Welcome to SUMAMURA

November 2013

Monday, November 11 2013

 TATA MOTORS AND TATA STEEL ...

 
on friday i wrote about divergences on daily charts ..... in case of TATA MOTORS ... it has started to play out ..... in spite of better tan expected results ( as per analysts ) .... stock has not moved up .... that means it wl drift lower if nifty goes to 6000 or even lower  ... i hv talked of 5 to 7 % correction .... wtch out .... if u hv bought 360 put ..... u shud be making small money now .....
 
TATASTEEL ..... divergence will play out .... wait for results ..........

Monday, November 11 2013

 NIFTY SPOT INTRA

 
go short / long  - 6110 / 6127
 
stop loss –  opposite
 
long targets –  6144/61/78/95/212
 
short   targets –  6093/76/59

Monday, November 11 2013

 Trading levels  --- 11th / 15th  November 2013

 

The first week of new SAMVAT 2070 was not very good for the bulls. The market corrected for all the 4 days of the truncated week.

 

The proverbial gasoline for the market – FII FLOWS – have become 1/4th of what they were in the previous week and those are not enough to absorb the selling from DIIs and HNIs. This has resulted in the market drifting lower in an orderly fashion.

 

SHOULD WE CALL THIS DRIFTING CONSOLIDATION OR DISTRIBUTION …. THAT IS A MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION AND NO ONE KNOWS THE ANSWER. ONLY TIME WILL TELL DEPENDING ON THE COURSE OF THE MARKET IN COMING 8/10 TRADING SESSIONS.

 

 I  feel that 6060 / 6090 is a strong support zone and some bounce can be expected  from these levels. This bounce can be 100/120 odd points and the market strength at that critical level of 6200 will decide whether we will make another attempt to hit a new NIFTY high or go down to 5900.

 

 BANK NIFTY – particularly SBI results will hold the key. Adverse  results will weaken bank nifty significantly aborting the up-move while better than expected results will provide much needed fuel for further propagation.

 

There are no further triggers after the few key results next week and we will have to then wait for 5 state election results on December 8.

 

I have released SAMVAT 2013/14  trading levels  on my website – http://www.sumamura.com/sumamura-messages/.  

 

November 2013 LEVELS are out ON 1ST NOVEMBER. You can have a look at the same before entering fresh trades.

 

My monthly trading levels are out and paid members have them. At 3,000 rupees a year, they provide tremendous value for money proposition.

 

Keep logged on to yahoo messenger for guidance related to investment levels on specific stocks. I will be putting some of those recommendations on my website also under messages tab as well.

 

I am available on yahoo messenger on most of the trading days and you can add me on your yahoo messenger. My yahoo id is madhavranade1

 

Keep watching my website www.sumamura.com closely for further inputs. You need to register and login to see modules section where all the levels for different timeframes are  shown.

 

You can view individual modules for as little as 3,000 rupees per year. A package for all  8  modules for  just 30,000 rupees  for the full year.

 

Please call me on 9371002943 for more details.

 

Please remember CAPITAL is always scarce and needs to be respected.


Monday, November 11 2013

 

 

 

DATE

11th november  2013

 

stocks / indices

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .

BANK NIFTY SPOT

short

10850

10785/20/655/590

10915

long

10915

10980/11045/110

10850

RELIANCE

short

870.5

865.5/60.5

875.5

long

875.5

880.5/85.5/90.5

870.5

ICICI BANK

short

1045

1039/32/26

1052

long

1052

1058/65/71

1045

SBI

short

1724

1707/1690

1741

long

1741

1758/75/92

1724

LT

short

973

966/59

980

long

980

987/94

973

TATA MOTORS

short

 395.00

389.5/84/78.5/73

400.5

long

400.5

406/11.5/17

395

M&M

short

875

867/59/51

883

long

883

891/99/907

875

maruti

short

1580

1572/64/56/48/40

1588

long

1588

1596/1604/12/20

1580

ranbaxy

short

418.5

416/13.5/11

421

long

421

423.5/26/28.5/31

418.5

sun tv

short

414

411/08/05/02/399/96

417

long

417

420/23

414

ARVIND

short

114

113/12/11/10

115

long

115

116/17/18/19/20

114

shriram transport

short

563

559.5/56/52.5/49/45.5/42

566.5

long

570

573.5/77/80.5/84

566.5


Monday, November 11 2013 TO Friday, November 15 2013

 

weekly

 

DATE

11th / 15th nov 2013

 

 

commodity

go

entry

Target

Stoploss

 

gold

short

1290

1274/58/42/26/10

1306

US$ / T ounce

long

1306

1322/38/54/70

1290

 

silver

short

21.29

21.03/20.77/20.51/20.25/19.99

21.55

US$ / T ounce

long

21.55

21.81/22.07/22.33/22.59/22.85

21.29

 

crude

short

94.85

93.65/92.45/91.25/90.05

96.05

US$ / barrel

long

96.05

97.25/98.45/99.65/100.85

94.85

 

nat gas

short

3.55

3.5/3.45/3.4/3.35/3.3

3.6

US$ / 10K MMBTU

long

3.6

3.65/3.7/3.75/3.8

3.55

 

copper

short

3.275

3.24/3.205/3.17/3.135/3.1

3.31

US$ / pound

long

3.31

3.345/3.38/3.415/3.45

3.275

 

sugar

short

475

469.5/64/58.5/53

480.5

US$ / tonne

long

480.5

486/91.5/97

475