Welcome to SUMAMURA

April 2014

Tuesday, April 15 2014

 Trading levels --- 14th / 18th April 2014

 

In the last two weeks, FIIs continued to pump in money – albeit at a slightly slower pace than in March – we just got 4500 odd crores of Rupees in first 10 days and a small negative figure on Friday 11th April. This negative figure is significant since it is appearing nearly after 25 trading sessions. Slowing of FII inflow has meant that NIFTY has gone up by only 80 odd points in last 2 weeks.

 

IT has continued to underperform but banking has gone up relentlessly except for last trading session. The momentum in banking stocks when they make an up-move is so great that even the seasoned BEARS are simply scared of going short on any banking stock. ENERGY and PSUs have been chugging along adding to banking strength.

 

We have hit 6800+ NIFTY levels where some strong resistance is setting in. Bears should take some clues from this and enter short trades at an opportune time as bulls are bound to look at booking some profit under some pretext in next 4/5 sessions. INFY / TCS  results could be one such excuse. IT is looking weak and can pull down nifty by a couple of percentage points.

 

Global set-up is also looking weak. It will not be out of place to mention  THAT IN OCT/ NOV 2007, MOST GLOBAL MARKETS TOPPED OUT WHEN WE WERE ROARING …. EVERYONE KNOWS WHAT HAPPENED IN JAN  2008. Is there a chance of history repeating ???

 

I have still not got a chance to deploy my cash but it will come soon… till then sell slowly in counters which are giving worthwhile returns. Finally cash in the bank is what matters.

 

I want to recommend  12800 / 12300 bank nifty bear spread which will cost u just about 2000 odd rupees and Rs 20,000 margin with possibility of 4,000 rupees gain. BEAR IN MIND THAT IT RESULTS CAN TRIGGER A DOWNSIDE IN NIFTY.

 

As I always say, we have to play percentages to make money. Bold bravado does not help.  WHAT DO YOU SAY ? ? ?

 

APRIL 2014 TRADING LEVELS are out on 2nd April . You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades. I have also released CY 2014  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Indices  weekly levels

 

TER POSN TRADING

weekly

DATE

15th / 18th  april   2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

bse sensex

short

22350

22130/21910/690/470/250

22570

long

22570

22790/23010/230

22350

CNX IT

short

9330

9270/210/150/090/030/8970/910

9390

long

9450

9510/570/630/690

9390

CNX AUTO

short

5850

x

5895

long

5895

x

5850

CNX ENERGY

short

8450

x

8515

long

8515

x

8450

CNX FMCG

short

17800

x

18000

long

18000

x

17800

CNX INFRA

short

2665

x

2700

long

2700

x

2665

CNX METAL

short

2571

x

2598

long

2598

x

2571

CNX MIDCAP

short

8755

x

8845

long

8845

x

8755

CNX PHARMA

short

7930

x

7995

long

7995

x

7930

CNX PSU BANKS

short

2845

x

2865

long

2885

x

2865

CNX REALTY

short

200

x

201.5

long

201.5

x

200

 

WORLD INDICES

 

weekly

 

DATE

14th / 18th  april 2014

 

world indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

S & P

short

1820

1804/1788/72

1836

long

1836

1852/68/84/1900

1820

nasdaq comp

short

3995

3940/885/830/775/720

4050

long

4050

4105/60/215/270

3995

dow jones

short

16060

15930/800/670/540

16190

long

16190

16320/450/580

16060

FTSE

short

6550

6475/400/325/250

6625

long

6625

6700/775/850

6550

nikkei

short

14000

13840/680/520/360/200

14160

long

14160

14320/480/640

14000

australian ord

short

5410

5350/290/230/170/110

5470

long

5470

5530/90

5410

hangseng

short

22750

22500/250/22000/21750/500

23000

long

23000

23250/500/750/24000

22750

shanghai

short

2119

2094/69/44

2144

long

2144

2169/94

2119

 

COMMODITIES

 

weekly

 

DATE

14th / 18th  april 2014

 

 

commodity

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

 

gold

short

1302

1286/70/54/38

1318

US$ / T ounce

long

1318

1334/50/66

1302

 

silver

short

20

19.8/19.6/19.4/19.2/19/18.8/18.6

20.2

US$ / T ounce

long

20.2

20.4/20.6/20.8/21

20

 

crude

short

102.75

101.5/100.25/99

104

US$ / barrel

long

104

105.25/06.5/07.75/09

102.75

 

nat gas

short

4.39

4.34/4.29/4.24/4.19

4.44

US$ / 10K MMBTU

long

4.44

4.49/4.54/4.59/4.64

4.39

 

 


Friday, April 11 2014

 NIFTY SPOT INTRA

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
go short / long  - 6770 / 6798
 
stop loss –  opposite
 
long targets –  6826/54/82
 
short targets – 6742/14/686

Friday, April 11 2014

 NIFTY SPOT INTRA

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
go short / long  - 6770 / 6798
 
stop loss –  opposite
 
long targets –  6826/54/82
 
short targets – 6742/14/686

Friday, April 11 2014

 

intra day

 

DATE

11th april  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

bank nifty

short

12875

12825/775/725/675

12925

long

12975

13025/075/125/175

12925

RELIANCE

short

961

955.5/50

966.5

long

966.5

972/77.5/83

961

SBI

short

2013

1996/79/62/45

2030

long

2030

2047/64/81

2013

icici bank

short

1243

1234/25

1252

long

1252

1261/70

1243

LT

short

1306

1294/82/70

1318

long

1318

1330/42

1306

TATA MOTORS

short

 428.00

425.75/23.5/21.25/19

430.25

long

430.25

432.5/34.75/37

428

INFY

short

3197

3187/77/67/57

3207

long

3207

3217/27/37

3197

AB NUVO

short

1135

1124/13/02

1140.5

long

1146

1157/68

1140.5

CUB

short

55

54.25/53.5

55.75

long

55.75

56.5/57.25/58

55

ATUL

short

454

450.5/47

457.5

long

457.5

461/64.5/68

454

godrej ind

short

315

313.5/12

316.5

long

316.5

318/19.5/21

315


Friday, April 11 2014

 

intra day

 

DATE

11th april  2014

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

bank nifty

short

12875

12825/775/725/675

12925

long

12975

13025/075/125/175

12925

RELIANCE

short

961

955.5/50

966.5

long

966.5

972/77.5/83

961

SBI

short

2013

1996/79/62/45

2030

long

2030

2047/64/81

2013

icici bank

short

1243

1234/25

1252

long

1252

1261/70

1243

LT

short

1306

1294/82/70

1318

long

1318

1330/42

1306

TATA MOTORS

short

 428.00

425.75/23.5/21.25/19

430.25

long

430.25

432.5/34.75/37

428

INFY

short

3197

3187/77/67/57

3207

long

3207

3217/27/37

3197

AB NUVO

short

1135

1124/13/02

1140.5

long

1146

1157/68

1140.5

CUB

short

55

54.25/53.5

55.75

long

55.75

56.5/57.25/58

55

ATUL

short

454

450.5/47

457.5

long

457.5

461/64.5/68

454

godrej ind

short

315

313.5/12

316.5

long

316.5

318/19.5/21

315