May 2014
TODAY ELECTION SPECIAL .... ALL SUBSCRIBERS - PAID OR FREE - GET WEEKLY TRADING LEVELS ..... JUST WATCH OR TRADE IF U HAVE FAITH ...... ENJOY THE MONEY MAKING OPPORTUNITY WHICH COMES ONES IN 5 YEARS ..........
|
POSN TRADING |
weekly |
DATE |
12th / 16th may 2014 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
ALWAYS PREFER TRADES IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY |
||||
|
cnx nifty |
short |
6839 |
6787/35/683/31/579/27/475/23 |
6891 |
|
long |
6891 |
6943/95/7047/99 |
6839 |
|
|
bse sensex |
short |
22930 |
22770/610/450/290/130/21970/810 |
23090 |
|
long |
23090 |
23250/410/570/730/890/24050 |
22930 |
|
|
BANK NIFTY |
Short |
13760 |
13570/380/190/13000/12810/620/430/240 |
13855 |
|
Long |
13855 |
13950/14045/140/235/330/425/520 |
13760 |
|
|
CNX IT |
short |
9000 |
8900/800/700/600 |
9100 |
|
long |
9100 |
9200/300/400/500 |
9000 |
|
|
ACC |
Short |
1332 |
1312/1292/72/52/32/12 |
1352 |
|
Long |
1352 |
1372/92/1412/32/52 |
1332 |
|
|
aurobindo |
Short |
579 |
569/59/49/39/29/19/09 |
589 |
|
Long |
589 |
599/609/19/29/39/49 |
579 |
|
|
axis bank |
Short |
1635 |
1605/1575/45/15/1485/55/25/1395/65/35/05 |
1665 |
|
Long |
1665 |
1695/1725/55/85/1815/45 |
1635 |
|
|
BOB |
Short |
832 |
816/800/784/68/52/36/20/04/688/72/56/40 |
848 |
|
Long |
848 |
864/80/96/912/28/44/60 |
832 |
|
|
BHARTI |
Short |
308 |
302/296/90/84/78/72/66/60 |
314 |
|
Long |
314 |
320/26/32/38/44/50/56/62 |
308 |
|
|
CIPLA |
Short |
395 |
389/83/77/71/65 |
401 |
|
Long |
401 |
407/13/19/25/31/37/43/49 |
395 |
|
|
divis lab |
Short |
1338 |
1321/04/1287/70/53/36/19/02 |
1355 |
|
long |
1355 |
1372/89/1406/23/40 |
1338 |
|
|
dr reddys |
Short |
2723 |
2699/75/51/27/03/1579/55/31/07 |
2747 |
|
Long |
2747 |
2771/95/2819/43/67/91/2915/39 |
2723 |
|
|
glenmark pharma |
Short |
580 |
566/52/38/24/10 |
594 |
|
Long |
594 |
608/22/36/50 |
580 |
|
|
HCL TECH |
Short |
1373 |
1351/29/07/1285/63 |
1395 |
|
long |
1395 |
1417/39/61/83/1505/27/49 |
1373 |
|
|
HDFC |
Short |
913 |
904/895/86/77/68/59/50 |
922 |
|
Long |
922 |
931/40/49 |
913 |
|
|
hdfc bank |
Short |
763 |
752/41/30/19/08/697/86/75/64/53/42/31/20 |
774 |
|
Long |
774 |
785/96/807/18/29/40 |
763 |
|
|
HUL |
Short |
560 |
551/42/33/24/15/06/497/88/79/70 |
569 |
|
Long |
569 |
578/87/96/605/14/23/32 |
560 |
|
|
ICICI BANK |
Short |
1383 |
1365/47/29/11/1293/75/57/39/21 |
1401 |
|
Long |
1401 |
1419/37/55/73/91/1509/27 |
1383 |
|
|
IDFC |
Short |
118 |
116/13.5/11.5/09/07/04.5/02.5/100 |
120.5 |
|
Long |
120.5 |
122.5/25/27/29.5/31.5/34/36 |
118 |
|
|
INFOSYS |
Short |
3102 |
3054/06/2958/10 |
3150 |
|
long |
3150 |
3198/246/294 |
3102 |
|
|
ITC |
Short |
345 |
340/35/30/25/20/15/10 |
350 |
|
Long |
350 |
355/60/65/70/75/80 |
345 |
|
|
LT |
Short |
1348 |
1332/16/1300/1284/68/52/36/20/04/1188 |
1364 |
|
Long |
1364 |
1380/96/1412/28/44/60 |
1348 |
|
|
M&M |
Short |
1108 |
1097/86/75/64/53/42/31/20/09/998/87/76 |
1119 |
|
Long |
1119 |
1130/41/52/63/74 |
1108 |
|
|
MARUTI |
Short |
1980 |
1952/24/1896/68/40/12/1784/56/28/00 |
2008 |
|
Long |
2008 |
2036/64/92/2120/48 |
1980 |
|
|
ONGC |
Short |
349 |
342/35/28/21/14/07/300/293/86/79 |
356 |
|
long |
356 |
363/70/77/84/91/98 |
349 |
|
|
PNB |
Short |
818 |
800/782/64/46/28/10/692/74/56 |
836 |
|
Long |
836 |
854/72/890/908 |
818 |
|
|
RELIANCE |
Short |
1001 |
989/77/65/53/41/29/17/05 |
1013 |
|
long |
1013 |
1025/37/49/61/73/85 |
1001 |
|
|
sun pharma |
Short |
626 |
614/02/590/78/66 |
638 |
|
Long |
638 |
650/62/74/86 |
626 |
|
|
SBI |
Short |
2182 |
2159/36/13/2090/67/44/21/1998/75 |
2205 |
|
Long |
2205 |
2228/51/74/97/2320/43/66/89 |
2205 |
|
|
TATAMOTORS |
Short |
425 |
416/07/398/89/80 |
429.5 |
|
Long |
429.5 |
434.38.5/43/47.5/52/56.5/61 |
425 |
|
|
TATASTEEL |
Short |
412 |
402/392/82/72/62/52/42/32 |
422 |
|
Long |
422 |
432/42/52/62 |
412 |
|
|
TCS |
Short |
2150 |
2123/2096/69/42/15/1988/61 |
2177 |
|
Long |
2177 |
2204/31/58/85 |
2150 |
|
|
tech mahindra |
Short |
1769 |
1745/23/01/1679/57 |
1791 |
|
Long |
1791 |
1813/35/57/79 |
1769 |
|
|
VOLTAS |
Short |
164 |
160.5/57/53.5/50/46.5/43/39.5/36 |
167.5 |
|
Long |
167.5 |
171/74.5/78/81.5/85 |
164 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
6010 |
x |
6050 |
|
long |
6050 |
x |
6010 |
|
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8710 |
x |
8800 |
|
long |
8800 |
x |
8710 |
|
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
17630 |
x |
17740 |
|
long |
17740 |
x |
17630 |
|
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
2670 |
x |
2705 |
|
long |
2705 |
x |
2670 |
|
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2288 |
x |
2320 |
|
long |
2320 |
x |
2288 |
|
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
8925 |
x |
9060 |
|
long |
9060 |
x |
8925 |
|
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
8000 |
x |
8060 |
|
long |
8060 |
x |
8000 |
|
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3054 |
x |
3094 |
|
long |
3094 |
x |
3054 |
|
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
180 |
x |
183 |
|
long |
183 |
x |
180 |
|
suggest following intra trades for tomorrow ...
all short trades as i expect market to gap-up ....
ICICI BANK - SHORT AT 1399 AND 1421 ..... 90 % CHANCE U WL BE ABLE TO COVER AROUND 1375 ......
RELIANCE ...... SHORT AT 1012 AND 1019 .... 80 % CHANCE U CAN COVER AROUND 990/95
HDFC - SHORT AT 898 AND 905 ..... U SHUD BE ABLE TO COVER AROUND 890
SBI - SHORT AT 2192 AND 2206 .... CAN COVER AROUND 2180
cheerssssssssssssssssssssssssssss ..... send me message on yahoo messenger if u take these trades .... lets try and monitor ......
Trading levels --- 12th / 16th May 2014
I am writing after two weeks. Till last Friday …. The market continued to drift at a very slow speed. But on Friday, the NIFTY vaulted good 200 points. The reason could be a very optimistic NAMO on TIMES NOW the previous evening.
The pink papers are going gaga over FII buying but the figure is just 1250 odd crores WHICH CAN NOT BE INSTRUMENTAL IN DRIVING SUCH A MONSTER 200 POINT RALLY. There has to be a BIG BIG front running operation by HNI / brokers / operators to the tune of nearly 4000 crores . From my experience, I can tell you that such a strong, one sided up-move across most sectors, needs inflow of a billion dollars – not a paltry 200 million dollars.
SO, WE ARE AT 6850 NIFTY LEVEL AND WE HAVE EXIT POLLS OUTCOME ON 12TH EVENING. HOW DO WE TRADE THIS EVENT ?
I hope, in last 6 weeks, you have been booking profit on long positions from time to time and liquidated some old loss making positions - even at a small loss and moved to some good quality stocks thus improving quality of your portfolio significantly. IN THAT CASE YOU CAN AFFORD TO SIT TIGHT AND WATCH THE FUN AND GAMES TILL THE 16TH MAY …. THE DAY OF ULTIMATE TRUTH.
Just keep watching opportunities for hedging your portfolio by buying out of the money NIFTY puts of 6400/6300 where the IVs are still around 42/43 %. Hedging in BANK NIFTY or individual bank stocks is very very expensive as IVs are beyond 60 %. IN THAT CASE I WILL RECOMMEND SELLING 12,000 PUT / 14,500 CALL ON BANK NIFTY AS YOU CAN MAKE TIDY 7000 / 8000 RUPEES DEPOSITING A MARGIN OF AROUND 50,000.
ONE CAN ALSO CONSIDER ENTERING IT / TECH FUND AS A DEFENCIVE BET. THESE FUNDS HAVE CORRECTED ABOUT 12 TO 15 % FROM PEAK VALUES AND DOWNSIDE WILL BE VERY LIMITED.
As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado does not help. WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?
MAY 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out on 2nd MAY . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014 trading levels on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.
Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.
My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.
Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.
I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1
Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are shown.
You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all 8 modules for just 30,000 rupees for the full year.
Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.
Indices weekly levels
|
TER POSN TRADING |
weekly |
DATE |
12th / 16th may 2014 |
|
|
stocks / indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
bse sensex |
short |
22930 |
22770/610/450/290/130/21970/810 |
23090 |
|
long |
23090 |
23250/410/570/730/890/24050 |
22930 |
|
|
CNX IT |
short |
9000 |
8900/800/700/600 |
9100 |
|
long |
9100 |
9200/300/400/500 |
9000 |
|
|
CNX AUTO |
short |
6010 |
x |
6050 |
|
long |
6050 |
x |
6010 |
|
|
CNX ENERGY |
short |
8710 |
x |
8800 |
|
long |
8800 |
x |
8710 |
|
|
CNX FMCG |
short |
17630 |
x |
17740 |
|
long |
17740 |
x |
17630 |
|
|
CNX INFRA |
short |
2670 |
x |
2705 |
|
long |
2705 |
x |
2670 |
|
|
CNX METAL |
short |
2288 |
x |
2320 |
|
long |
2320 |
x |
2288 |
|
|
CNX MIDCAP |
short |
8925 |
x |
9060 |
|
long |
9060 |
x |
8925 |
|
|
CNX PHARMA |
short |
8000 |
x |
8060 |
|
long |
8060 |
x |
8000 |
|
|
CNX PSU BANKS |
short |
3054 |
x |
3094 |
|
long |
3094 |
x |
3054 |
|
|
CNX REALTY |
short |
180 |
x |
183 |
|
long |
183 |
x |
180 |
WORLD INDICES
|
weekly |
|
DATE |
12th / 16th May 2014 |
|
|
world indices |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
S & P |
short |
1869 |
1856/43/30/17 |
1882 |
|
long |
1882 |
1895/1908/21/34 |
1869 |
|
|
nasdaq comp |
short |
4045 |
4010/3975/3940/05 |
4080 |
|
long |
4080 |
4115/50/85 |
4045 |
|
|
dow jones |
short |
16550 |
16490/430/370/310/250 |
16610 |
|
long |
16610 |
16670/730/790/850 |
16550 |
|
|
FTSE |
short |
6785 |
6715/6645/575/505 |
6855 |
|
long |
6855 |
6925/95 |
6785 |
|
|
nikkei |
short |
14025 |
13850/675/13500 |
14200 |
|
long |
14200 |
14375/550/725/900 |
14025 |
|
|
australian ord |
short |
5450 |
5405/360/315 |
5495 |
|
long |
5495 |
5540/85 |
5450 |
|
|
hangseng |
short |
21900 |
21700/500/300/100 |
22100 |
|
long |
22100 |
22300/500/700 |
21900 |
|
|
shanghai |
short |
2008 |
1994/80/66/52/38 |
2022 |
|
long |
2022 |
2036/50/64/78 |
2008 |
COMMODITIES
|
weekly |
|
DATE |
12th / 16th may 2014 |
|
|
|
commodity |
go |
entry |
Target |
Stoploss |
|
|
gold |
short |
1281 |
1266/51/36/21 |
1296 |
US$ / T ounce |
|
long |
1296 |
1311/26/41 |
1281 |
||
|
silver |
short |
19.21 |
18.97/18.73/18.49/18.25/18.01 |
19.45 |
US$ / T ounce |
|
long |
19.45 |
1959/19.83/20.07/20.31 |
19.21 |
||
|
crude |
short |
100 |
98.5/97/95.5/94 |
101.5 |
US$ / barrel |
|
long |
101.5 |
103/04.5/06/07.5 |
100 |
no post today due technical problem ....
NIFTY SPOT INTRA
