October 2013

Monday, October 21 2013 TO Friday, October 25 2013

weekly		DATE	21st / 25th october 2013
commodity	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
gold	short	1290	1272/54/36/18/1200	1308	US$ / T ounce
gold	long	1308	1326/44/62/80	1290
silver	short	21.82	21.64/21.46/21.28/21.1	22	US$ / T ounce
silver	long	22	22.18/22.36/22.54/22.72/22.9	21.82
crude	short	101.2	100/98.8/97.6/96.4	102.4	US$ / barrel
crude	long	102.4	103.6/04/8/06	101.2
nat gas	short	3.76	3.72/3.67/3.63/3.58	3.81	US$ / 10K MMBTU
nat gas	long	3.81	3.85/3.9/3.94/3.99	3.76
copper	short	3.27	3.23/3.19/3.15/3.11	3.31	US$ / pound
copper	long	3.31	3.35/3.39/3.43/3.47	3.27
sugar	short	511	504/497/90/83	518	US$ / tonne
sugar	long	518	525/32/39/46	511

Friday, October 18 2013

NIFTY

SPOT INTRA

go short / long - 6073 / 6090

stop loss – opposite

long targets – 6107/24/41/58

short targets – 6056/39/22/05/5988/71

Friday, October 18 2013

intraday		DATE	18th october 2013
stocks / indices	go	entry	Target	Stoploss
PREFER TO TRADE IN THE DIRECTION OF NIFTY . . .
BANK NIFTY SPOT	short	10360	10320/280/240/200/160/120	10400
BANK NIFTY SPOT	long	10440	10480/520/560/600	10400
RELIANCE	short	880	876/72/68/64/60	884
RELIANCE	long	888	892/96	884
ICICI BANK	short	968	962.5/57/51.5/46	973.5
ICICI BANK	long	979	984.5/90/95.5/1001	973.5
SBI	short	1625	1614/03/1592/81	1636
SBI	long	1636	1647/58/69/80	1625
LT	short	839	834.5/30/25.5/21/16.5/12	843.5
LT	long	848	852.5/57/61.5/66/70.5/75	843.5
TATA MOTORS	short	375.00	373/71/69/67	377
TATA MOTORS	long	379	381/83/85	377
axis bank	short	1097	1090/83/76/69/62/55	1104
axis bank	long	1111	1118/25/32/39	1104
TCS	short	2119	2108/2097/86/75/64/53	2130
TCS	long	2141	2152/63	2130
HCL TECH	short	1081	1074/67/60/53/46/39	1088
HCL TECH	long	1095	1102/09/16/23/30	1088
indusind bank	short	388.5	386/83.5/81/78.5/76	391
indusind bank	long	391	393.5/96/98.5/401	388.5
bharat forge	short	274	272.5/71/69.5/68	275.5
bharat forge	long	277	278.5/80/81.5/83/84.5/86	275.5

Thursday, October 17 2013

TCS

2100 put around 18 can give 150/200 % returns as stock can slide to 2000/2050 levels in coming days.

watch out.

Thursday, October 17 2013

TCS .... it had the best qtr for sometime to come ..... and it had an EPS of approx 24 ..... ... half yearly EPS is around 43/44 ....

as such, it looks difficult for stock to clock annual - FY 14 EPS of 92 ..... may be 88/90 is more reallistic .... unless we hv a big rupee depreciation again ........ in that case all bets r off in any case ....... for the whole market as well ......

i expect stock to settle between 2000 / 2050 in near future ..... may be when overall market will get slightly weaker ......

this is a long settlement and buying 2100 put around 18 rupees is not a bad idea .... 50 % chance that u wl get 150/200 % return in next 2 weeks ........

TCS .... i hv a feeling that TCS has booked lots of dollar / euro earnings around average of 64/65 level last quarter .... this has resulted in a big EPS jump .... i think to the tune of about 15 % +

if u take out that .... since now dollar is steady around 61/62 ..... EPS wud hv been around 21 max ....

so this 3 rupee extra eps has to betreated as OTHER INCOME ..... which will accrue one time ....

so 88 max 90 annual EPS is just right ......

i am ignoring US govt shutdown for last 2 weeks .... which also may hv some adverse impact .......

so overall ..... TCS wl hv an herculean task to clear 90 annual EPS ......

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