible, that is just a 500 odd point correction from NIFTY high of 7700 hit on 11th June. Main point is that retail crowd was never told about this possibility by important brokerages and AMCs as this was going against their business interests.

 

I still maintain my BANK NIFTY target of 14300 which will be probably met when NIFTY will go to 7200.

 

I expect that Monday will be interesting trading day as RAIL freight hike will hit cement / steel / power sector and Coal India. However, it is possible that FIIs may take a positive view of this development.

 

I look at this railway freight hike as an indicator of two important things – 1… gas price hike is not likely to happen immediately and 2…. EXCISE sops given to auto companies will be withdrawn. BOTH THESE ARE NEGATIVE FOR NIFTY.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado or blind following  does not help.  I HAVE JUST GIVEN YOU SOME FOOD FOR YOUR GREY CELLS. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

JUNE 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out on 2nd JUNE . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th   june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

25120

24920/720/520/320

25320

long

25320

25520/720/920

25120

CNX IT

short

9610

9520/430/340/250

9700

long

9700

9790/880/970/10060

9610

CNX AUTO

short

6580

x

6640

long

6640

x

6580

CNX ENERGY

short

9870

x

9955

long

9955

x

9870

CNX FMCG

short

17720

x

17870

long

17870

x

17720

CNX INFRA

short

3226

x

3268

long

3268

x

3226

CNX METAL

short

3280

x

3310

long

3310

x

3280

CNX MIDCAP

short

10620

x

10730

long

10730

x

10620

CNX PHARMA

short

7970

x

8050

long

8050

x

7970

CNX PSU BANKS

short

3663

x

3695

long

3695

x

3663

CNX REALTY

short

257

x

260.5

long

260.5

x

257

 

World   Commodities

 

weekly

 

DATE

23rd / 27th   june 2014

 

 

commodity

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

 

gold

short

1297

1280/63/46/29/12/1195

1314

US$ / T ounce

long

1314

1331/48/65

1297

 

silver

short

20.8

20.53/20/26/19.99/19.72

21.07

US$ / T ounce

long

21.07

21.34/21.61/21.88

20.8

 

crude

short

106

104.9/03.8/02.7/01.6

107.1

US$ / barrel

long

107.1

108.2/09.3/10.4/11.5

106

 

nat gas

short

4.45

4.385/4.32

4.515

US$ / 10K MMBTU

long

4.515

4.58/4.645/4.71

4.45

 

copper

short

3.09

3.045/3.00

3.135

US$ / pound

long

3.135

3.18/3.225/3.27

3.09

 

sugar

short

488

484/80/76/72/68/64/60

492

US$ / tonne

long

492

496/500/04/08/1216/20

488

 

 


Sunday, June 22 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th   june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7524

7460/396/332/268

7588

long

7588

7652/716/780

7524

bse sensex

short

25120

24920/720/520/320

25320

long

25320

25520/720/920

25120

 BANK NIFTY

Short

15000

14890/780/670/560/450/340

15110

Long

15220

15330/440/550/660

15110


Sunday, June 22 2014

 

POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

23rd / 27th   june  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY

cnx nifty

short

7524

7460/396/332/268

7588

long

7588

7652/716/780

7524

bse sensex

short

25120

24920/720/520/320

25320

long

25320

25520/720/920

25120

 BANK NIFTY

Short

15000

14890/780/670/560/450/340

15110

Long

15220

15330/440/550/660

15110